Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodø / Glimt preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stade Joseph Mariën Tue, 4 Aug - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Union Saint-GilloiseUSG
3 – 3
Bodø / GlimtBOD
Full Time Tue, 4 Aug 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Raul Florucz - 25', 45+4'
Goal
|
Goal
Patrick Berg - 20'

CONTEXT

Union Saint-Gilloise welcomed Bodø / Glimt for the opening leg of their two-legged encounter and the sides played out an entertaining 3-3 draw. The home team entered as the stronger side yet both teams traded blows throughout, reaching 2-2 by the interval in an even first half. Union finished with 47 percent possession while the visitors held 53 percent, but neither side received a red card during the contest. The outcome reflected a significant deviation from pre-match expectations for Union Saint-Gilloise. Multiple goals arrived at both ends as attacking patterns produced an open spectacle. The draw leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Union Saint-Gilloise recorded a significant 73.1 percent structural deviation from expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The 3-3 draw left the result unaligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations data was provided for this fixture.
  • Event impact: The 3-3 draw in leg one leaves the aggregate tie level at 3-3.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued so no distortion from dismissals took place.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Peljto
I. Peljto
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Ibrišimbegović
S. Ibrišimbegović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Beljo
D. Beljo
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Gigović
M. Gigović
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
VS
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.25
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting CP Rank: 91 L
Sporting CP Rank: 91 W
Inter Rank: 93 W
Inter Rank: 93 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Union Saint-Gilloise
35.88%
Draw
26.88%
Away Bodø / Glimt
37.24%

Movement

Changes since opening
Union Saint-Gilloise
+29.8%
Draw
-61.67%
Bodø / Glimt
+31.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.57
85.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodø / Glimt
Power Score
87.57
85.79
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
31
43

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise — Opponent-weighted form score
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Union Saint-Gilloise Bodø / Glimt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Union Saint-Gilloise

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Union Saint-Gilloise ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.53
12.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.83
25.53
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Union Saint-Gilloise +1.08 Efficiency Index
vs
Bodø / Glimt -1.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodø / Glimt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Union Saint-Gilloise ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Union Saint-Gilloise Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Union Saint-Gilloise Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodø / Glimt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Union Saint-Gilloise
vs
Bodø / Glimt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Union Saint-Gilloise Bodø / Glimt
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Union Saint-Gilloise 0.15
Bodø / Glimt 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Union Saint-Gilloise Bodø / Glimt
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Union Saint-Gilloise 0.08
Bodø / Glimt 0.05
Union Saint-Gilloise
Bodø / Glimt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • USG had peak pressure around 18'.
  • USG started the game with stronger pressure.
USG Pressure BOD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: USG reached the top pressure at 18' (43.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Union Saint-Gilloise USG Home
1 matches
Bodø / Glimt BOD Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-05T00:01:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stade Joseph Mariën
Capacity
50093
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Irfan Peljto
Senad Ibrišimbegović
Davor Beljo
Miloš Gigović

Statistics

Possession
USG
56%
BOD
44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
10 Shots 3
60 Dangerous attacks 36
47 Possession 53
5 Corners 0
13 Free kicks 15
5 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
5 Substitutions 4
27 Throwins 11

Attacking

132 Attacks 110

Defensive

0 Saves 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Irfan Peljto

Starting XI ▼

1
Vic Chambaere
Vic Chambaere Goalkeeper
5.68
5
Kevin Mac Allister
Kevin Mac Allister (C) Defender
5.86
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Defender
6.05
55
Nikki Havenaar
Nikki Havenaar
Defender56'
6.26
29
Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla Defender
5.86
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Midfielder
6.18
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith Midfielder
6.34
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang
Midfielder80'
6.37
17
Rob Schoofs
Rob Schoofs Midfielder
6.18
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
6.18
28
Darius Olaru
Darius Olaru Midfielder
6.23
23
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli
Midfielder56'
6.33
7
Mohammed Fuseini
Mohammed Fuseini Attacker
6.43
12
Promise David
Promise David
Attacker71'
6.82
30
Raul Florucz
Raul Florucz Attacker
2
7.06
13
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez
Attacker56'
6.55
Referee : Irfan Peljto

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
5.68
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
6.06
6
Jostein Gundersen
Jostein Gundersen Defender
5.86
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
6.05
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender68'
6.26
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
5.88
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg (C) Midfielder
6.77
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
6.27
16
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano
Midfielder46'
6.37
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
6.13
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
6.43
9
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen
Attacker46'
6.46
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
6.59
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen Attacker
6.43
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami
Defender80'
6.26

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Field Goal / 5th Goal
Event
Besfort Zeneli
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Promise David
Field Goal / 4th Goal
88'
Event
Ousseynou Niang → Guilherme Smith
9th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Haitam Aleesami → Ola Brynhildsen
8th Substitution
Event
Guilherme Smith
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Promise David → Mohammed Fuseini
7th Substitution
71'
68'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Bjørkan
6th Substitution
Event
Nikki Havenaar → Ross Sykes
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Kevin Rodríguez → Raul Florucz
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Besfort Zeneli → Darius Olaru
5th Substitution
56'
46'
Event
Andreas Helmersen → Jens Petter Hauge
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Joshua Kitolano → Sondre Auklend
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Raul Florucz
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
45+4'
43'
Event
Sondre Fet
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
41'
Event
Jostein Gundersen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Darius Olaru
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
32'
29'
Event
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Kevin Mac Allister
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
Event
Raul Florucz
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
25'
20'
Event
Patrick Berg
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
Massiré Sylla
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Besfort Zeneli receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Odin Luras Bjortuft scores to make it 3-3, assisted by Patrick Berg.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-2.
80
Update Update
Haitam Aleesami comes on for Ola Brynhildsen.
80
Update Update
Ousseynou Niang replaces Guilherme Smith.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Guilherme Smith.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Guilherme Smith.
68
Update Update
Isak Dybvik Maatta comes on for Fredrik Andre Bjorkan.
56
Update Update
Nikki Havenaar is on, and Ross Sykes is off.
56
Update Update
Besfort Zeneli is on, and Darius Dumitru Olaru is off.
56
Substitution Substitution
Kevin Rodriguez is substituted for Raul Alexander Florucz.
46
Update Update
Andreas Klausen Helmersen comes on for Jens Petter Hauge.
46
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano is on, and Sondre Auklend is off.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Sondre Brunstad Fet.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jostein Gundersen.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ole Didrik Blomberg scores, making it 1-2.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kevin Mac Allister receives a yellow card.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Patrick Berg scores to make it 0-1.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Massire Sylla receives a yellow card.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Irfan Peljto.

CONCLUSION

The 3-3 result in the first leg keeps the tie wide open for the return match. Union Saint-Gilloise will need to address the structural deviation that allowed Bodø / Glimt to claim a share of the points on the road. Both teams showed attacking quality that produced six goals without any disciplinary interruptions. With possession split closely and efficiency patterns holding steady, the second leg promises another competitive encounter. The absence of xG metrics leaves some performance questions unanswered yet the even halftime scoreline already signaled the balanced nature of the contest. Teams must now prepare adjustments for the decisive second leg.