KÍ vs Riga preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar
Europa Conference League
KÍKÍ
0 – 0
RigaRFC
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

The encounter between KÍ and Riga concluded with a goalless draw in the opening leg of their knockout tie. KÍ held a slight possession advantage at 51 percent compared to Riga's 49 percent. Neither side managed to score in the first half or the second half leading to the even halftime score of 0-0 persisting until full time. Despite Riga being identified as the stronger team the visitors were unable to break down the home defense. A significant deviation level of 74.5 percent was associated with Riga in the pre-match assessment. The absence of any red cards meant the game proceeded without such interruptions. This result sets up an intriguing second leg with the aggregate still level at 0-0.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant deviation of 74.5 percent was recorded with respect to Riga.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations based on available metrics.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment data is not available for this match.
  • Market alignment: The result was not aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing specific expectations analysis.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 draw in the first leg maintains an even aggregate entering the second leg.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Barrott
S. Barrott
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Nunn
A. Nunn
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
W. Smith
W. Smith
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Hallam
F. Hallam
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
KÍ M. Powell
M. Powell
VS
Riga A. Guľa
A. Guľa
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.5
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Győri ETO Rank: 68 D
Győri ETO Rank: 69 W
Vardar Rank: W
Vardar Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KÍ
27.69%
Draw
25.52%
Away Riga
46.79%

Movement

Changes since opening
KÍ
+22.32%
Draw
-63.03%
Riga
+40.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.56
38.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KÍ
Riga
Power Score
25.56
38.89
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
KÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Riga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KÍ Riga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

KÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Riga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Riga
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.98
32.35
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.35
20.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
KÍ -0.88 Efficiency Index
vs
Riga +0.88 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KÍ
Riga
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Riga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KÍ Riga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KÍ Riga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KÍ
Riga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
KÍ
vs
Riga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
KÍ Riga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
KÍ 0.06
Riga 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
KÍ Riga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
KÍ 0.00
Riga 0.00
KÍ
Riga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KÍ had peak pressure around 60'.
  • KÍ started the game with stronger pressure.
KÍ Pressure RFC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KÍ reached the top pressure at 60' (56.94).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Samuel Barrott
Adam Nunn
Wade Smith
Farai Hallam

Statistics

Possession
KÍ
52%
RFC
48%

Top Statistics

4 Shots 7
94 Dangerous attacks 57
51 Possession 49
10 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

121 Ball Safe 119
1 Goal Kicks 0
6 Goal Attempts 12
4 Substitutions 4
25 Throwins 39

Attacking

160 Attacks 146

Defensive

4 Saves 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Samuel Barrott

Starting XI ▼

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Gastón Tellechea
Gastón Tellechea Defender
6.5
23
Jóannes Danielsen
Jóannes Danielsen Defender
6.5
26
Gilli Sörensen
Gilli Sörensen Defender
6.5
36
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos Defender
6.5
4
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan Midfielder
6.5
7
Árni Frederiksberg
Árni Frederiksberg Midfielder
6.5
10
Hallur Hansson
Hallur Hansson Midfielder
6.5
14
René Joensen
René Joensen
Midfielder79'
6.5
11
Jonn Johannesen
Jonn Johannesen Midfielder
6.5
17
Filip Brattbakk
Filip Brattbakk
Midfielder66'
6.5
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
6.45
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad
Attacker88'
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard (C) Attacker
6.5
27
Dávid Reynheim
Dávid Reynheim
Attacker79'
6.5
Referee : Samuel Barrott

Starting XI ▼

91
Frenks Orols
Frenks Orols Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Karl Gameni Wassom
Karl Gameni Wassom Defender
6.5
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
Raivis Jurkovskis Defender
6.5
17
Andrés Salazar
Andrés Salazar Defender
6.5
21
Baba Musah
Baba Musah Defender
6.5
33
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo Defender
6.5
7
Raki Aouani
Raki Aouani Midfielder
6.5
18
Salah Oulad
Salah Oulad
Midfielder83'
6.5
8
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira Midfielder
6.5
15
Samuel Pedro
Samuel Pedro
Attacker90+3'
22
Meïssa Diop
Meïssa Diop Midfielder
6.5
99
Caio
Caio
Attacker58'
6.5
40
Ahmed Ankrah
Ahmed Ankrah Midfielder
6.45
10
Reginaldo Ramires
Reginaldo Ramires (C) Attacker
6.5
25
Abdulrahman Taiwo
Abdulrahman Taiwo
Attacker90+3'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Samuel Pedro → Iago Siqueira
7th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Abdulrahman Taiwo → Reginaldo Ramires
8th Substitution
Event
Erlend Hustad → Oussama Ali
6th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Salah Oulad → Raki Aouani
5th Substitution
Event
René Joensen → Hallur Hansson
3rd Substitution
79'
Event
Dávid Reynheim → Páll Klettskard
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Filip Brattbakk → Jonn Johannesen
2nd Substitution
66'
62'
Event
Ahmed Ankrah
2nd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Caio → Meïssa Diop
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Oussama Ali
1st Yellowcard
36'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Abdulrahman Taiwo comes on for Reginaldo Ramires.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Substitution Substitution
Salah MHand is substituted off for Raki Aouani.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: David Reynheim comes on for Pall Klettskard.
79
Substitution Substitution
Rene Joensen is substituted for Hallur Hansson.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ahmed Ankrah.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
58
Update Update
Caio Ferreira comes on for Meissa Diop.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Samuel Barrott.

CONCLUSION

Following the 0-0 draw the tie remains finely balanced ahead of the second leg. Both teams demonstrated defensive solidity that prevented any scoring opportunities from being converted. The possession statistics indicate a closely contested affair where neither side could gain a decisive edge. Riga's status as the stronger team did not translate into an away advantage on this occasion. With no goals scored the focus will shift to how each side adjusts their approach in the return fixture. The significant deviation observed suggests potential for different outcomes in future encounters. Overall the match highlighted the challenges of breaking down organized defenses in such competitions.