Rangers vs Jablonec preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Ibrox Stadium
Europa Conference League
RangersRAN
1 0
JablonecJAB
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Ryan Naderi - 50'
Goal
|
Cammy Devlin 74' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Rangers hosted Jablonec in the first leg of their knockout tie and secured a narrow 1-0 victory. The match remained level at halftime with both sides unable to break the deadlock. Rangers controlled 57 percent of possession and generated the majority of chances despite playing with ten men after their red card. Their expected goals total reached 2.03 compared to Jablonec's 0.24, reflecting clear dominance in attacking quality. The single goal arrived in the second half and proved decisive on the night. Jablonec struggled to create meaningful opportunities throughout the contest. Rangers advanced the tie with a slender advantage heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rangers recorded a significant 34.8 percent deviation from pre-match expectations as the stronger side.
  • Efficiency shift: Rangers performance remained in line with their underlying efficiency metrics across the match.
  • xG alignment: The 1-0 result aligned fully with the expected goals differential of 1.79 favoring Rangers.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome proved consistent with pre-match market projections for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Rangers posted 2.03 expected goals while Jablonec managed only 0.24 in the fixture.
  • Event impact: The second half red card to Rangers introduced notable distortion to the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Rangers completed the game with ten players yet still controlled proceedings after the dismissal.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Barbu
M. Barbu
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Grigoriu
M. Grigoriu
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Bucsi
I. Bucsi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Roman
G. Roman
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Rangers D. McInnes
D. McInnes
VS
Jablonec L. Kozel
L. Kozel
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.25
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rīgas FS Rank: W
Rīgas FS Rank: W
Varaždin Rank: 70 W
Varaždin Rank: 71 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rangers
65.2%
Draw
21.26%
Away Jablonec
13.54%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rangers
-29.98%
Draw
+17.08%
Jablonec
+12.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.62
67.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rangers
Jablonec
Power Score
75.62
67.4
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
133
326

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Jablonec — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rangers Jablonec

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rangers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Jablonec

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rangers ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Jablonec
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.67
16.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.98
26.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rangers +0.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Jablonec -0.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rangers
Jablonec
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rangers
vs
Jablonec
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rangers Jablonec
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
19%
14%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.39 vs -0.04
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rangers Jablonec
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
19%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.04 vs -0.39
Rangers
Jablonec
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rangers
vs
Jablonec
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rangers Jablonec
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rangers 0.30
Jablonec 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rangers Jablonec
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rangers 0.00
Jablonec 0.02
Rangers
Jablonec
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JAB had peak pressure around 89'.
  • RAN started the game with stronger pressure.
RAN Pressure JAB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: JAB reached the top pressure at 89' (96.45).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Ibrox Stadium
Capacity
50817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marian Alexandru Barbu
Mircea Mihail Grigoriu
Imre-Laszlo Bucsi
George Cătălin Roman

Statistics

Possession
RAN
56%
JAB
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 1
44 Dangerous attacks 46
57 Possession 43
3 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

78 Ball Safe 67
5 Goal Kicks 8
9 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 4
24 Throwins 22
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1
11 Dribble Attempts 14
3 Successful Dribbles 6
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

Attacking

116 Attacks 81
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

44 Long Passes 49
492 Passes 369
423 Successful Passes 298
86 Successful Passes Percentage 81
12 Key Passes 5
22 Successful Long Passes 22
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

Defensive

4 Saves 2
16 Tackles 8
13 Interceptions 7

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 18
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Marian Alexandru Barbu

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
7.84
21
Dujon Sterling
Dujon Sterling Defender
7.17
24
Olwethu Makhanya
Olwethu Makhanya Defender
7.27
29
James Penrice
James Penrice Defender
7.51
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
Emmanuel Fernandez Defender
7.33
6
Dan Neil
Dan Neil (C) Midfielder
6.73
8
Connor Barron
Connor Barron
Midfielder87'
22
Vanja Dragojevic
Vanja Dragojevic Midfielder
7.04
14
Cammy Devlin
Cammy Devlin
Midfielder69'
4.81
42
Tochi Chukwuani
Tochi Chukwuani Midfielder
7.34
17
Daisuke Yokota
Daisuke Yokota Attacker
7.36
52
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
Attacker69'
6.52
20
Ryan Naderi
Ryan Naderi Attacker
7.44
7
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland
Attacker90+2'
23
Djeidi Gassama
Djeidi Gassama Attacker
6.7
18
Kosta Nedeljkovic
Kosta Nedeljkovic
Defender87'
Referee : Marian Alexandru Barbu

