Žalgiris vs Hajduk Split preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Vilniaus LFF stadionas Today - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Žalgiris ŽLG
Hajduk Split HAJ
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Žalgiris host Hajduk Split in Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Vilniaus LFF stadionas. Power ranking favours Žalgiris by 12.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Žalgiris holds a 12.4 point power advantage over Hajduk Split.
  • Form: Žalgiris posts a form score of 37.5 compared to Hajduk Split at 0.
  • Squad: Squad depth details remain limited ahead of this qualifying tie.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no specific data for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence with proxy values applied.
  • xVariable: Power differential stands as the primary differentiating variable.
  • Market: Žalgiris 26% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26% (Δ+0%) | Hajduk Split 48% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Žalgiris A. Skerla
A. Skerla
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
2.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Tbilisi Rank: W
Dinamo Tbilisi Rank: L
Petrovac Rank: W
Petrovac Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Žalgiris
26.01%
Draw
25.99%
Away Hajduk Split
48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
40
27.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Žalgiris
Hajduk Split
Power Score
40
27.62
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Žalgiris Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Žalgiris ŽLG Home
0 matches
Hajduk Split HAJ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-05T00:04:21+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Capacity
5067
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marc Nagtegaal
Stefan de Groot
Johan Balder
Alex Bos

CONCLUSION

Žalgiris enters the first leg with measurable structural edges that could translate into territorial control and sustained pressure at home. Hajduk Split will look to exploit any gaps through organized responses and counter opportunities. The absence of detailed efficiency and transition figures shifts emphasis toward observed power and form indicators. Set piece elements carry uncertainty given the low confidence levels in available data. This opening encounter sets the tone for the return fixture where adjustments based on this result will matter. Both sides must balance caution with intent to secure a favorable position ahead of the second leg. The analytical outlook centers on how Žalgiris leverages its advantages while Hajduk Split seeks to neutralize them effectively throughout the match.