Tottenham Hotspur vs Milton Keynes Dons preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Hotspur Way Training Centre Wed, 22 Jul - 4:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Full Time Wed, 22 Jul 4:00 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Milton Keynes Dons in a match that concluded with a 1-0 victory for the home side. The halftime score stood at 1-0, and no further goals were added in the second half. Tottenham controlled 71 percent of possession while Milton Keynes Dons held 29 percent. The stronger team secured the win without any red cards issued to either side. Performance metrics indicated a significant deviation for Tottenham Hotspur. Efficiency remained in line with the expected pattern for the dominant side. The result stayed consistent throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Tottenham Hotspur recorded a significant deviation in performance metrics.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team profile.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment review.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG figures were supplied to establish expectations.
  • Event impact: The score stayed at 1-0 from halftime through full time.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Hatzidakis
C. Hatzidakis
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Tottenham Hotspur R. De Zerbi
R. De Zerbi
VS
Milton Keynes Dons P. Warne
P. Warne
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.41
70.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tottenham Hotspur
Milton Keynes Dons
Power Score
85.41
70.91
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
37
220

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Tottenham Hotspur Opponent-weighted form score
Milton Keynes Dons Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tottenham Hotspur Milton Keynes Dons

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Tottenham Hotspur

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Milton Keynes Dons

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tottenham Hotspur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Milton Keynes Dons
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.75
27.93
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.93
17.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tottenham Hotspur -0.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Milton Keynes Dons +0.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tottenham Hotspur
Milton Keynes Dons
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tottenham Hotspur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Milton Keynes Dons
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tottenham Hotspur Milton Keynes Dons
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tottenham Hotspur Milton Keynes Dons
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Tottenham Hotspur
Milton Keynes Dons
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Tottenham Hotspur
vs
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tottenham Hotspur Milton Keynes Dons
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tottenham Hotspur Milton Keynes Dons
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Tottenham Hotspur
Milton Keynes Dons
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TOT had peak pressure around 10'.
  • TOT started the game with stronger pressure.
TOT Pressure MKD Pressure
Pressure Index: TOT reached the top pressure at 10' (95.51).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 22, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Hotspur Way Training Centre
Capacity
1000
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Constantine Hatzidakis

Statistics

Possession
TOT
65%
MKD
35%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 1
72 Dangerous attacks 62
71 Possession 29
5 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 10

Match Overview

80 Ball Safe 55
4 Goal Kicks 9
5 Goal Attempts 0
10 Substitutions 8
18 Throwins 5
11 Dribble Attempts 9
5 Successful Dribbles 4
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44

Attacking

100 Attacks 71
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

29 Long Passes 35
738 Passes 290
693 Successful Passes 246
94 Successful Passes Percentage 85
7 Key Passes 4
14 Successful Long Passes 21
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60

Defensive

3 Saves 3
9 Tackles 14
4 Interceptions 8
28 Duels Won 30

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 16
1 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Constantine Hatzidakis

Starting XI

31
Antonín Kinský (C) Goalkeeper
14
Archie Gray
Archie Gray Defender
6.6
66
Malachi Hardy
Malachi Hardy
Defender46'
6.85
25
Kota Takai
Kota Takai Defender
6.69
44
Dane Scarlett
Dane Scarlett
Attacker46'
6.41
33
Ben Davies
Ben Davies Defender
6.6
89
Tye Hall
Tye Hall
Midfielder46'
6.85
57
Rio Kyerematen
Rio Kyerematen Defender
6.52
8
Conor Gallagher
Conor Gallagher Midfielder
6.76
68
Lucá Williams-Barnett
6.71
11
Mathys Tel
Mathys Tel Midfielder
6.66
47
Mikey Moore
Mikey Moore
Attacker46'
6.72
16
Sandro Tonali
Sandro Tonali Midfielder
6.7
43
Jamie Paul Donley
Jamie Paul Donley
Midfielder46'
6.64
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Midfielder
7.2
78
Harry Byrne
Harry Byrne
Midfielder46'
6.53
27
Manor Solomon
Manor Solomon Midfielder
6.75
59
Minhyeok Yang
Minhyeok Yang
Attacker46'
6.27
19
Dominic Solanke
Dominic Solanke Attacker
6.42
9
Richarlison
Richarlison
Attacker46'
6.9
Referee : Constantine Hatzidakis

Starting XI

1
Craig MacGillivray
Craig MacGillivray Goalkeeper
6.9
51
Sebastian Stacey
Sebastian Stacey
Goalkeeper81'
6.5
2
G. Jones
G. Jones Defender
6.11
32
Jack Sanders
Jack Sanders Defender
6.48
Jack Sanders
66'
35
Charlie Waller
Charlie Waller Defender
6.24
25
Curtis Nelson
Curtis Nelson
Defender46'
6.5
96
Cohen Bramall
Cohen Bramall Defender
5.93
46
Jack Burke
Jack Burke
Defender66'
6.3
99
C. Goode
C. Goode Defender
6.53
21
Marvin Ekpiteta
Marvin Ekpiteta
Defender65'
6.41
7
Daniel Crowley
Daniel Crowley Midfielder
6.73
26
Ben Wiles
Ben Wiles
Attacker57'
6.61
29
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
6.88
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
66'
97
Ryan Wintle
Ryan Wintle Midfielder
6.41
6
Liam Kelly
Liam Kelly
Midfielder46'
7.2
98
Dan Barlaser
Dan Barlaser Midfielder
6.56
28
Jay Matete
Jay Matete
Midfielder46'
6.54
13
Callum Paterson
6.77
Callum Paterson
66'

Events

2ND-HALF
81'
Event
Sebastian Stacey Craig MacGillivray
22nd Substitution
80'
Event
Rian Silver Keon Lewis-Burgess
21st Substitution
66'
Event
Jack Burke Cohen Bramall
17th Substitution
66'
Event
Jack Sanders
18th Substitution
66'
Event
Brooklyn Kazungu Callum Paterson
19th Substitution
66'
Event
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
20th Substitution
65'
Event
Marvin Ekpiteta C. Goode
16th Substitution
57'
Event
Keon Lewis-Burgess G. Jones
14th Substitution
57'
Event
Ben Wiles Daniel Crowley
15th Substitution
Event
Lucá Williams-Barnett Conor Gallagher
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Harry Byrne Mateus Fernandes
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Jamie Paul Donley Sandro Tonali
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Martin Dúbravka Antonín Kinský
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Tye Hall Ben Davies 
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Malachi Hardy Archie Gray
6th Substitution
46'
Event
Minhyeok Yang Manor Solomon
7th Substitution
46'
Event
Mikey Moore Mathys Tel
10th Substitution
46'
Event
Richarlison Dominic Solanke
12th Substitution
46'
Event
Dane Scarlett Kota Takai
13th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Liam Kelly Ryan Wintle
8th Substitution
46'
Event
Jay Matete Dan Barlaser
9th Substitution
46'
Event
Curtis Nelson Charlie Waller
11th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
3'

CONCLUSION

Tottenham Hotspur completed a narrow 1-0 win over Milton Keynes Dons after leading at the interval. Possession dominance at 71 percent supported their control yet produced only one goal. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain full complements. Significant deviation appeared in Tottenham metrics while efficiency stayed consistent with their status as the stronger side. Market alignment held true for the recorded result. Limited xG information prevented deeper outcome comparisons. The fixture highlighted steady defensive organization from the visitors despite lower possession share.