NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø / Glimt preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Goffertstadion
Champions League
NEC NijmegenNEC
1 3
Bodø / GlimtBOD
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
Sondre Fet - 25'
Andreas Helmersen - 44' (P)

CONTEXT

NEC Nijmegen hosted Bodø / Glimt in the first leg of their tie and lost 1-3. The visitors led 2-0 at halftime after capitalizing on early chances. NEC controlled 69 percent of possession and created 2.26 expected goals against 1.65 for Bodø / Glimt yet failed to convert enough opportunities. The away side scored three times while limiting their opponents to a single goal. No red cards were shown to either team. Pre-match assessment identified Bodø / Glimt as the stronger side and the result followed that view despite the xG differential of 0.61 favoring the home team. The outcome deviated significantly by 59.2 percent from structural expectations.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a significant 59.2 percent deviation favoring Bodø / Glimt.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with the xG values recorded.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: NEC Nijmegen posted 2.26 xG while Bodø / Glimt recorded 1.65 xG.
  • Event impact: Bodø / Glimt led 2-0 at halftime and secured a 3-1 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion from dismissals took place.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Letexier
F. Letexier
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Mugnier
C. Mugnier
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Rahmouni
M. Rahmouni
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Lissorgue
R. Lissorgue
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
VS
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 83 W
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 87 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 88 D
Sporting CP Rank: 89 L
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Inter Rank: 93 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NEC Nijmegen
34.65%
Draw
24.53%
Away Bodø / Glimt
40.82%

Movement

Changes since opening
NEC Nijmegen
+33.69%
Draw
+22.17%
Bodø / Glimt
-55.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.33
85.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NEC Nijmegen
Bodø / Glimt
Power Score
75.33
85.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
142
40

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NEC Nijmegen Bodø / Glimt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

NEC Nijmegen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bodø / Glimt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.83
30.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.00
37.83
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
NEC Nijmegen +0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Bodø / Glimt -0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
NEC Nijmegen
Bodø / Glimt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NEC Nijmegen
vs
Bodø / Glimt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NEC Nijmegen Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
9%
56%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.20 vs +0.08
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NEC Nijmegen Bodø / Glimt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
56%
9%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.08 vs -0.20
NEC Nijmegen
Bodø / Glimt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
NEC Nijmegen
vs
Bodø / Glimt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NEC Nijmegen Bodø / Glimt
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
NEC Nijmegen 0.27
Bodø / Glimt 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NEC Nijmegen Bodø / Glimt
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
NEC Nijmegen 0.12
Bodø / Glimt 0.01
NEC Nijmegen
Bodø / Glimt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEC had peak pressure around 36'.
  • NEC started the game with stronger pressure.
NEC Pressure BOD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NEC reached the top pressure at 36' (95.40).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Goffertstadion
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
François Letexier
Cyril Mugnier
Mehdi Rahmouni
Romain Lissorgue

Statistics

Possession
NEC
65%
BOD
35%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 3
82 Dangerous attacks 26
69 Possession 31
7 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

43 Ball Safe 29
0 Penalties 1
4 Goal Kicks 10
5 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
26 Throwins 10
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 2
21 Dribble Attempts 9
9 Successful Dribbles 2
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 22

Attacking

139 Attacks 81
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

60 Long Passes 55
587 Passes 273
499 Successful Passes 196
85 Successful Passes Percentage 72
19 Key Passes 7
22 Successful Long Passes 23
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

1 Saves 5
15 Tackles 26
6 Interceptions 4
45 Duels Won 50

Build-up

43 Total Crosses 4
8 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : François Letexier

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
5.9
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira Defender
6.79
14
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis
Attacker68'
6.72
21
Tobias Storm
Tobias Storm Defender
6.34
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
6.36
66
Almugera Kabar
Almugera Kabar
Defender82'
6.4
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
7.01
7
Emre Mor
Emre Mor Midfielder
6.18
19
Adam Tahaui
Adam Tahaui
Attacker68'
7.06
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
6.8
99
Clement Bischoff
Clement Bischoff Midfielder
7.7
9
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery (C) Attacker
7.65
34
Kevin Kers
Kevin Kers
Attacker82'
6.73
10
Dusan Tadic
Dusan Tadic Attacker
7.51
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
6.28
35
Jamiro Monteiro
Jamiro Monteiro
Midfielder68'
6.65
Referee : François Letexier

