Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Raków Thu, 6 Aug - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Rakow Czestochowa hosted Hammarby in the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie and played out a 0-0 draw. The home side entered as the stronger team yet both sides shared possession evenly at 50 percent each. The halftime score stood at 0-0 with no goals scored in either half. No red cards were shown to players from either team throughout the contest. The result leaves the aggregate level for the return fixture. Rakow Czestochowa recorded a moderate deviation level of 9.7 percent in the pre-match assessment. The match concluded without any second-half adjustments altering the balance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate 9.7 percent deviation was recorded favoring Rakow Czestochowa.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The 0-0 draw proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG values were provided to set or compare expectations.
  • Event impact: The draw preserved the tie level ahead of the second leg.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.
  • Market: Raków Częstochowa 40.8% (Δ+35.9%) | Draw 28% (Δ-62.3%) | Hammarby 31.3% (Δ+26.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
H. Nalbandyan
H. Nalbandyan
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Ghazaryan
M. Ghazaryan
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gdlyan
A. Gdlyan
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yura Mahtesyan
Yura Mahtesyan
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Raków Częstochowa D. Kroczek
D. Kroczek
VS
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valletta Rank: W
Valletta Rank: W
Fiorentina Rank: 82 L
Fiorentina Rank: 82 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Raków Częstochowa
40.79%
Draw
27.96%
Away Hammarby
31.25%

Movement

Changes since opening
Raków Częstochowa
+35.94%
Draw
-62.34%
Hammarby
+26.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.01
70.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Raków Częstochowa
Hammarby
Power Score
72.01
70.51
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
243
283

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Raków Częstochowa Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Raków Częstochowa Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Raków Częstochowa

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Raków Częstochowa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Raków Częstochowa Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Raków Częstochowa Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Raków Częstochowa
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Raków Częstochowa
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Raków Częstochowa Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Raków Częstochowa Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Raków Częstochowa
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAK had peak pressure around 80'.
  • RAK started the game with stronger pressure.
RAK Pressure HAM Pressure
Pressure Index: RAK reached the top pressure at 80' (66.52).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Raków
Capacity
11600
Attendance
5089
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Henrik Nalbandyan
Mesrop Ghazaryan
Artur Gdlyan
Yura Mahtesyan

Statistics

Possession
RAK
49%
HAM
51%

Top Statistics

5 Shots 5
55 Dangerous attacks 60
50 Possession 50
5 Corners 6
14 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 67
6 Goal Kicks 9
9 Goal Attempts 9
3 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 16

Attacking

83 Attacks 93

Discipline

10 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Henrik Nalbandyan

Starting XI

1
Kacper Trelowski
Kacper Trelowski Goalkeeper
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas Defender
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor (C) Defender
77
Didí Gaucho
Didí Gaucho
Defender26'
25
Bogdan Racovițan
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Midfielder
15
Oliwier Kwiatkowski
Oliwier Kwiatkowski
Midfielder66'
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
10
Vladyslav Kochergin
Vladyslav Kochergin Midfielder
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
20
Jean Carlos Silva
Jean Carlos Silva Midfielder
26
Erick Otieno
Erick Otieno
Midfielder66'
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Attacker
11
Mahir Emreli
Mahir Emreli Attacker
Referee : Henrik Nalbandyan

Starting XI

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
24
Waylon Renecke
Waylon Renecke
Defender90+3'
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham
Attacker66'
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara (C) Midfielder
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed
Midfielder66'
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
17
Amin Boudri
Amin Boudri
Midfielder79'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Waylon Renecke Noah Persson
8th Substitution
82'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Amin Boudri Frank Junior Adjei
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Markus Karlsson
7th Substitution
Event
2nd Yellowcard
73'
Event
Oliwier Kwiatkowski Marko Bulat
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Erick Otieno Jean Carlos Silva
5th Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Paulos Abraham Victor Lind
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Montader Madjed Nahir Besara 
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Didí Gaucho Fran Tudor
1st Substitution
26'
12'
Event
1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Frederik Franck Winther receives a yellow card.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
On Oscar Johansson, off Markus Karlsson.
79
Update Update
On Oscar Johansson, off Markus Karlsson.
76
Update Update
On comes Amin Boudri, while Frank Junior Adjei goes off.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Erick Ouma Otieno is on, and Jean Carlos Silva Rocha is off.
66
Update Update
On Paulos Abraham, off Victor Lind.
66
Update Update
Montader Madjed comes on for Nahir Besara.
66
Update Update
Oliwier Kwiatkowski comes on for Marko Bulat.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Update Update
Didí Gaucho is on, and Fran Tudor is off.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Henrik Nalbandyan.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 result in leg one sets up an evenly poised second leg between Rakow Czestochowa and Hammarby. Both teams maintained balanced possession and created limited clear opportunities in a controlled encounter. The lack of goals and disciplinary incidents kept the focus on tactical discipline. Rakow as the stronger side will likely seek more attacking intent in the return fixture while Hammarby can build on their solid away performance. The moderate deviation noted pre-match did not translate into a decisive outcome on the pitch. Overall the match reflected efficiency in line with available indicators and leaves both sides with clear objectives for the next encounter.