Debrecen vs FC København preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Nagyerdei Stadion
Europa Conference League
DebrecenDEB
0 3
FC KøbenhavnCOP
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Robert - 35'

CONTEXT

Debrecen hosted FC København in the first leg of their tie and fell to a 0-3 defeat. The visitors led 0-2 at halftime after establishing control early. Despite Debrecen holding 53 percent possession, FC København generated superior quality with 1.31 expected goals against 0.57. The outcome proved consistent with the expected goals and confirmed the stronger side as winner. No red cards were shown to either team. The minimal 2.7 percent deviation highlighted close alignment between performance metrics and the final result. This leaves FC København well positioned heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 2.7 percent favoring FC København.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team strengths.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment matched the 0-3 result exactly.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true throughout the match.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations showed FC København at 1.31 versus 0.57.
  • Event impact: Event impact from the first-leg 0-3 score shaped the tie.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion stayed neutral with zero dismissals.
  • Market: Debrecen 17.6% (Δ+16.8%) | Draw 23.3% (Δ+21.4%) | FC København 59.1% (Δ-38.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Jorgji
E. Jorgji
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Rexha
D. Rexha
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
X. Mani
X. Mani
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Ferataj
O. Ferataj
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Debrecen G. Remmel
G. Remmel
VS
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pyunik Rank: D
Pyunik Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 65 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 64 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Debrecen
17.59%
Draw
23.34%
Away FC København
59.08%

Movement

Changes since opening
Debrecen
+16.82%
Draw
+21.43%
FC København
-38.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.36
75.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Debrecen
FC København
Power Score
58.36
75.26
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
659
167

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Debrecen — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Debrecen FC København

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Debrecen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Debrecen
vs
FC København
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Debrecen FC København
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
57%
27%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.33 vs -0.35
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Debrecen FC København
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
27%
57%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.35 vs -0.33
Debrecen
FC København
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Debrecen
vs
FC København
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Debrecen FC København
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Debrecen 0.25
FC København 0.57
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Debrecen FC København
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Debrecen 0.11
FC København 0.00
Debrecen
FC København
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COP had peak pressure around 24'.
  • DEB started the game with stronger pressure.
DEB Pressure COP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 24' (74.51).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Nagyerdei Stadion
Capacity
20340
Attendance
6120
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Enea Jorgji
Denis Rexha
Xhuljo Mani
Olsid Ferataj

Statistics

Possession
DEB
52%
COP
48%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 5
6 Shots 2
52 Dangerous attacks 28
53 Possession 47
7 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 66
5 Goal Kicks 11
6 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 4
24 Throwins 13
0 Assists 2
12 Dribble Attempts 13
4 Successful Dribbles 7
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

96 Attacks 80
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

43 Long Passes 50
361 Passes 331
301 Successful Passes 266
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
7 Key Passes 14
24 Successful Long Passes 29
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58

Defensive

6 Saves 2
16 Tackles 16
7 Interceptions 9

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 11
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

12 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Enea Jorgji

Starting XI ▼

1
Plamen Andreev
Plamen Andreev Goalkeeper
7.33
4
Josua Mejías
Josua Mejías Defender
7.23
26
Ádám Lang
Ádám Lang Defender
6.18
72
Rotem Keller
Rotem Keller Defender
6.43
77
Márk Szécsi
Márk Szécsi Defender
6.52
5
Bence Batik
Bence Batik Midfielder
6.4
6
Blaz Boskovic
Blaz Boskovic Midfielder
6.14
78
Sain Balázs Csaba
Sain Balázs Csaba
Midfielder46'
6.87
10
Balázs Dzsudzsák
Balázs Dzsudzsák (C) Midfielder
6.53
97
Csanád Vilmos Dénes
Csanád Vilmos Dénes Midfielder
6.11
22
Botond Vajda
Botond Vajda
Midfielder65'
6.52
99
Flórián Cibla
Flórián Cibla Midfielder
7.28
18
Shedrach Kaye
Shedrach Kaye
Attacker65'
6.5
25
Sohan Baldoni
Sohan Baldoni Attacker
6.38
11
Ákos Szendrei
Ákos Szendrei
Attacker85'
6.5
Referee : Enea Jorgji

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
7.41
2
Felix Beijmo
Felix Beijmo Defender
7
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira Defender
7.89
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Defender
7.55
24
Birger Meling
Birger Meling Defender
6.33
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Midfielder
7.65
45
Gunnar Olsen
Gunnar Olsen
Attacker90+2'
16
Robert
Robert Midfielder
7.57
44
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee
Attacker79'
6.74
21
Mads Emil Madsen
Mads Emil Madsen Midfielder
7.12
34
Marvin Nasnas
Marvin Nasnas
Midfielder89'
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney (C) Midfielder
7.12
36
William Clem
William Clem
Midfielder79'
6.49
33
Alex Král
Alex Král Midfielder
7.43
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius Attacker
7.51

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Gunnar Olsen → Mohamed Elyounoussi
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Andreas Cornelius
Header / 3rd Goal
89'
Event
Marvin Nasnas → Mads Emil Madsen
7th Substitution
Event
Ákos Szendrei → Sohan Baldoni
6th Substitution
85'
80'
Event
William Clem
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
William Clem → Thomas Delaney
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Geovanni Vianney Ndjee → Robert
5th Substitution
Event
Shedrach Kaye → Flórián Cibla
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Botond Vajda → Csanád Vilmos Dénes
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Sain Balázs Csaba → Blaz Boskovic
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Blaz Boskovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
36'
35'
Event
Robert
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Gabriel Pereira
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Sohan Baldoni
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Gunnar Olsen is on, and Mohamed Elyounoussi is off.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andreas Cornelius scores to make it 0-3, assisted by Mohamed Elyounoussi.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Andreas Cornelius Head Shot Goal
90
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Nasnas takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andreas Cornelius scores, making it 0-3.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Botond Vajda takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Akos Szendrei is on, and Sohan Baldoni is off.
81
Update Update
Akos Szendrei is on, and Sohan Baldoni is off.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
William Clem receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Geovanni Vianney comes on for Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva.
79
Update Update
On comes William Clem, off goes Thomas Delaney.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to William Clem.
77
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Cornelius takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
77
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Cornelius takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Csaba Sain Balasz, but it misses the target.
72
Attempt Attempt
Mads Emil Madsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
72
Attempt Attempt
Mads Emil Madsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Mark Szecsi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Bence Batik takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
Shedrach Kaye comes on for Florian Cibla.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Attempt Attempt
Sohan Baldoni takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Josua Mejias attempts a header but misses the shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Florian Cibla takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Rotem Keller takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Csaba Sain Balasz is on, and Blaz Boskovic is off.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva scores, making it 0-2.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Elyounoussi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Attempt Attempt
Birger Meling takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Gabriel Pereira Head Shot Goal
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gabriel Pereira scores to make it 1-0.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
20
Attempt Attempt
Alex Kral takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
12
Attempt Attempt
Balazs Dzsudzsak takes a left-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Florian Cibla takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Robert Vinicius Rodrigues Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Enea Jorgji.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Debrecen 0-3 FC København. Structural assessment: FC København exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.