Ararat-Armenia vs Celje preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium Today - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Ararat-Armenia ARAR2
Celje CEL
KICKOFF : Today - 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Ararat-Armenia prepares to host Celje at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium for a Champions League third qualifying round clash in the 2026/2027 campaign. The visitors arrive with a modest power edge of 5.9 points and a higher overall rating of 35.92. Home side metrics sit at 30 while recent form readings favor the hosts with a 25 mark against an away tally of 16.67. Both clubs lack recent outing details and domestic standings remain irrelevant in this international setting. Limited underlying numbers restrict deeper insight into efficiency or transitional patterns. Set piece evaluations also stay unavailable given the absence of advanced tracking. Celje carries the label of stronger unit yet the fixture offers an even platform for both participants to assert control from the opening whistle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: The match is the first leg of the third qualifying round in the Champions League.
  • Form: Ararat-Armenia holds a higher form score of 25 compared to Celje's 16.67.
  • Squad: Celje enters as the stronger side with a power score of 35.92 against Ararat-Armenia's 30.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data shows no significant details available from prior matches.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance indicators are not provided due to limited data availability.
  • xVariable: Celje holds a power advantage of 5.9 points over the home side.
  • Market: Projection split: Ararat-Armenia 34.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Celje 37.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Ararat-Armenia M. da Silva Cruz
M. da Silva Cruz
VS
Celje V. de Carvalho Campelos
V. de Carvalho Campelos
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shamrock Rovers Rank: L
Shamrock Rovers Rank: W
Riga Rank: L
Riga Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rank: 51 D
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rank: 49 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ararat-Armenia
34.33%
Draw
28.52%
Away Celje
37.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30
35.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ararat-Armenia
Celje
Power Score
30
35.92
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ararat-Armenia — Opponent-weighted form score
Celje — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ararat-Armenia Celje

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ararat-Armenia ARAR2 Home
1 matches
Celje CEL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:02:17+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Capacity
14403
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Kružliak
Branislav Hancko
Ján Pozor
Peter Kralovic

Squad

Referee : Ivan Kružliak

Squad ▼

98
João Victor Donna Bravim
João Victor Donna Bravim Goalkeeper
1
Arman Nersesyan
Arman Nersesyan Goalkeeper
66
Hayk Khachatryan
Hayk Khachatryan Goalkeeper
13
Kamo Hovhannisyan
Kamo Hovhannisyan Defender
47
Alexandros Malis
Alexandros Malis Defender
43
Bruno Ricardo Valdez Wilson
Bruno Ricardo Valdez Wilson Defender
3
José Junior Julio Bueno
José Junior Julio Bueno Defender
14
Bruno Martins Pereira
Bruno Martins Pereira Defender
16
Edgar Grigoryan
Edgar Grigoryan Defender
5
Luis Felipe Hungria Martins
Luis Felipe Hungria Martins Defender
2
H. da Silva Oliveira
H. da Silva Oliveira Defender
19
Karen Muradyan
Karen Muradyan Midfielder
20
Alwyn Luheni Tera
Alwyn Luheni Tera Midfielder
10
Armen Ambartsumyan
Armen Ambartsumyan Midfielder
8
Juan Andrés Balanta Palacios
Juan Andrés Balanta Palacios Midfielder
17
Maxence Carlier
Maxence Carlier Midfielder
11
Zidane Banjaqui
Zidane Banjaqui Midfielder
6
Michel Ayvazyan
Michel Ayvazyan Midfielder
—
Davit Petrosyan
Davit Petrosyan Midfielder
91
Sandro César Cordovil de Lima
Sandro César Cordovil de Lima Attacker
90
Paul Ayongo
Paul Ayongo Attacker
95
Carlos Henrique França Freires
Carlos Henrique França Freires Attacker
25
Alioune Ndour
Alioune Ndour Attacker
7
Zhirayr Shaghoyan
Zhirayr Shaghoyan Attacker
—
Misak Hakobyan
Misak Hakobyan Attacker
77
Artur Serobyan
Artur Serobyan Attacker
9
Arayik Eloyan
Arayik Eloyan Attacker
Referee : Ivan Kružliak

Squad ▼

21
Simon Sluga
Simon Sluga Goalkeeper
23
Žiga Frelih
Žiga Frelih Goalkeeper
1
Žan Luk Leban
Žan Luk Leban Goalkeeper
12
Luka Kolar
Luka Kolar Goalkeeper
33
Leonardo Koutris
Leonardo Koutris Defender
2
Pijus Sirvys
Pijus Sirvys Defender
3
Damjan Vukliševič
Damjan Vukliševič Defender
—
Matija Kavčič
Matija Kavčič Defender
15
David Castro Pazos
David Castro Pazos Defender
20
Alpha Richard Dionkou
Alpha Richard Dionkou Defender
6
Artemijus Tutyškinas
Artemijus Tutyškinas Defender
44
Łukasz Bejger
Łukasz Bejger Defender
14
Nino Vukasović
Nino Vukasović Defender
—
G. Vodeb
G. Vodeb Defender
—
Sen Džumhur
Sen Džumhur Defender
8
Mario Kvesić
Mario Kvesić Midfielder
17
Andrej Kotnik
Andrej Kotnik Midfielder
94
Rudi Vancaš Požeg
Rudi Vancaš Požeg Midfielder
4
Darko Hrka
Darko Hrka Midfielder
19
Mark Zabukovnik
Mark Zabukovnik Midfielder
10
Svit Sešlar
Svit Sešlar Midfielder
27
Ivan Ćalušić
Ivan Ćalušić Midfielder
—
Jošt Pišek
Jošt Pišek Midfielder
13
Papa Mustapha Daniel
Papa Mustapha Daniel Midfielder
22
Jakov Pranjić
Jakov Pranjić Midfielder
—
Domagoj Vidović
Domagoj Vidović Midfielder
7
Florjan Jevšenak
Florjan Jevšenak Midfielder
99
Matej Poplatnik
Matej Poplatnik Attacker
11
Milot Avdyli
Milot Avdyli Attacker
25
Veton Tusha
Veton Tusha Attacker
91
Yaya Dukuly
Yaya Dukuly Attacker
47
Armandas Kučys
Armandas Kučys Attacker
77
Matic Ivanšek
Matic Ivanšek Attacker
—
Dejan Suhovrsnik
Dejan Suhovrsnik Attacker
—
Lukas Ceh
Lukas Ceh Attacker

CONCLUSION

Celje steps onto the pitch with a slight structural rating lead yet Ararat-Armenia benefits from superior recent form indicators. The venue atmosphere at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium could tilt momentum toward the hosts during key passages. Absence of granular efficiency and transitional statistics leaves room for on-field surprises once play begins. Set piece contributions stay difficult to forecast without supporting metrics. Both sides must navigate the opening exchanges carefully to establish rhythm. Celje may lean on its power rating to dictate tempo while Ararat-Armenia looks to exploit home conditions. The encounter promises a balanced contest shaped by available squad strengths and current readiness levels.