Partizan vs Tobol preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Partizana Thu, 6 Aug - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
PartizanPAR
3 0
TobolTOB
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 7:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Demba Seck - 33'
Chaka Traorè - 90+7'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Partizan faced Tobol in the opening leg of a two-match knockout encounter. The match concluded with a 3-0 scoreline in favor of the home team. Partizan scored once before the interval to lead 1-0 at halftime and netted twice more after the break. Possession statistics showed Partizan with 55 percent and Tobol with 45 percent. Neither team received any red cards throughout the fixture. As the stronger side, Partizan secured the win. The performance reflected a significant deviation of 32.1 percent for the home side. With expected goals information unavailable, assessments relied on observed outcomes and possession metrics. This result gives Partizan a solid advantage entering the second leg away from home.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Partizan exhibited a significant deviation of 32.1 percent in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not available to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with the pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were provided to evaluate performance expectations.
  • Event impact: Partizan's three goals secured a 3-0 victory in the first leg.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Carvalho Nobre
A. Carvalho Nobre
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Vila Pereira
N. Vila Pereira
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Serra Jorge Pereira
F. Serra Jorge Pereira
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Partizan S. Ilić
S. Ilić
VS
Tobol M. Romashchenko
M. Romashchenko
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
UNA Strassen Rank: W
UNA Strassen Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Panevėžys Rank: D
Panevėžys Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Partizan
67.89%
Draw
20.39%
Away Tobol
11.73%

Movement

Changes since opening
Partizan
-29.43%
Draw
+18.48%
Tobol
+10.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Partizan
Tobol
Power Score
50
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Partizan — Opponent-weighted form score
Tobol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Partizan Tobol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Partizan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Tobol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Partizan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Tobol
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Partizan Tobol
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Partizan Tobol
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Partizan
Tobol
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Partizan
vs
Tobol
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Partizan Tobol
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Partizan 0.00
Tobol 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Partizan Tobol
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Partizan 0.00
Tobol 0.00
Partizan
Tobol
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • TOB had peak pressure around 80'.
  • PAR started the game with stronger pressure.
PAR Pressure TOB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: TOB reached the top pressure at 80' (80.65).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Partizana
Capacity
32170
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Nélson Filipe Vila Pereira
Francisco João Serra Jorge Pereira

Statistics

Possession
PAR
55%
TOB
45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Shots 2
71 Dangerous attacks 62
55 Possession 45
6 Corners 4
16 Free kicks 16
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 82
13 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 3
28 Throwins 22
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

110 Attacks 94

Discipline

2 Offsides 5
12 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Starting XI ▼

31
Milos Krunic
Milos Krunic Goalkeeper
6.5
23
Stefan Mitrovic
Stefan Mitrovic Defender
6.56
24
Vukasin Djurdjevic
Vukasin Djurdjevic Defender
6.5
30
Milan Roganovic
Milan Roganovic Defender
6.5
44
Stefan Milic
Stefan Milic
Defender84'
6.61
40
Nikola Simic
Nikola Simic Defender
6.5
11
Milan Vukotic
Milan Vukotic Midfielder
6.5
17
Milan Aleksic
Milan Aleksic Midfielder
6.5
8
Aleks Zekovic
Aleks Zekovic
Midfielder73'
6.48
19
Demba Seck
Demba Seck Midfielder
6.5
7
Chaka Traorè
Chaka Traorè
Midfielder84'
6.5
39
Ibrahim Zubairu
Ibrahim Zubairu Midfielder
7.48
32
Nemanja Trifunovic
Nemanja Trifunovic
Midfielder73'
6.5
99
Bogdan Kostic
Bogdan Kostic Midfielder
6.6
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek Attacker
6.68
46
Marko Lekic
Marko Lekic
Attacker78'
6.5
Referee : Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Starting XI ▼

44
Danil Ustimenko
Danil Ustimenko Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Pape-Alioune Ndiaye
Pape-Alioune Ndiaye Defender
6.26
25
Antonio Borsic
Antonio Borsic Defender
6.26
72
Rayan Senhadji
Rayan Senhadji Defender
6.26
8
Askhat Tagybergen
Askhat Tagybergen Midfielder
6.32
6
Maksim Myakish
Maksim Myakish
Midfielder82'
6.35
10
Islam Chesnokov
Islam Chesnokov Midfielder
6.43
13
Abdoulaye Cissé
Abdoulaye Cissé Midfielder
6.5
14
Amine Talal
Amine Talal Midfielder
6.54
17
Aleksandr Zuev
Aleksandr Zuev Midfielder
6.44
30
Luis Guerra
Luis Guerra
Midfielder79'
6.39
21
Nauryzbek Zhagorov
Nauryzbek Zhagorov Midfielder
6.37
18
Uros Milovanović
Uros Milovanović Attacker
6.44
—
Uros Milovanović
68'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Marko Lekic
6th Yellowcard
90+9'
Event
Vukasin Djurdjevic
5th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Chaka Traorè
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
90+7'
Event
Chaka Traorè
Goal awarded
90+5'
90+1'
Event
Maksim Myakish
4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Abdoulaye Cissé
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Stefan Milic → Milan Roganovic
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Chaka Traorè → Demba Seck
8th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Maksim Myakish → Askhat Tagybergen 
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Luis Guerra → Aleksandr Zuev
5th Substitution
Event
Marko Lekic → Erik Kojzek
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Nemanja Trifunovic → Ibrahim Zubairu
2nd Substitution
73'
Event
Aleks Zekovic → Milan Aleksic
3rd Substitution
73'
68'
Event
Vitaliy Lisakovich → Uros Milovanović
1st Substitution
Event
Ibrahim Zubairu
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
65'
Event
Erik Kojzek
Goal disallowed
58'
1ST-HALF
Event
Milan Vukotic
2nd Yellowcard
44'
Event
Demba Seck
Field Goal / 1st Goal
33'
Event
Milan Aleksic
1st Yellowcard
3'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Lekic receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Chaka Traore scores to make it 3-0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Maksim Myakish.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdoulaye Cisse receives a yellow card.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Stefan Milic comes on for Milan Roganovic.
84
Update Update
Chaka Traore comes on for Demba Seck.
82
Update Update
Maksim Myakish is on, and Askhat Tagybergen is off.
79
Update Update
Luis Guerra is on, and Aleksandr Zuev is off.
78
Update Update
Marko Lekic comes on for Erik Kojzek.
73
Update Update
On comes Nemanja Trifunovic, off goes Zubairu Ibrahim.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Aleks Zekovic comes on for Milan Aleksic.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Update Update
Vitali Lisakovich is on, and Uros Milovanovic is off.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal due to a handball by Erik Kojzek.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Erik Kojzek scores, making it 2-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Demba Seck scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Milan Aleksic.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Demba Seck scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Milan Aleksic.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Antonio Nobre.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Partizan 3-0 Tobol. Structural assessment: Partizan exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.