Nordsjælland vs St. Gallen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Right to Dream Park
Europa Conference League
NordsjællandFCN
1 0
St. GallenSG
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Nordsjælland faced St. Gallen in the first leg of their tie and secured a narrow 1-0 win with the goal scored before halftime. The home side controlled 54 percent of possession yet generated 1.43 expected goals compared to the visitors 1.92. St. Gallen created the better chances overall but could not find an equalizer. No red cards were shown and the match remained at eleven versus eleven throughout. The halftime score of 1-0 stood as the final result. Nordsjælland as the stronger side on paper delivered an outcome that diverged from the underlying metrics while still claiming the victory on the night.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Nordsjælland 1-0 St. Gallen. Nordsjælland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with the observed performance levels for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome proved inconsistent with xG as the lower xG side claimed the win.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market positioning for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: St. Gallen posted the higher xG total at 1.92 against Nordsjælland 1.43.
  • Event impact: The single first-half goal proved decisive in separating the sides at full time.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without numerical imbalance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Berka
O. Berka
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Vlček
M. Vlček
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Hájek
K. Hájek
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Pechanec
O. Pechanec
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
St. Gallen E. Maaßen
E. Maaßen
2.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
2.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valur Rank: W
Valur Rank: W
GAIS Rank: 63 W
GAIS Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheriff Rank: W
Sheriff Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nordsjælland
61.53%
Draw
19.12%
Away St. Gallen
19.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Nordsjælland
-32.77%
Draw
+14.06%
St. Gallen
+18.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.72
69.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
St. Gallen
Power Score
71.72
69.18
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
209
277

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
St. Gallen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland St. Gallen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

St. Gallen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy St. Gallen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.28
46.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
46.20
25.28
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nordsjælland -1.62 Efficiency Index
vs
St. Gallen +1.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
St. Gallen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nordsjælland
vs
St. Gallen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nordsjælland St. Gallen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
9%
16%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.13 vs -0.31
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nordsjælland St. Gallen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
16%
9%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.31 vs -0.13
Nordsjælland
St. Gallen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nordsjælland
vs
St. Gallen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nordsjælland St. Gallen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nordsjælland 0.36
St. Gallen 0.42
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nordsjælland St. Gallen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nordsjælland 0.00
St. Gallen 0.03
Nordsjælland
St. Gallen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCN had peak pressure around 17'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
FCN Pressure SG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCN reached the top pressure at 17' (84.18).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Right to Dream Park
Capacity
9200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ondřej Berka
Matěj Vlček
Kamil Hájek
Ondřej Pechanec

Statistics

Possession
FCN
52%
SG
48%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 8
33 Dangerous attacks 45
54 Possession 46
3 Corners 5
21 Free kicks 18
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

103 Ball Safe 80
10 Goal Kicks 8
11 Goal Attempts 13
4 Substitutions 5
27 Throwins 15
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 1
33 Dribble Attempts 19
9 Successful Dribbles 9
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

77 Attacks 101
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

73 Long Passes 55
471 Passes 396
383 Successful Passes 316
81 Successful Passes Percentage 80
11 Key Passes 11
38 Successful Long Passes 18
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

6 Saves 3
17 Tackles 31
7 Interceptions 7

Build-up

5 Total Crosses 19
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
18 Fouls 21

Lineup

Referee : Ondřej Berka

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
8.08
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
7.34
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist (C) Defender
7.26
15
Stephen Acquah
Stephen Acquah Defender
7.1
8
Nicklas Røjkjær
Nicklas Røjkjær Midfielder
7.47
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink
Midfielder71'
6.57
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
7.56
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
6.56
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.68
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
6.36
11
Emil Rasmussen
Emil Rasmussen
Attacker61'
7.01
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
6.19
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Midfielder61'
5.89
37
Lamine Sadio
Lamine Sadio Attacker
7.43
29
Villum Berthelsen
Villum Berthelsen
Midfielder71'
6.31
Referee : Ondřej Berka

