Sporting Braga vs Austria Wien preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Europa Conference League
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Pau Víctor - 24' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sporting Braga defeated Austria Wien 2-0 in the first leg of their knockout tie. The home side led 1-0 at halftime after establishing control through sustained possession at 58 percent compared to the visitors 42 percent. Braga generated an expected goals total of 3.18 while limiting Austria Wien to 0.59. The final scoreline of 2-0 aligned with the stronger teams dominance throughout the match. No red cards were issued to either side and the result proved consistent with underlying performance metrics. The significant deviation observed in pre-match projections favored the home team by 33.2 percent. This outcome sets the aggregate position ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Braga recorded a 33.2 percent significant deviation as the stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with expected patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The 2-0 result proved consistent with the xG differential of 2.59.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market projections for the winner.
  • xG expectations: Braga posted 3.18 xG against Austria Wiens 0.59 xG.
  • Event impact: No second half adjustments or major events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Barbara
I. Barbara
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Muscat
J. Muscat
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Spencer
D. Spencer
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Petrović
S. Petrović
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
2.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.25
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Minsk Rank: D
Dinamo Minsk Rank: W
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beitar Jerusalem Rank: L
Beitar Jerusalem Rank: W
Liepāja Rank: W
Liepāja Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
66.82%
Draw
21.08%
Away Austria Wien
12.1%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting Braga
-25.43%
Draw
+14.75%
Austria Wien
+10.68%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.94
65.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
Austria Wien
Power Score
81.94
65.88
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
56
365

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sporting Braga Opponent-weighted form score
Austria Wien Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga Austria Wien

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sporting Braga

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Braga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austria Wien
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.62
15.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.24
28.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Braga +1.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Austria Wien -1.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Braga
Austria Wien
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Braga
vs
Austria Wien
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Braga Austria Wien
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
59%
71%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.86 vs -0.42
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Braga Austria Wien
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
71%
59%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.42 vs -0.86
Sporting Braga
Austria Wien
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sporting Braga
vs
Austria Wien
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Braga Austria Wien
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Braga Austria Wien
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sporting Braga
Austria Wien
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCB had peak pressure around 86'.
  • SCB started the game with stronger pressure.
SCB Pressure FAK Pressure
Pressure Index: SCB reached the top pressure at 86' (98.62).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Attendance
14293
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ishmael Barbara
James Muscat
Duncan Spencer
Slobodan Petrović

Statistics

Possession
SCB
57%
FAK
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
52 Dangerous attacks 28
58 Possession 42
5 Corners 4
16 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
6 Goal Kicks 9
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 20
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
24 Dribble Attempts 8
11 Successful Dribbles 3
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

134 Attacks 79
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

30 Long Passes 48
598 Passes 418
516 Successful Passes 348
86 Successful Passes Percentage 83
9 Key Passes 4
7 Successful Long Passes 25
23 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

1 Saves 3
15 Tackles 21
7 Interceptions 10

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 12
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Ishmael Barbara

Starting XI

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.67
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Defender
7
22
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia
Defender90'
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
6.97
44
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
6.9
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
7.29
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho (C) Midfielder
7.01
11
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva Midfielder
6.97
77
Gabri Martínez
Gabri Martínez
Attacker75'
6.23
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
7.56
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles
Midfielder75'
6.93
9
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro Attacker
6.56
50
Diego Rodrigues
Diego Rodrigues
Midfielder68'
7.26
10
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Attacker
6.94
7
Diogo Travassos
Diogo Travassos
Defender90'
23
Denis Huseinbasic
7.77
Referee : Ishmael Barbara

Starting XI

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
7.17
3
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari Defender
5.89
15
Aleksandar Dragovic
6.58
46
Johannes Handl
Johannes Handl Defender
6.53
40
Daniel Nnodim
Daniel Nnodim
Defender59'
6.82
6
Philipp Maybach
Philipp Maybach Midfielder
6.49
22
Florian Wustinger
Florian Wustinger
Midfielder72'
6.5
7
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic Midfielder
6.8
21
Matteo Schablas
Matteo Schablas
Midfielder81'
6.14
17
Tae-seok Lee
Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
6.85
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
6.5
19
Johannes Eggestein
6.62
14
Kelvin Boateng
Kelvin Boateng
Attacker72'
6.47
20
Julian Hettwer
Julian Hettwer Attacker
6.57
10
Sanel Saljic
Sanel Saljic
Midfielder59'
6.6
30
Manfred Fischer
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sergio Barcia Vítor Carvalho
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Diogo Travassos Pau Víctor
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
88'
Event
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Goalkeeper save
84'
81'
Event
Matteo Schablas Vasilije Markovic
8th Substitution
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
76'
Event
Mario Dorgeles Demir Ege Tıknaz
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Gabri Martínez Gabriel Silva
7th Substitution
75'
72'
Event
Kelvin Boateng Johannes Eggestein
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Florian Wustinger Philipp Maybach
5th Substitution
Event
Diego Rodrigues Fran Navarro
3rd Substitution
68'
59'
Event
Daniel Nnodim Johannes Handl
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Sanel Saljic Julian Hettwer
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
24'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Sanel Saljic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Sergio Barcia comes on for Vitor Carvalho Vieira.
90
Update Update
Diogo Travassos is on, and Pau Victor Delgado is off.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Diego Rodrigues scores with a right-footed shot.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Pau Victor Delgado.
84
Attempt Attempt
Mario Dorgeles takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Pau Victor Delgado takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Pau Victor Delgado misses the shot.
82
Update Update
Matteo Schablas comes on for Vasilije Markovic.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Gabri Martinez.
75
Update Update
On Mario Dorgeles, off Demir Ege Tiknaz.
75
Update Update
Gabri Martinez comes on for Gabriel Silva Vieira.
72
Update Update
Kelvin Boateng comes on for Johannes Eggestein.
72
Update Update
Florian Wustinger comes on for Philipp Maybach.
68
Substitution Substitution
Diego Rodrigues is substituted for Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga.
59
Update Update
Sanel Saljic comes on for Julian Hettwer.
59
Substitution Substitution
Daniel Nnodim is substituted on for Johannes Handl.
51
Attempt Attempt
Denis Huseinbasic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Philipp Maybach takes a shot with his head but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Philipp Maybach takes a shot with his head but misses.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Julian Hettwer takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Pau Victor Delgado takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Johannes Eggestein with his right foot is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Johannes Eggestein with his right foot is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Joao Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho takes a shot, but it is blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Denis Huseinbasic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Joao Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Pau Victor Delgado scores with a right-footed shot.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pau Victor Delgado scores from the penalty spot to make it 1-0.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Pau Victor Delgado takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Attempt Attempt
Demir Ege Tiknaz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Pau Victor Delgado takes a shot with another part of his body, but it misses the target.
5
Attempt Attempt
Johannes Eggestein attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Denis Huseinbasic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ishmael Barbara.

CONCLUSION

Braga secured a 2-0 victory in leg one through measured control and efficient chance creation that matched their elevated xG output. Austria Wien struggled to generate meaningful threats and finished with minimal possession and low expected goals. The halftime lead of 1-0 was extended without disruption from disciplinary incidents or tactical shifts. Possession advantages translated directly into territorial dominance that limited the visitors opportunities. With the aggregate now favoring the home side the return leg presents a clear platform for further consolidation. Both teams displayed patterns that reflected their relative strengths without external distortions influencing the final margin.