Thornbury Town vs Brislington preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
FA Cup
Thornbury TownTHTO4
0 1
BrislingtonBRI
Full Time
Extra Preliminary Round
|
Goal
Unknown - 4'

CONTEXT

Thornbury Town welcomed Brislington to their home ground for a contest that saw the away side claim a narrow 0-1 victory. The halftime score stood at 0-1 after Brislington struck early. Thornbury Town entered as the stronger team on paper yet failed to find an equalizer despite controlling periods of play. Brislington defended resolutely and capitalized on their opportunity to secure the points. The match featured no red cards and limited clear chances for either side after the interval. Possession and expected goals figures were not recorded leaving analysts to focus on the final outcome and the significant deviation achieved by the winners. Brislington demonstrated efficiency that stayed in line with their approach throughout the ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brislington recorded a significant structural deviation as the away winner against the stronger side.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the performance levels shown by both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved market aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined due to the complete absence of supporting data.
  • Event impact: The early away goal at halftime carried decisive event impact on the 0-1 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role since zero red cards were shown to either team.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Thornbury Town Thornbury Town
Thornbury Town
VS
Brislington Brislington
Brislington
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Thornbury Town
Brislington
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Thornbury Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Brislington — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Thornbury Town Brislington

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Thornbury Town

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brislington

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Thornbury Town ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brislington
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Thornbury Town Brislington
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
— —
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Thornbury Town Brislington
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
— —
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Thornbury Town
Brislington
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Thornbury Town
vs
Brislington
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Thornbury Town Brislington
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Thornbury Town 0.00
Brislington 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Thornbury Town Brislington
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Thornbury Town —
Brislington 0.00
Thornbury Town
Brislington
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Extra Preliminary Round
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

No data available

Squad ▼

—
Tom Godsell
Tom Godsell Defender
—
Danny Barwood
Danny Barwood Defender
—
Jason Hughes
Jason Hughes Defender
—
Dean Gifford
Dean Gifford Defender
—
James Peart
James Peart Defender
—
Liam Peart
Liam Peart Midfielder
—
Josh Dryer
Josh Dryer Midfielder
—
Luke Meacham
Luke Meacham Midfielder
—
Charles Charles
Charles Charles Midfielder

Events

1ST-HALF
4'
Event
1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Thornbury Town 0-1 Brislington. Structural assessment: Brislington exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.