Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadion Maksimir Today - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb GNK
Kauno Žalgiris KAU
KICKOFF : Today - 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Dinamo Zagreb host Kauno Žalgiris in Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Stadion Maksimir. Power ranking favours Kauno Žalgiris by 1.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kauno Žalgiris hold a +1.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Dinamo Zagreb are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Dinamo Zagreb show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Kauno Žalgiris have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Kauno Žalgiris carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Kauno Žalgiris hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Dinamo Zagreb 80.3% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 12.8% (Δ-0.1%) | Kauno Žalgiris 6.9% (Δ+-0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
VS
Kauno Žalgiris Ž. Sopić
Ž. Sopić
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: 66 W
Thun Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
KÍ Rank: W
KÍ Rank: D
Drita Rank: 58 W
Drita Rank: 59 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Zagreb
80.32%
Draw
12.83%
Away Kauno Žalgiris
6.85%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dinamo Zagreb
+0.07%
Draw
-0.05%
Kauno Žalgiris
-0.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
35.58
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
Kauno Žalgiris
Power Score
35.58
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Kauno Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Kauno Žalgiris

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Home
0 matches
Kauno Žalgiris KAU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:03:11+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity
24851
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erik Lambrechts
Jo De Weirdt
Kevin Monteny
Lothar D'hondt

Squad

Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Squad ▼

1
Daniel Zagorac
Daniel Zagorac Goalkeeper
44
Ivan Filipović
Ivan Filipović Goalkeeper
33
Ivan Nevistić
Ivan Nevistić Goalkeeper
88
Antonio Rajić
Antonio Rajić Goalkeeper
28
Kévin Théophile-Catherine
Kévin Théophile-Catherine Defender
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Stjepan Radeljić Defender
3
Bruno Goda
Bruno Goda Defender
26
Scott McKenna
Scott McKenna Defender
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Defender
25
Moris Valincic
Moris Valincic Defender
16
Raúl Torrente Navarro
Raúl Torrente Navarro Defender
13
Paul Bismarck Tabinas
Paul Bismarck Tabinas Defender
36
Sergi Domínguez Viloria
Sergi Domínguez Viloria Defender
22
Matteo Perez Vinlöf
Matteo Perez Vinlöf Defender
42
Marko Zebić
Marko Zebić Defender
35
Noa Mikic
Noa Mikic Defender
—
Borna Orlić
Borna Orlić Defender
—
Robert Mudražija
Robert Mudražija Midfielder
27
Josip Mišić
Josip Mišić Midfielder
8
Miha Zajc
Miha Zajc Midfielder
7
Luka Stojković
Luka Stojković Midfielder
80
Lukas Kačavenda
Lukas Kačavenda Midfielder
—
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić Midfielder
41
Sven Šunta
Sven Šunta Midfielder
—
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak Attacker
99
Mislav Oršić
Mislav Oršić Attacker
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha Attacker
9
Drena Beljo Dijon
Drena Beljo Dijon Attacker
10
Gabriel Vidović
Gabriel Vidović Attacker
21
Mateo Lisica
Mateo Lisica Attacker
30
Fran Topić
Fran Topić Attacker
—
Daniel Rodríguez Crespo
Daniel Rodríguez Crespo Attacker
—
Tin Miljak
Tin Miljak Attacker
Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Squad ▼

55
Tomas Švedkauskas
Tomas Švedkauskas Goalkeeper
22
Deividas Mikelionis
Deividas Mikelionis Goalkeeper
1
Joris Aliukonis
Joris Aliukonis Goalkeeper
37
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor Defender
3
Anton Tolordava
Anton Tolordava Defender
77
Rokas Lekiatas
Rokas Lekiatas Defender
23
Aldayr Hernández Basanta
Aldayr Hernández Basanta Defender
4
Luka Racic
Luka Racic Defender
45
Joris Moutachy
Joris Moutachy Defender
33
Marko Konatar
Marko Konatar Defender
66
Eduardas Jurjonas
Eduardas Jurjonas Defender
2
Tautvydas Burdzilauskas
Tautvydas Burdzilauskas Defender
14
Vykintas Slivka
Vykintas Slivka Midfielder
10
Gratas Sirgedas
Gratas Sirgedas Midfielder
17
Ivan Fiolić
Ivan Fiolić Midfielder
7
Amine Benchaib
Amine Benchaib Midfielder
32
Franco Baldassarra
Franco Baldassarra Midfielder
8
Yukiyoshi Karashima
Yukiyoshi Karashima Midfielder
11
Fedor Černych
Fedor Černych Attacker
70
Fabien Ourega
Fabien Ourega Attacker
15
Leonardo Ribeiro Da Cruz
Leonardo Ribeiro Da Cruz Attacker
19
Renan Abner do Carmo de Oliveira
Renan Abner do Carmo de Oliveira Attacker
99
Haris Kadrić
Haris Kadrić Attacker
9
Leon Kreković
Leon Kreković Attacker
24
Motiejus Burba
Motiejus Burba Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Kauno Žalgiris holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Kauno Žalgiris a 1.1-point edge. External projection is Dinamo Zagreb 80%, draw 12.9%, and Kauno Žalgiris 7.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.