Fenerbahçe vs Olympique Lyonnais preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Champions League
FenerbahçeFEN
1 – 1
Olympique LyonnaisLYO
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
Loïs Openda - 40'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Fenerbahçe 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais. The match ended in a draw. Fenerbahçe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Fenerbahçe 0.6 – 0.9 Olympique Lyonnais. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Fenerbahçe 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais. Fenerbahçe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Sven Jablonski
Sven Jablonski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Beitinger
E. Beitinger
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Gittelmann
C. Gittelmann
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Reichel
T. Reichel
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Fenerbahçe İ. Kartal
İ. Kartal
VS
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
2.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: 75 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 76 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sparta Praha Rank: 74 W
Sparta Praha Rank: 75 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fenerbahçe
45.42%
Draw
26.48%
Away Olympique Lyonnais
28.1%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fenerbahçe
+40.57%
Draw
-63.82%
Olympique Lyonnais
+23.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.65
82.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fenerbahçe
Olympique Lyonnais
Power Score
85.65
82.74
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
36
51

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fenerbahçe Olympique Lyonnais

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fenerbahçe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Olympique Lyonnais

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fenerbahçe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Olympique Lyonnais
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.92
27.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.71
26.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fenerbahçe -0.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Olympique Lyonnais +0.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fenerbahçe
Olympique Lyonnais
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fenerbahçe
vs
Olympique Lyonnais
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fenerbahçe Olympique Lyonnais
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
34%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.31
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Olympique Lyonnais
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
34%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.31 vs +0.00
Fenerbahçe
Olympique Lyonnais
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fenerbahçe
vs
Olympique Lyonnais
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fenerbahçe Olympique Lyonnais
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fenerbahçe 0.30
Olympique Lyonnais 0.46
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fenerbahçe Olympique Lyonnais
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fenerbahçe 0.04
Olympique Lyonnais 0.03
Fenerbahçe
Olympique Lyonnais
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LYO had peak pressure around 42'.
  • FEN started the game with stronger pressure.
FEN Pressure LYO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LYO reached the top pressure at 42' (82.39).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fenerbahçe FEN Home
5 matches
Olympique Lyonnais LYO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
4
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-19T00:00:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Capacity
50530
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sven Jablonski
Eduard Beitinger
Christian Gittelmann
Tobias Reichel

Statistics

Possession
FEN
51%
LYO
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 2
40 Dangerous attacks 26
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 0
13 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 76
4 Goal Kicks 6
10 Goal Attempts 7
3 Substitutions 4
23 Throwins 16
1 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 1
0 Injuries 2
11 Dribble Attempts 17
2 Successful Dribbles 7
18 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41

Attacking

83 Attacks 88
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

45 Long Passes 52
453 Passes 433
389 Successful Passes 372
86 Successful Passes Percentage 86
11 Key Passes 8
25 Successful Long Passes 25
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

4 Saves 4
12 Tackles 12
8 Interceptions 5
32 Duels Won 43

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 12
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Sven Jablonski

Starting XI ▼

31
Ederson
Ederson Goalkeeper
7.02
3
Archie Brown
Archie Brown Defender
6.89
15
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
7.09
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo Defender
6.75
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar (C) Defender
6.97
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder
6.99
7
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Midfielder
6.94
45
Dorgeles Nene
Dorgeles Nene
Attacker73'
6.72
11
Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood Midfielder
7.35
91
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Midfielder
7.11
94
Talisca
Talisca Midfielder
6.55
10
Marco Asensio
Marco Asensio
Midfielder73'
6.57
19
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
6.57
9
Romelu Lukaku
Romelu Lukaku
Attacker82'
6.48
Referee : Sven Jablonski

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
7.17
16
Abner
Abner Defender
6.63
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
6.62
21
Ruben Kluivert
Ruben Kluivert Defender
6.79
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata
Defender75'
6.59
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Defender
6.61
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Midfielder
6.99
7
Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah Midfielder
6.73
26
Kaïl Boudache
Kaïl Boudache
Attacker75'
6.69
8
Corentin Tolisso
Corentin Tolisso (C) Midfielder
8
11
Malick Fofana
Malick Fofana Midfielder
6.82
76
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Defender90+1'
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
7.08
2
Mads Bidstrup
Mads Bidstrup
Midfielder86'
17
Loïs Openda
Loïs Openda Attacker
7.02

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Mohamed Ouédraogo → Malick Fofana
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Mads Bidstrup  → Tyler Morton
6th Substitution
Event
Milan Škriniar 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
Event
Romelu Lukaku → Vedat Muriqi
5th Substitution
82'
Event
N'Golo Kanté
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
81'
75'
Event
Kaïl Boudache → Ernest Nuamah
3rd Substitution
75'
Event
Clinton Mata → Ruben Kluivert
4th Substitution
Event
Marco Asensio → Talisca
1st Substitution
73'
Event
Dorgeles Nene  → Kerem Aktürkoğlu
2nd Substitution
73'
Event
Mason Greenwood
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Loïs Openda
Header / 1st Goal
37'
Event
Abner
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Romelu Lukaku takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Update Update
Mohamed Ouedraogo comes on for Malick Fofana.
88
Attempt Attempt
Corentin Tolisso takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
86
Update Update
Mads Bidstrup replaces Tyler Morton.
86
Update Update
Offside.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Milan Skriniar receives a yellow card.
82
Update Update
Romelu Lukaku comes on for Vedat Muriqi.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ngolo Kante.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Ngolo Kante.
75
Update Update
Kail Boudache is on, and Ernest Nuamah is off.
75
Update Update
Clinton Mata replaces Ruben Kluivert, and Pedro Lourenco is also on the field.
73
Update Update
Marco Asensio Willemsen is on, and Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca is off.
73
Update Update
Marco Asensio Willemsen comes on for Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca.
72
Update Update
Nene Dorgeles comes on for Kerem Aktürkoğlu.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mason Greenwood takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi's header is saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Tyler Morton takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Update Update
Offside.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Nuamah takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
53
Attempt Attempt
Tanner Tessmann takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Corentin Tolisso takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Abner Vinicius Da Silva Santos takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mason Greenwood scores with a left-footed shot.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mason Greenwood scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Kerem Aktürkoğlu.
42
Attempt Attempt
Mason Greenwood takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Lois Openda Head Shot Goal
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lois Openda scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Corentin Tolisso.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Abner Vinicius Da Silva Santos.
36
Attempt Attempt
Mason Greenwood takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
26
Update Update
Offside.
23
Attempt Attempt
Tanner Tessmann takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
Update Update
Offside.
20
Attempt Attempt
Anderson Souza Conceicao Talisca takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Archie Brown takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Archie Brown takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Vedat Muriqi attempts a header but misses the shot.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sven Jablonski.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Fenerbahçe 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais. Structural assessment: Fenerbahçe exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.