Starting XI ▼

1
Jan Hanus
Jan Hanus Goalkeeper
6.7
4
Nemanja Tekijaski
Nemanja Tekijaski (C) Defender
6.65
15
Dusan Pavlovic
Dusan Pavlovic Defender
6.71
18
Martin Cedidla
Martin Cedidla Defender
7.06
20
Jiri Slama
Jiri Slama Defender
6.62
9
Antonin Rusek
Antonin Rusek
Attacker81'
6.68
7
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
Vakhtang Chanturishvili Midfielder
6.49
10
Jan Suchan
Jan Suchan Midfielder
6.45
8
Filip Zorvan
Filip Zorvan
Midfielder62'
6.55
13
Richard Sedlacek
Richard Sedlacek Midfielder
7.13
21
Matej Polidar
Matej Polidar Midfielder
6.23
16
Hugo Ahl
Hugo Ahl
Midfielder62'
6.34
25
Sebastian Nebyla
Sebastian Nebyla Midfielder
6.25
19
Jan Chramosta
Jan Chramosta
Attacker81'
6.75
44
Lamin Jawo
Lamin Jawo Attacker
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lawrence Shankland → Ryan Naderi
9th Substitution
90+2'
90+1'
Event
Richard Sedlacek
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Hugo Ahl
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Connor Barron → Dan Neil
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Kosta Nedeljkovic → Djeidi Gassama
8th Substitution
87'
81'
Event
Jan Chramosta → Sebastian Nebyla
5th Substitution
81'
Event
Antonin Rusek → Jiri Slama
6th Substitution
Event
Cammy Devlin
Foul / 1st Redcard
74'
Event
Cammy Devlin
Card adjusted
73'
Event
Findlay Curtis → Daisuke Yokota
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Cammy Devlin → Vanja Dragojevic
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Dan Neil
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
62'
Event
Hugo Ahl → Matej Polidar
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Filip Zorvan → Jan Suchan
2nd Substitution
Event
Ryan Naderi
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
50'
1ST-HALF
Event
Emmanuel Fernandez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On comes Lawrence Shankland, off goes Ryan Don Naderi.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Richard Sedlacek.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dujon Sterling takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hugo Ahl receives a yellow card.
87
Attempt Attempt
Tochi Phil Chukwuani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Connor Barron replaces Daniel Neill.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hugo Ahl receives a yellow card.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Connor Barron comes on for Daniel Neill.
86
Update Update
Connor Barron replaces Daniel Neill.
86
Update Update
Kosta Nedeljkovic is on, and Djeidi Gassama is off.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Attempt Attempt
Antonin Rusek takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Antonin Rusek comes on for Jiri Slama.
81
Substitution Substitution
Jan Chramosta is substituted off for Sebastian Nebyla.
78
Update Update
Offside.
78
Update Update
Offside.
74
Red Card Red Card Important
Cameron Devlin receives a red card.
73
Red Card Red Card Important
Cameron Devlin receives a red card.
69
Update Update
Findlay Curtis comes on for Daisuke Yokota.
69
Update Update
Cameron Devlin comes on for Vanja Dragojevic.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Daniel Neill.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Daniel Neill.
62
Substitution Substitution
Filip Zorvan is substituted for Jan Suchan.
62
Update Update
Hugo Ahl is on, and Matej Polidar is off.
56
Attempt Attempt
Djeidi Gassama takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Vanja Dragojevic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Update Update
Offside.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ryan Don Naderi takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
47
Update Update
Offside.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Daisuke Yokota takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Djeidi Gassama takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Vanja Dragojevic with his right foot is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Martin Cedidla takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
14
Attempt Attempt
Vanja Dragojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emmanuel Fernandez receives a yellow card.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marian Barbu.

CONCLUSION

Rangers claimed a hard-fought 1-0 win in the opening leg despite the numerical disadvantage caused by their red card. Their superior chance creation and territorial control created the platform for the decisive goal after the interval. Jablonec remained compact but lacked the penetration needed to threaten an equalizer on the night. The expected goals gap underlined Rangers dominance even with reduced personnel on the pitch. Both teams will now prepare for the return fixture where the aggregate score starts from this narrow margin. Rangers hold a slight edge but must manage the tie carefully to avoid any further setbacks. The result sets up an intriguing second leg with everything still to play for in the knockout context.