Torino vs AC Milan preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Serie A
TorinoTOR
1 2
AC MilanMIL
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
Ché Adams - 90+3'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

In the match between Torino and AC Milan the away side claimed a 1-2 victory. Both teams were level at 0-0 after the first half. Torino recorded 41 percent possession against AC Milan's 59 percent. Expected goals finished at 1.06 for the home side and 2.24 for the visitors producing a differential of minus 1.18. The final scoreline of 1-2 proved consistent with these underlying numbers as the stronger team collected the points. No red cards were shown to either side. The structural deviation reached a significant level for AC Milan throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Torino 1-2 AC Milan. AC Milan showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's overall capabilities.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome aligned with the expected goals differential of minus 1.18.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed consistent with pre-match expectations for both teams.
  • xG expectations: Torino produced 1.06 expected goals while AC Milan created 2.24 expected goals.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the standard progression of the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side across the full ninety minutes.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Zufferli
L. Zufferli
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Bercigli
F. Bercigli
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Zingarelli
A. Zingarelli
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Massa
D. Massa
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Torino I. Abate
I. Abate
VS
AC Milan R. Amorim
R. Amorim
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Cagliari Rank: 74 L
Sassuolo Rank: 75 W
Udinese Rank: 77 L
Inter Rank: 92 D
Cremonese Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cagliari Rank: 74 L
Genoa Rank: 75 W
Atalanta Rank: 84 L
Sassuolo Rank: 75 L
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Hellas Verona Rank: 64 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.32
84.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Torino
AC Milan
Power Score
75.32
84.55
League Position
15
4
Global Rank
126
42

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Torino — Opponent-weighted form score
AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Torino AC Milan

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Torino

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AC Milan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Torino ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AC Milan
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.54
36.53
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.53
23.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Torino -1.60 Efficiency Index
vs
AC Milan +1.60 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Torino
AC Milan
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Torino
vs
AC Milan
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Torino AC Milan
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
32%
4%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.34 vs -0.08
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Torino AC Milan
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
4%
32%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.08 vs -0.34
Torino
AC Milan
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Torino
vs
AC Milan
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Torino AC Milan
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Torino 0.24
AC Milan 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Torino AC Milan
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Torino 0.04
AC Milan 0.03
Torino
AC Milan
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIL had peak pressure around 26'.
  • MIL started the game with stronger pressure.
TOR Pressure MIL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIL reached the top pressure at 26' (99.06).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Torino TOR Home
4 matches
AC Milan MIL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
8
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
2.45
xG
1.73
1.73
xGA
2.45

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:15:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Serie A, Italy · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Capacity
27958
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luca Zufferli
Filippo Bercigli
Andrea Zingarelli
Davide Massa

Statistics

Possession
TOR
42%
MIL
58%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 9
33 Dangerous attacks 51
41 Possession 59
2 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 84
12 Goal Kicks 10
6 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 6
15 Throwins 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
11 Successful Headers 17
1 Assists 2
0 Injuries 1
10 Dribble Attempts 15
6 Successful Dribbles 4
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

80 Attacks 96
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

40 Long Passes 53
383 Passes 555
315 Successful Passes 486
82 Successful Passes Percentage 88
6 Key Passes 18
12 Successful Long Passes 30
30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57

Defensive

2 Saves 0
13 Tackles 15
6 Interceptions 6
38 Duels Won 46

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 20
2 Accurate Crosses 11

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Luca Zufferli

Starting XI ▼

26
Diego Mascardi
Diego Mascardi Goalkeeper
6.26
15
Pietro Comuzzo
Pietro Comuzzo Defender
6.1
17
Sandro Kulenović
Sandro Kulenović
Attacker85'
6.43
23
Saúl Coco
Saúl Coco Defender
6.92
44
Ardian Ismajli
Ardian Ismajli Defender
6.74
16
Marcus Pedersen
Marcus Pedersen Midfielder
6.68
29
Niccolò Fortini
Niccolò Fortini
Defender70'
6.79
28
Kian Fitz-Jim
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder
7.21
66
Gvidas Gineitis
Gvidas Gineitis Midfielder
6.85
77
Alessio Cacciamani
Alessio Cacciamani Midfielder
6.53
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal
Zakaria Aboukhlal
Attacker81'
6.33
10
Nikola Vlašić
Nikola Vlašić (C) Attacker
6.41
18
Giovanni Simeone
Giovanni Simeone Attacker
6.29
92
Alieu Njie
Alieu Njie
Attacker70'
6.96
22
Cesare Casadei
Cesare Casadei Attacker
6.66
19
Ché Adams
Ché Adams
Attacker70'
7.1
Referee : Luca Zufferli