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
7.27
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft (C) Defender
7.11
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
7.43
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
6.97
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender76'
6.38
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.33
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
7.47
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
6.44
22
Joel Mvuka
Joel Mvuka
Midfielder90+2'
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
7.1
2
Villads Nielsen
Villads Nielsen
Defender90+2'
9
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen Attacker
7.04
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
7.21
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen
Attacker59'
6.38
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.47
16
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano
Midfielder76'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Joel Mvuka → Sondre Auklend
9th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Villads Nielsen → Sondre Fet
10th Substitution
Event
Jamiro Monteiro
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Clement Bischoff
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
85'
Event
Almugera Kabar → Deveron Fonville
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Kevin Kers → Tjaronn Chery 
8th Substitution
82'
76'
Event
Joshua Kitolano → Ole Didrik Blomberg
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Bjørkan
6th Substitution
Event
Jamiro Monteiro → Bryan Linssen
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Kaj Sierhuis → Brayann Pereira
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Adam Tahaui → Emre Mor
4th Substitution
68'
64'
Event
Ola Brynhildsen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
59'
Event
Ola Brynhildsen → Jens Petter Hauge
1st Substitution
50'
Event
Haitam Aleesami
Header / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Andreas Helmersen
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Tobias Storm
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
43'
25'
Event
Sondre Fet
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
11'
Event
Jens Petter Hauge
Penalty disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Noe Lebreton takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
On comes Joel Mvuka, off goes Sondre Auklend.
90
Update Update
Villads Nielsen comes on for Sondre Brunstad Fet.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jamiro Monteiro.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jamiro Monteiro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Clement Bischoff takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Clement Bischoff takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Clement Bischoff scores with a left-footed shot.
85
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Tadic attempts a header but misses the shot.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
82
Update Update
Gabriel Bras is on, and Tjaronn Chery is off.
82
Update Update
Almugera Kabar replaces Deveron Fonville.
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kaj Sierhuis Head Shot Missed
79
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery's left-footed shot is blocked.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano is on, and Ole Didrik Blomberg is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Kaj Sierhuis takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
76
Update Update
Isak Dybvik Maatta comes on for Fredrik Andre Bjorkan.
73
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Update Update
Andreas Klausen Helmersen's header is blocked.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Adam Tahaui comes on for Emre Mor.
68
Update Update
Jamiro Monteiro comes on for Bryan Linssen.
68
Update Update
Kaj Sierhuis replaces Brayann Pereira.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ola Brynhildsen.
59
Update Update
Ola Brynhildsen replaces Jens Petter Hauge.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Linssen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Clement Bischoff takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Haitam Aleesami scores with a header.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Haitam Aleesami scores, making it 0-3.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
45
Update Update
Offside.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Andreas Klausen Helmersen scores, making it 0-2.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Tobias Storm.
40
Attempt Attempt
Emre Mor takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
40
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Brunstad Fet takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
38
Attempt Attempt
Noe Lebreton takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Darko Nejasmic takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Noe Lebreton Head Shot Missed
30
Attempt Attempt
Deveron Fonville takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sondre Brunstad Fet scores with a left-footed shot.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sondre Brunstad Fet scores, making it 0-1.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Attempt Attempt
Tjaronn Chery takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Klausen Helmersen takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Update Update
VAR decision results in the cancellation of the penalty for Jens Petter Hauge.
10
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
6
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Linssen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Francois Letexier.

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt secured a 3-1 away win despite lower possession and fewer expected goals. NEC Nijmegen generated the majority of chances but could not overcome the two-goal halftime deficit. The visitors proved clinical in front of goal and defended their lead effectively in the second half. Absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain full squads throughout. The result matched the pre-match view of Bodø / Glimt as the stronger side even though underlying metrics showed a different picture. This sets up an interesting second leg where NEC will need to improve conversion rates to overcome the aggregate deficit.