The New Saints vs Sabah preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Park Hall Stadium Tue, 14 Jul - 5:30 PM
Champions League
The New SaintsTNS
1 2
SabahSABA
Full Time Tue, 14 Jul 5:30 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 4
Josh Lock - 89'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. The New Saints 1–2 Sabah. The result saw Sabah take the points. Sabah showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sabah recorded a significant 41.5 percent structural deviation from expected patterns.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing any alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were provided so expectations could not be evaluated.
  • Event impact: The 0-2 halftime score shaped the second-half adjustments and final outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown so no distortion affected team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Busquets Ferrer
M. Busquets Ferrer
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
I. Prieto López de Ceraín
I. Prieto López de Ceraín
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. García González
G. García González
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Ortiz Arias
M. Ortiz Arias
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
The New Saints C. Harrison
C. Harrison
VS
Sabah V. Dambrauskas
V. Dambrauskas
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sabah Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
The New Saints Rank: 63 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home The New Saints
19.62%
Draw
21.87%
Away Sabah
58.51%

Movement

Changes since opening
The New Saints
+18.21%
Draw
+12.42%
Sabah
-30.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
The New Saints
Sabah
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
The New Saints — Opponent-weighted form score
Sabah — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) The New Saints Sabah

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

The New Saints

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sabah

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

The New Saints ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sabah
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.07
26.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.57
27.07
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
The New Saints +0.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Sabah -0.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
The New Saints
Sabah
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

The New Saints ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sabah
Created Set-piece attacking threat
The New Saints Sabah
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
The New Saints Sabah
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
The New Saints
Sabah
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
The New Saints
vs
Sabah
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
The New Saints Sabah
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
The New Saints 0.20
Sabah 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
The New Saints Sabah
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
The New Saints 0.04
Sabah 0.02
The New Saints
Sabah
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SABA had peak pressure around 29'.
  • TNS started the game with stronger pressure.
TNS Pressure SABA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SABA reached the top pressure at 29' (80.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

The New Saints TNS Home
1 matches
Sabah SABA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:01:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 14, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 4
Stadium
Park Hall Stadium
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Iñigo Prieto López de Ceraín
Gonzalo García González
Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Statistics

Possession
TNS
49%
SABA
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
5 Shots 6
49 Dangerous attacks 47
46 Possession 54
3 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
9 Throwins 19
0 Assists 2

Attacking

82 Attacks 73

Defensive

4 Saves 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
7 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Starting XI ▼

1
Nathan Shepperd
Nathan Shepperd Goalkeeper
5.88
6
Jack Bodenham
Jack Bodenham Defender
6.05
14
Daniel Williams
Daniel Williams Defender
6.05
22
Danny Davies
Danny Davies
Defender46'
6.5
16
Dynel Simeu
Dynel Simeu Defender
6.05
4
Dominic Corness
Dominic Corness Midfielder
6.27
8
Ryan Brobbel
Ryan Brobbel Midfielder
6.23
—
Ryan Brobbel
74'
10
Daniel Redmond
Daniel Redmond Midfielder
6.27
23
Zach Nolan
Zach Nolan
Defender83'
6.5
15
Eoin Farrell
Eoin Farrell Midfielder
6.27
19
Ben Clark
Ben Clark
Midfielder60'
6.5
20
Rhys Hughes
Rhys Hughes Midfielder
6.23
21
Leo Smith
Leo Smith Midfielder
6.27
37
Isaac Jefferies
Isaac Jefferies
Midfielder60'
6.61
17
Jordan Williams
Jordan Williams Attacker
6.43
Referee : Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Starting XI ▼

92
Stas Pokatilov
Stas Pokatilov Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Rahman Dashdamirov
Rahman Dashdamirov Defender
6.45
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz
Tymoteusz Puchacz Defender
6.37
33
Júnior Almeida
Júnior Almeida Defender
6.26
80
Akim Zedadka
Akim Zedadka Defender
6.26
7
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
Umarali Rakhmonaliev Midfielder
6.37
10
Aleksey Isayev
Aleksey Isayev Midfielder
6.5
34
Xander Severina
Xander Severina
Midfielder82'
6.37
13
Ivan Lepinjica
Ivan Lepinjica Midfielder
6.45
—
Ivan Lepinjica
70'
19
Aaron Malouda
Aaron Malouda Midfielder
6.61
11
Kaheem Parris
Kaheem Parris
Midfielder76'
6.37
21
Veljko Simic
Veljko Simic Midfielder
6.5
23
Younes Lachaab
Younes Lachaab
Attacker76'
6.46
20
Joy-Lance Mickels
Joy-Lance Mickels Attacker
6.86
99
Orphé Mbina
Orphé Mbina
Attacker70'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Josh Lock
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
89'
Event
Zach Nolan → Daniel Redmond 
10th Substitution
83'
82'
Event
Xander Severina → Aleksey Isayev
9th Substitution
76'
Event
Younes Lachaab → Veljko Simic
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Kaheem Parris → Aaron Malouda
8th Substitution
Event
Josh Lock → Ryan Brobbel
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Ryan Brobbel
Roughing / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
70'
Event
Rodrigo Fernandes → Ivan Lepinjica
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Orphé Mbina → Joy-Lance Mickels
5th Substitution
Event
Ben Clark → Eoin Farrell
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Isaac Jefferies → Leo Smith
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Rhys Hughes
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
Event
Danny Davies → Daniel Williams
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Rahman Dashdamirov
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
28'
Event
Joy-Lance Mickels
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
5'
Event
Ivan Lepinjica
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
83
Update Update
Zach Nolan is on, and Daniel Redmond is off.
82
Update Update
On Xander Severina, off Aleksey Isaev.
76
Update Update
Kaheem Parris is on, and Aaron Malouda is off.
76
Update Update
Kaheem Parris is on, and Aaron Malouda is off.
74
Update Update
On comes Josh Lock, off goes Ryan Brobbel.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Brobbel receives a yellow card.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Brobbel receives a yellow card.
70
Update Update
Rodrigo Francisco Pinto Vieira Fernandes is on, and Ivan Lepinjica is off.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Isaac Jefferies comes on for Leo Smith.
60
Update Update
On Ben Clark, off Eoin Farrell.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rhys Hughes receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
On Archie Daniel Davies, off Daniel Patrick Williams.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rahman Dashdamirov scores, making it 0-2.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ivan Lepinjica.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mateo Busquets Ferrer.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: The New Saints 1-2 Sabah. Structural assessment: Sabah exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.