KÍ vs Kauno Žalgiris preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Tue, 21 Jul - 6:45 PM
Champions League
KÍKÍ
0 – 0
Kauno ŽalgirisKAU
Full Time Tue, 21 Jul 6:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

KÍ hosted Kauno Žalgiris in the first leg of a two-legged tie and the sides played out a 0-0 draw. The home side held 56 percent possession while the visitors managed 44 percent. Neither team scored in the opening 45 minutes and the score stayed level at halftime. KÍ entered as the stronger team yet could not convert territorial advantage into goals. No red cards were shown to players from either side. The outcome leaves the aggregate level heading into the second leg. Significant deviation was recorded relative to expectations around the stronger side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant 71.4 percent deviation was recorded with KÍ as the affected team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 0-0 draw was not aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were available due to missing underlying data.
  • Event impact: No notable events occurred that changed the 0-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Dechepy
B. Dechepy
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Finjean
E. Finjean
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Luczynski
T. Luczynski
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Buquet
R. Buquet
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
KÍ M. Powell
M. Powell
VS
Kauno Žalgiris Ž. Sopić
Ž. Sopić
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atert Bissen Rank: W
Atert Bissen Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Drita Rank: 58 W
Drita Rank: 57 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KÍ
37.73%
Draw
28.55%
Away Kauno Žalgiris
33.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
KÍ
+32.37%
Draw
-60.74%
Kauno Žalgiris
+28.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KÍ
Kauno Žalgiris
Power Score
50
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
KÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Kauno Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KÍ Kauno Žalgiris

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

KÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kauno Žalgiris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kauno Žalgiris
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.98
16.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.59
25.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
KÍ +0.80 Efficiency Index
vs
Kauno Žalgiris -0.80 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KÍ
Kauno Žalgiris
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kauno Žalgiris
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KÍ Kauno Žalgiris
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KÍ Kauno Žalgiris
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KÍ
Kauno Žalgiris
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
KÍ
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
KÍ Kauno Žalgiris
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
KÍ 0.11
Kauno Žalgiris 0.06
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
KÍ Kauno Žalgiris
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
KÍ 0.00
Kauno Žalgiris 0.00
KÍ
Kauno Žalgiris
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAU had peak pressure around 26'.
  • KAU started the game with stronger pressure.
KÍ Pressure KAU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KAU reached the top pressure at 26' (65.04).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 21, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bastien Dechepy
Erwan Finjean
Thomas Luczynski
Ruddy Buquet

Statistics

Possession
KÍ
56%
KAU
44%

Top Statistics

3 Shots 4
91 Dangerous attacks 66
56 Possession 44
7 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 6
30 Throwins 33

Attacking

179 Attacks 142

Defensive

0 Saves 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Bastien Dechepy

Starting XI ▼

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Gastón Tellechea
Gastón Tellechea Defender
6.5
23
Jóannes Danielsen
Jóannes Danielsen Defender
6.5
26
Gilli Sörensen
Gilli Sörensen Defender
6.5
36
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos Defender
6.5
5
Deni Pavlovic
Deni Pavlovic Midfielder
6.5
7
Árni Frederiksberg
Árni Frederiksberg Midfielder
6.5
10
Hallur Hansson
Hallur Hansson Midfielder
6.45
11
Jonn Johannesen
Jonn Johannesen Midfielder
6.5
4
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan
Midfielder70'
6.5
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
6.5
6
Daniel Johansen
Daniel Johansen
Defender84'
6.5
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard (C) Attacker
6.5
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad
Attacker84'
6.5
Referee : Bastien Dechepy

Starting XI ▼

55
Tomas Švedkauskas
Tomas Švedkauskas (C) Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Anton Tolordava
Anton Tolordava Defender
6.5
37
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor Defender
6.5
45
Joris Moutachy
Joris Moutachy Defender
6.5
24
Motiejus Burba
Motiejus Burba
Attacker84'
6.5
77
Rokas Lekiatas
Rokas Lekiatas Defender
6.5
14
Vykintas Slivka
Vykintas Slivka Midfielder
6.45
15
Léo Ribeiro
Léo Ribeiro Midfielder
6.5
9
Leon Krekovic
Leon Krekovic
Midfielder46'
6.5
32
Franco Baldassarra
Franco Baldassarra Midfielder
6.5
70
Fabien Ourega
Fabien Ourega Midfielder
6.5
4
Luka Racic
Luka Racic
Defender65'
6.5
7
Amine Benchaib
Amine Benchaib Attacker
6.5
17
Ivan Fiolic
Ivan Fiolic
Midfielder65'
6.5
19
Renan Oliveira
Renan Oliveira Attacker
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Vykintas Slivka
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Hallur Hansson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
90+1'
87'
Event
Aldayr Hernández → Ivan Fiolic
9th Substitution
Event
Erlend Hustad → Páll Klettskard
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Daniel Johansen → Oussama Ali
8th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Motiejus Burba → Joris Moutachy
6th Substitution
Event
Mansour Sinyan → Jonn Johannesen
5th Substitution
70'
65'
Event
Ivan Fiolic → Amine Benchaib
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Luka Racic → Fabien Ourega
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Leon Krekovic → Léo Ribeiro
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Filip Brattbakk → Andras Frederiksberg
1st Substitution
29'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vykintas Slivka.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Hallur Hansson.
87
Update Update
Aldayr Hernandez replaces Ivan Fiolic.
84
Update Update
Motiejus Burba comes on for Joris Moutachy.
84
Update Update
On D.Jonn Johannesen, Off Oussama Ali.
84
Substitution Substitution
Erlend Hustad is substituted for Pall Klettskard.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Mansour Sinyan replaces Jonn Johannesen.
65
Update Update
Luka Racic is on, and Fabien Ourega is off.
65
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Fiolic is substituted for Amine Benchaib.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Leon Krekovic comes on for Leo Ribeiro.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Update Update
Filip Brattbakk comes on for Arni Frederiksberg.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Bastien Dechepy.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: KÍ 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris. Structural assessment: KÍ exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.