Starting XI ▼

1
Lawrence Ati Zigi
Lawrence Ati Zigi Goalkeeper
6.97
4
Jozo Stanic
Jozo Stanic Defender
7.46
36
Chima Okoroji
Chima Okoroji Defender
6.95
74
Joel Ruiz
Joel Ruiz Defender
7.1
10
Lukas Daschner
Lukas Daschner Midfielder
6.71
23
Betim Fazliji
Betim Fazliji
Midfielder77'
6.29
16
Lukas Görtler
Lukas Görtler (C) Midfielder
7.14
20
Leon Frokaj
Leon Frokaj Midfielder
6.48
7
Christian Witzig
Christian Witzig
Midfielder46'
6.89
28
Hugo Vandermersch
Hugo Vandermersch Midfielder
6.86
47
Enoch Owusu
Enoch Owusu
Midfielder66'
7.14
64
Mihailo Stevanovic
Mihailo Stevanovic Midfielder
6.77
9
Andrin Hunziker
Andrin Hunziker Attacker
6.78
31
Diego Besio
Diego Besio
Attacker67'
6.31
14
Aliou Baldé
Aliou Baldé Attacker
6.97
21
Malamine Efekele
Malamine Efekele
Attacker81'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
81'
Event
Malamine Efekele  → Aliou Baldé
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Lukas Görtler 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Betim Fazliji → Lukas Daschner
8th Substitution
Event
Villum Berthelsen → Lamine Sadio
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Mark Brink → Nicklas Røjkjær 
7th Substitution
71'
67'
Event
Diego Besio → Andrin Hunziker
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Enoch Owusu → Hugo Vandermersch
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Lukas Daschner
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Emil Rasmussen → Prince Amoako Junior
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen → Ibrahim Adel
3rd Substitution
61'
46'
Event
Christian Witzig → Leon Frokaj
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Leon Frokaj
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Nicklas Røjkjær 
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Christian Witzig takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Betim Fazliji takes a header shot but misses.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Diego Besio's right-footed shot is blocked.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alexander Lin Head Shot Missed
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lukas Gortler receives a yellow card.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
77
Update Update
Betim Fazliji comes on for Lukas Daschner.
73
Attempt Attempt
Aliou Balde takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Attempt Attempt
Diego Besio takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
71
Update Update
On Villum Berthelsen, off Lamine Sadio.
71
Update Update
On Villum Berthelsen, off Lamine Sadio.
70
Update Update
Mark Brink comes on for Nicklas Rojkjaer.
70
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Gortler takes a shot with his left foot, but it is saved.
67
Update Update
Diego Besio comes on for Andrin Hunziker.
66
Update Update
Enoch Owusu is on, and Hugo Vandermersch is off.
66
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Gortler's header is saved.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lukas Daschner receives a yellow card.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Daschner takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Attempt Attempt
Christian Witzig takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Hjalte Rasmussen takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
61
Update Update
Hjalte Rasmussen comes on for Ibrahim Adel.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alexander Lin comes on for Prince Amoako Junior.
54
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Christian Witzig replaces Leon Frokaj.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Leon Frokaj takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Aliou Balde's right-footed shot is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio's left-footed shot is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Justin Janssen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Leon Frokaj.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leon Frokaj.
38
Update Update
Offside.
38
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Aliou Balde takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
32
Update Update
Offside.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Attempt Attempt
Leon Frokaj takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Update Update
Offside.
16
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nicklas Rojkjaer scores with a right-footed shot.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
12
Update Update
Offside.
8
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Stephen Acquah is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Mihailo Stevanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Mihailo Stevanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Mihailo Stevanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
1
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Vandermersch takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ondrej Berka.

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 scoreline leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture. Nordsjælland will need to improve their chance creation to protect the aggregate lead while St. Gallen must convert their superior xG into goals on home soil. Possession edges and efficiency readings suggest both teams remain capable of progressing depending on adjustments made for the second leg. The absence of cards or major disruptions kept the contest open and tactical throughout. Future performances will determine whether the first-leg deviation repeats or normalizes under different conditions.