Tromsø vs Vålerenga preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Alfheim Stadion Sat, 11 Jul - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Tromsø Tromsø
4 0
Vålerenga Vålerenga
Full Time Sat, 11 Jul 4:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
Heine Åsen Larsen - 12', 45+2'
Jens Hjertø-Dahl - 22'
Troy Engseth Nyhammer - 79'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Tromsø 4–0 Vålerenga. The result saw Tromsø take the points. Tromsø showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Tromsø 1.7 – 1.2 Vålerenga. Possession was 38%–62%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Tromsø 4-0 Vålerenga. Tromsø showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Sinnes
S. Sinnes
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Lokkeberg
M. Lokkeberg
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Grønevik
T. Grønevik
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Bertheussen
E. Bertheussen
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
VS
Vålerenga J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
1.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: 59 D
Aalesund Rank: 48 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Molde Rank: 67 W
Start Rank: 51 D
Brann Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 55 W
Start Rank: 51 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 62 L
KFUM Rank: 59 D
Molde Rank: 67 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tromsø
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vålerenga
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.86
59.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tromsø
Vålerenga
Power Score
69.86
59.61
League Position
1
11
Global Rank
242
538

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Vålerenga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Tromsø

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vålerenga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tromsø ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vålerenga
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.82
33.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.39
38.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tromsø +0.55 Efficiency Index
vs
Vålerenga -0.55 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tromsø
Vålerenga
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tromsø
vs
Vålerenga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tromsø Vålerenga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
2%
25%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.04 vs -0.29
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tromsø Vålerenga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
25%
2%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.29 vs -0.04
Tromsø
Vålerenga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Tromsø
vs
Vålerenga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tromsø Vålerenga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Tromsø 0.37
Vålerenga 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tromsø Vålerenga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Tromsø 0.00
Vålerenga 0.11
Tromsø
Vålerenga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Tromsø had peak pressure around 13'.
  • Tromsø started the game with stronger pressure.
Tromsø Pressure Vålerenga Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Tromsø reached the top pressure at 13' (78.42).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tromsø Tromsø Home
2 matches
Vålerenga Vålerenga Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:57:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
J. Haugaard
Denmark
1 J. Haugaard
L. Jean Cornic
Norway
2 L. Jean Cornic
V. Skjærvik
Norway
4 V. Skjærvik
T. Kvalvågnes Guddal
Norway
21 T. Kvalvågnes Guddal
I. Vådebu
Norway
30 I. Vådebu
S. Håvik Innvær
Substitution
Norway
37 S. Håvik Innvær
D. Edvardsson
Sweden
5 D. Edvardsson
R. Yttergård Jenssen
Substitution
Norway
11 (C) R. Yttergård Jenssen
J. Hjertø-Dahl
Substitution
Norway
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl
L. Larsen
Substitution
Norway
7 L. Larsen
H. Larsen
Substitution
Norway
22 H. Larsen
O. Hedvall
Denmark
1 O. Hedvall
K. Finnsson
Iceland
2 K. Finnsson
I. Näsberg
Substitution
Norway
37 I. Näsberg
A. Olsen
Norway
4 A. Olsen
H. Sjåtil
Substitution
Norway
3 H. Sjåtil
P. Strand
Substitution
Norway
24 P. Strand
C. Lange
Denmark
10 C. Lange
F. Ambina
Cameroon
29 F. Ambina
M. Westergaard
Substitution
Denmark
28 M. Westergaard
M. Grundetjern
Substitution
Norway
17 M. Grundetjern
H. Bjørdal
Norway
8 (C) H. Bjørdal

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 11, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Alfheim Stadion
Capacity
6687
Attendance
5102
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Svein Tore Sinnes
Monica Lokkeberg
Tom Harald Grønevik
Egil Bertheussen

Statistics

Possession
Tromsø
41%
Vålerenga
59%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 6
35 Dangerous attacks 74
38 Possession 62
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

69 Ball Safe 93
9 Goal Kicks 5
12 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 22
4 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
9 Successful Dribbles 4
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31

Attacking

89 Attacks 129
1 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

407 Passes 639
328 Successful Passes 556
81 Successful Passes Percentage 87
10 Key Passes 14

Defensive

3 Saves 4
18 Tackles 16
10 Interceptions 9
48 Duels Won 43

Build-up

1 Total Crosses 24

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
7.47
2
Leo Cornic
Leo Cornic Defender
7.17
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Defender
7.28
21
Tobias Guddal
Tobias Guddal Defender
7.34
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Defender
7.65
37
Sander Innvær
Sander Innvær Defender
7.64
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen
Defender74'
6.62
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Midfielder
7.43
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder
7.6
14
Sigurd Prestmo
Sigurd Prestmo
Attacker74'
6.77
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen (C) Midfielder
6.91
10
Troy Engseth Nyhammer
Troy Engseth Nyhammer
Midfielder66'
7.45
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Attacker
6.71
8
Jesper Andreas Grundt
Jesper Andreas Grundt
Midfielder81'
6.36
22
Heine Åsen Larsen
Heine Åsen Larsen Attacker
2
8.55
9
Daniel Braut
Daniel Braut
Attacker66'
6.31
Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
5.96
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Defender
6.61
3
Hakon Sjatil
Hakon Sjatil Defender
5.78
55
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl
Defender82'
6.47
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender
6.39
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Defender
6.13
5
Kevin Tshiembe
Kevin Tshiembe
Defender72'
6.29
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
6.52
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand Midfielder
6.92
77
Lucas Haren
Lucas Haren
Midfielder72'
6.55
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard Midfielder
6.46
7
Mohamed Ofkir
Mohamed Ofkir
Midfielder59'
6.4
29
Fidel Brice Ambina
Fidel Brice Ambina Midfielder
7.38
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal (C) Attacker
7.16
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.81
9
Gabriel Rajkovic
Gabriel Rajkovic
Attacker82'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Sebastian Jarl
2nd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Sebastian Jarl → Hakon Sjatil
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Gabriel Rajkovic → M. Grundetjern
10th Substitution
Event
Jesper Andreas Grundt → Lars Olden Larsen
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Troy Engseth Nyhammer
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
79'
Event
Sigurd Prestmo → Jens Hjertø-Dahl
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Mathias Tønnessen → Sander Innvær
7th Substitution
74'
Event
David Edvardsson
1st Yellowcard
74'
72'
Event
Lucas Haren → Petter Strand
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Kevin Tshiembe → Ivan Näsberg
5th Substitution
Event
Daniel Braut → Heine Åsen Larsen
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Troy Engseth Nyhammer → Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
3rd Substitution
66'
59'
Event
Mohamed Ofkir → Magnus Westergaard
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Heine Åsen Larsen
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
45+2'
Event
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
22'
Event
Heine Åsen Larsen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Tromsø 4-0 Vålerenga. Structural assessment: Tromsø exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.