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan (C) Goalkeeper
6.31
5
Koni De Winter
Koni De Winter Defender
7.28
31
Strahinja Pavlović
Strahinja Pavlović Defender
6.6
34
Mario Gila
Mario Gila Defender
7.28
46
Matteo Gabbia
Matteo Gabbia
Defender76'
6.31
2
Pervis Estupiñán
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder
7.24
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi
Defender66'
6.38
21
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Midfielder
7.86
30
Ardon Jashari
Ardon Jashari Midfielder
6.89
12
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot
Midfielder56'
7.52
80
Yunus Musah
Yunus Musah Midfielder
6.54
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Attacker
7.05
14
Luka Modrić
Luka Modrić
Midfielder56'
6.71
9
Gonçalo Ramos
Gonçalo Ramos Attacker
7.07
70
Alphadjo Cissè
Alphadjo Cissè Attacker
7.7
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers
Attacker66'
6.72

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ché Adams
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+3'
Event
Sandro Kulenović → Pietro Comuzzo
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Zakaria Aboukhlal → Alessio Cacciamani
9th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Matteo Gabbia → Mario Gila
8th Substitution
Event
Ché Adams → Cesare Casadei
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Niccolò Fortini → Marcus Pedersen
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Alieu Njie → Giovanni Simeone
7th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Adrien Rabiot
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
Event
Davide Bartesaghi → Pervis Estupiñán
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Alexis Saelemaekers → Alphadjo Cissè
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Alphadjo Cissè
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
56'
Event
Luka Modrić → Ruben Loftus-Cheek
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Adrien Rabiot → Ardon Jashari
2nd Substitution
52'
Event
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Che Adams scores with a right-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Che Adams scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Gvidas Gineitis.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Che Adams scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Gvidas Gineitis.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Che Adams scores, making it 1-2, assisted by Gvidas Gineitis.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Aboukhlal takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Pietro Comuzzo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
76
Update Update
Matteo Gabbia comes on for Mario Gila.
74
Attempt Attempt
Eybi Nije takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
72
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
70
Update Update
Eybi Nije comes on for Giovanni Pablo Simeone.
69
Update Update
Niccolo Fortini comes on for Marcus Holmgren Pedersen.
69
Substitution Substitution
Che Adams is substituted for Cesare Casadei.
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alexis Saelemaekers with his left foot goes wide.
66
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Adrien Rabiot with his left foot results in a goal.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Alphadjo Cisse with his right foot results in a goal.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alphadjo Cisse scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Adrien Rabiot.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Alphadjo Cisse takes a right-footed shot.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alphadjo Cisse scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Adrien Rabiot.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Pablo Simeone takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Update Update
Koni De Winter's header is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos attempts a header but misses the shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos attempts a header but misses the shot.
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Saul Basilio Coco-Bassey Oubina with another body part, but it misses the target.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
46
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Loftus-Cheek attempts a header but misses the shot.
39
Update Update
Offside.
32
Attempt Attempt
Alphadjo Cisse attempts a header but misses the shot.
30
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Chimerenka Chukwueze takes a left-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Chimerenka Chukwueze takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Alphadjo Cisse attempts a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Loftus-Cheek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Pervis Josue Estupinan Tenorio takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
21
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Loftus-Cheek takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Pablo Simeone takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Loftus-Cheek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Loftus-Cheek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Matias Ramos takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
2
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Luca Zufferli.

CONCLUSION

The result confirmed AC Milan's superiority through higher chance creation and possession dominance that translated directly into the 1-2 scoreline. Torino's limited output of 1.06 expected goals restricted their ability to force a different outcome. Alignment between expected goals and the actual result left little room for variance from underlying metrics. Absence of red cards maintained balanced team structures for the entire game. Efficiency remained in line with the stronger side's established patterns without notable adjustments in the second half. The performance reinforced the expected hierarchy between the clubs based on season-long indicators.