United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina preview
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The United States defeated Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 with a halftime score of 1-0. Expected goals stood at 1.26 for the United States and 0.5 for Bosnia and Herzegovina creating a differential of 0.76. Possession finished at 48 percent for the United States and 52 percent for Bosnia and Herzegovina. The United States received one red card while Bosnia and Herzegovina received none. The stronger team prevailed and the outcome remained consistent with expected goals. Market alignment held true with minimal deviation of 2.1 percent attributed to the United States. Second half adjustments reflected red card distortion as the primary factor altering game flow after the interval.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Deviation measured minimal at 2.1 percent for the United States.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
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xG alignment: The 2-0 result proved consistent with the xG distribution.
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Market alignment: Market indicators aligned directly with the observed outcome.
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xG expectations: xG values projected a moderate edge for the United States.
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Event impact: The red card to the United States shaped second half dynamics.
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Red card distortion: Red card distortion accounted for the listed second half adjustments.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Team Power Ranking
i
34.81
20.22
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
United States
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
United States
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
United States
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- USA had peak pressure around 20'.
- USA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:49:19+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary