Tobol vs Panevėžys preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Astana Arena Today - 2:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Tobol TOB
Panevėžys Panevėžys
KICKOFF : Today - 2:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

Tobol welcomes Panevėžys to the Astana Arena for their Europa Conference League encounter in the second qualifying round. Equal power scores of 23.33 for both sides point to a balanced contest on paper. Form readings sit level at 16.67, suggesting neither side carries a clear recent edge. Home advantage at the venue could tilt proceedings toward the hosts despite the parity elsewhere. Limited data on efficiency and set-piece metrics leaves room for on-field surprises. Squad depth and transition play remain areas where both teams must adapt quickly. The fixture promises tactical discipline as players adjust to the international stage. Overall preparation will decide which side advances further in the competition.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Power scores stand equal at 23.33 for Tobol and Panevėžys.
  • Form: Both sides post identical form scores of 16.67.
  • Squad: Squad information remains unavailable for detailed comparison.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Transition: Transition statistics lack sufficient detail for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data shows low confidence with proxy values used.
  • xVariable: Power advantage registers at zero points between the teams.
  • Market: Tobol 71.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.8% (Δ+0%) | Panevėžys 8.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tobol M. Romashchenko
M. Romashchenko
VS
Panevėžys T. Korkeakunnas
T. Korkeakunnas
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Panevėžys Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tobol Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tobol
71.55%
Draw
19.76%
Away Panevėžys
8.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tobol
Panevėžys
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tobol — Opponent-weighted form score
Panevėžys — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tobol Panevėžys

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tobol TOB Home
1 matches
Panevėžys Panevėžys Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:06:22+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Astana Arena
Capacity
14356
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Denys Shurman
Oleksiy Myronov
Hrushko Svitlana
Oleksandr Shandor

Squad

Referee : Denys Shurman

Squad ▼

1
Sultan Busurmanov
Sultan Busurmanov Goalkeeper
44
Danil Ustimenko
Danil Ustimenko Goalkeeper
35
Yuriy Melikhov
Yuriy Melikhov Goalkeeper
25
Antonio Boršić
Antonio Boršić Defender
72
Rayan Senhadji
Rayan Senhadji Defender
22
Aleksandr Marochkin
Aleksandr Marochkin Defender
4
Nemanja Cavnić
Nemanja Cavnić Defender
5
Pape Alioune N'Diaye
Pape Alioune N'Diaye Defender
3
Roman Asrankulov
Roman Asrankulov Defender
8
Askhat Tagybergen
Askhat Tagybergen Midfielder
21
Nauryzbek Zhagorov
Nauryzbek Zhagorov Midfielder
14
Mohamed Amine Talal
Mohamed Amine Talal Midfielder
6
Maksim Myakish
Maksim Myakish Midfielder
17
Aleksandr Zuev
Aleksandr Zuev Attacker
30
Luis Alejandro Guerra Romero
Luis Alejandro Guerra Romero Attacker
18
Uroš Milovanović
Uroš Milovanović Attacker
10
Islam Chesnokov
Islam Chesnokov Attacker
19
Dauren Zhumat
Dauren Zhumat Attacker
Referee : Denys Shurman

Squad ▼

1
Vytautas Gediminas Černiauskas
Vytautas Gediminas Černiauskas Goalkeeper
22
Arijus Bražinskas
Arijus Bražinskas Goalkeeper
12
Liudvikas Valius
Liudvikas Valius Goalkeeper
95
Joël Fey d'Or Bopesu
Joël Fey d'Or Bopesu Defender
15
Justinas Januševskij
Justinas Januševskij Defender
33
Seydina Abou Bakr Lamine Keita
Seydina Abou Bakr Lamine Keita Defender
13
Strahinja Kerkez
Strahinja Kerkez Defender
5
Miano van den Bos
Miano van den Bos Defender
66
Dovydas Balsys
Dovydas Balsys Defender
25
Ignas Lukoševičius
Ignas Lukoševičius Defender
6
Matas Ramanauskas
Matas Ramanauskas Midfielder
77
Parfait Bizoza
Parfait Bizoza Midfielder
34
Isaac Asante
Isaac Asante Midfielder
28
Ernestas Burdzilauskas
Ernestas Burdzilauskas Midfielder
8
Salomon Kouadio
Salomon Kouadio Midfielder
80
Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas
Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas Attacker
24
Nauris Petkevičius
Nauris Petkevičius Attacker
16
Marko Bačanin
Marko Bačanin Attacker
79
Valdas Paulauskas
Valdas Paulauskas Attacker
27
Kwadwo Asamoah
Kwadwo Asamoah Attacker
17
Oleksandr Kurtsev
Oleksandr Kurtsev Attacker

CONCLUSION

Tobol holds a slight home edge at the Astana Arena against a resilient Panevėžys side. Equal underlying metrics suggest the match will hinge on execution rather than pre-existing gaps. Players from both squads must manage the demands of European competition carefully. Tactical adjustments in midfield and defense could prove decisive during key moments. Limited prior data on set pieces and efficiency adds an element of unpredictability. The contest offers an opportunity for emerging talents to make an impact. Strong organization and quick decision-making will shape the outcome. Fans can expect a measured approach from both coaches aiming to control proceedings.