Tromsø vs Hradec Králové preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Alfheim Stadion Thu, 23 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
TromsøTIL
0 1
Hradec KrálovéHRK
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Tromsø faced Hradec Králové in the opening leg of their knockout tie. The home team dominated possession with 66 percent but could not find the net against a resilient away defense. Hradec Králové scored the only goal of the match in the second half to claim a 1-0 victory. At halftime the score was tied at 0-0. Tromsø entered the match as the stronger side yet suffered an unexpected loss. The deviation from anticipated outcomes was significant as the visitors prevailed. No disciplinary red cards occurred for either team. The match proceeded without major interruptions or numerical imbalances. This result leaves the aggregate score favoring Hradec Králové heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hradec Králové recorded a significant structural deviation by defeating the stronger Tromsø side away from home.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the final match outcome of 0-1.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to determine alignment with the result.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was not aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were recorded for either team in this fixture.
  • Event impact: The second half goal by Hradec Králové had the decisive event impact on the 0-1 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant there was no red card distortion in the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Levi
S. Levi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
T. Koltunoff
T. Koltunoff
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Barbiro
O. Barbiro
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Na'al
O. Na'al
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
VS
Hradec Králové D. Horejs
D. Horejs
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tromsø
65.27%
Draw
21.19%
Away Hradec Králové
13.55%

Movement

Changes since opening
Tromsø
+64.63%
Draw
+16.13%
Hradec Králové
-80.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.28
68.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tromsø
Hradec Králové
Power Score
70.28
68.12
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
239
300

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Hradec Králové — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Hradec Králové

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Tromsø

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hradec Králové

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tromsø ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hradec Králové
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.86
19.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.41
28.86
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tromsø +0.49 Efficiency Index
vs
Hradec Králové -0.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tromsø
Hradec Králové
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tromsø ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hradec Králové
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tromsø Hradec Králové
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tromsø Hradec Králové
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Tromsø
Hradec Králové
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Tromsø
vs
Hradec Králové
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tromsø Hradec Králové
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Tromsø 0.26
Hradec Králové 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tromsø Hradec Králové
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Tromsø 0.03
Hradec Králové 0.00
Tromsø
Hradec Králové
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TIL had peak pressure around 92'.
  • TIL started the game with stronger pressure.
TIL Pressure HRK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TIL reached the top pressure at 92' (52.92).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Alfheim Stadion
Capacity
6687
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Snir Levi
Tuval Rahamim Koltunoff
Omer Barbiro
Odeh Na'al

Statistics

Possession
TIL
63%
HRK
37%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
10 Shots 4
61 Dangerous attacks 32
66 Possession 34
4 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 4
13 Throwins 9

Attacking

110 Attacks 73

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Snir Levi

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Leo Cornic
Leo Cornic Defender
6.5
37
Sander Håvik Innvær
Sander Håvik Innvær
Midfielder66'
6.37
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Defender
6.26
21
Tobias Guddal
Tobias Guddal Defender
6.26
29
Alexander Warneryd
Alexander Warneryd Defender
6.26
17
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Dahlqvist
Midfielder88'
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Defender
6.26
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Midfielder
6.33
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder
6.16
10
Troy Nyhammer
Troy Nyhammer Midfielder
6.37
9
Daniel Braut
Daniel Braut
Attacker88'
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen (C) Midfielder
6.5
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen
Attacker62'
6.46
22
Heine Åsen Larsen
Heine Åsen Larsen Midfielder
6.5
20
Ieltsin Camões
Ieltsin Camões
Attacker62'
6.46
Referee : Snir Levi

Starting XI ▼

12
Adam Zadrazil
Adam Zadrazil Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Filip Cihak
Filip Cihak Defender
6.5
7
Jakub Uhrincat
Jakub Uhrincat Defender
6.5
25
Frantisek Cech
Frantisek Cech Defender
6.49
16
Vladimír Darida
Vladimír Darida (C) Midfielder
6.5
21
Tomáš Wiesner
Tomáš Wiesner Midfielder
6.5
—
Tomáš Wiesner
81'
26
Daniel Horak
Daniel Horak Midfielder
6.5
27
Daniel Trubac
Daniel Trubac Midfielder
6.5
11
Samuel Dancak
Samuel Dancak
Midfielder60'
6.61
17
Ondrej Mihalik
Ondrej Mihalik Attacker
6.5
19
Tom Sloncik
Tom Sloncik Attacker
6.5
10
Mick van Buren
Mick van Buren
Attacker60'
6.86
58
Adam Vlkanova
Adam Vlkanova Attacker
6.5
28
Jakub Kucera
Jakub Kucera
Midfielder70'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
David Edvardsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Daniel Braut → Troy Nyhammer
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Isak Dahlqvist → Alexander Warneryd
9th Substitution
88'
85'
Event
Mick van Buren
Field Goal / 1st Goal
81'
Event
Abdullahi Umar → Tomáš Wiesner
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Jakub Kucera → Adam Vlkanova
6th Substitution
Event
Sander Håvik Innvær → Leo Cornic
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Ieltsin Camões → Heine Åsen Larsen
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Lars Olden Larsen → Ruben Yttergård Jenssen 
4th Substitution
62'
60'
Event
Mick van Buren → Tom Sloncik
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Samuel Dancak → Daniel Trubac
2nd Substitution
Event
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Goalkeeper save
53'
52'
Event
Adam Zadrazil
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Frantisek Cech
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Edvardsson receives a yellow card.
89
Update Update
Isak Dahlqvist comes on for Alexander Thongla-Iad Warneryd.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Daniel Braut comes on for Troy Nyhammer.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
81
Substitution Substitution
Abdullahi Umar is substituted for Tomas Wiesner.
70
Update Update
Jakub Kucera comes on for Adam Vlkanova.
66
Update Update
Sander Innvaer is on, and Leo Cornic is off.
63
Update Update
On Lars Olden Larsen, off Ruben Yttergard Jenssen.
63
Substitution Substitution
Ieltsin Camoes is substituted off for Heine Larsen.
60
Update Update
Samuel Dancak is on, and Daniel Trubac is off.
60
Update Update
Mick van Buren is on, and Tom Sloncik is off.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved by Jens Hjertoe-Dahl.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Adam Zadrazil.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Frantisek Cech receives a yellow card.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Snir Levy.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Tromsø 0-1 Hradec Králové. Structural assessment: Hradec Králové exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.