Mjällby vs Slovan Bratislava preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Strandvallen Tue, 4 Aug - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Full Time Tue, 4 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Elliot Stroud - 61' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Mjällby hosted Slovan Bratislava in the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie. The match concluded with a 1-2 victory for the visitors after a goalless first half. Slovan Bratislava controlled 54 percent of possession compared to Mjällby's 46 percent. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. The stronger team according to available indicators secured the win on the night. The outcome reflected the pre-match assessment with only minimal deviation recorded at 5.2 percent. Efficiency metrics stayed consistent throughout the ninety minutes. This result leaves Slovan Bratislava with an advantage heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Mjällby 1-2 Slovan Bratislava. Slovan Bratislava showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match indicators.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with available indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals figures were not provided for assessment.
  • Event impact: Slovan Bratislava gained a lead after leg one of two.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to influence the outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Walsh
N. Walsh
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Connor
F. Connor
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. McFarlane
D. McFarlane
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Robertson
D. Robertson
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
Slovan Bratislava Gnégnéri Yaya Touré
Gnégnéri Yaya Touré
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: D
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Iberia 1999 Rank: D
FC Iberia 1999 Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mjällby
0.63%
Draw
4.56%
Away Slovan Bratislava
94.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.27
79.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Slovan Bratislava
Power Score
69.27
79.74
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
325
96

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Mjällby Opponent-weighted form score
Slovan Bratislava Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mjällby Slovan Bratislava

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Slovan Bratislava

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slovan Bratislava
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.80
21.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.02
18.80
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mjällby -0.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Slovan Bratislava +0.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Slovan Bratislava
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mjällby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Slovan Bratislava
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby Slovan Bratislava
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby Slovan Bratislava
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mjällby
Slovan Bratislava
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Mjällby
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mjällby Slovan Bratislava
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby Slovan Bratislava
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Mjällby
Slovan Bratislava
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SLV had peak pressure around 13'.
  • SLV started the game with stronger pressure.
MJA Pressure SLV Pressure
Pressure Index: SLV reached the top pressure at 13' (51.59).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
N. Walsh
Francis Connor
Daniel McFarlane
Don Robertson

Statistics

Possession
MJA
44%
SLV
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
4 Shots 4
53 Dangerous attacks 67
46 Possession 54
3 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 4
21 Throwins 25

Attacking

77 Attacks 117

Defensive

0 Saves 1

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : N. Walsh

Starting XI

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg Defender
6.05
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.05
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson Defender
6.05
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.37
39
Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson
6.37
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
6.37
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen
Defender81'
6.26
17
Elliot Stroud
Elliot Stroud Midfielder
6.31
22
Jesper Gustavsson
6.23
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
6.5
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh
Attacker70'
6.43
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.5
9
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef
Midfielder70'
6.27
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Attacker
6.39
29
Olle Lindberg
Olle Lindberg
Midfielder90'
Referee : N. Walsh

Starting XI

71
Dominik Takac
Dominik Takac Goalkeeper
6.12
12
Kenan Bajric
Kenan Bajric (C) Defender
6.26
15
Svetozar Markovic
6.26
28
César Blackman
César Blackman Defender
6.26
57
Sandro Cruz
Sandro Cruz Defender
6.26
3
Peter Pokorný
Peter Pokorný Midfielder
6.37
8
Artur Gajdos
Artur Gajdos Midfielder
6.37
20
Alen Mustafic
Alen Mustafic
Midfielder66'
6.5
14
Alasana Yirajang
Alasana Yirajang Midfielder
6.37
29
Alexej Maros
Alexej Maros Midfielder
6.37
21
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara
Attacker66'
7.23
70
Cristian Martínez
Cristian Martínez Midfielder
6.33
5
Rahim Ibrahim
Rahim Ibrahim
Midfielder79'
6.5
9
Mykola Kukharevych
6.55
19
Manasse Kianga
Manasse Kianga
Attacker79'
6.86

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Olle Lindberg Áki Samuelsen
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
89'
Event
Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson Viktor Gustafson
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Max Nielsen Villiam Granath
8th Substitution
81'
79'
Event
Rahim Ibrahim Cristian Martínez
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Manasse Kianga Mykola Kukharevych
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
Abdoulie Manneh Jeppe Kjær
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Ali Youssef Jacob Bergström
4th Substitution
70'
66'
Event
Suleiman Camara Alexej Maros
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Alen Mustafic Artur Gajdos
2nd Substitution
Event
Penalty / 1st Penalty
61'
52'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Manasse Kianga scores, making it 1-2, assisted by Suleiman Camara.
70
Update Update
Abdoulie Manneh comes on for Jeppe Kjaer.
70
Update Update
Abdoulie Manneh comes on for Jeppe Kjaer.
66
Update Update
Alen Mustafic is on, and Gajdos Artur is off.
66
Update Update
Alen Mustafic is on, and Gajdos Artur is off.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Elliot Stroud scores, making it 1-0.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cristian Martínez receives a yellow card.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Aki Samuelsen.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nick Walsh.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Mjällby 1-2 Slovan Bratislava. Structural assessment: Slovan Bratislava exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.