Auda vs Dinamo City preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs Tue, 4 Aug - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
AudaAUD
1 0
Dinamo CityDIN
Full Time Tue, 4 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Fabjan Perndreca 71'

CONTEXT

Auda claimed a narrow 1-0 win against Dinamo City in this encounter that stayed level at 0-0 through the first half. The home side controlled the majority of possession at 63 percent while the visitors managed 37 percent. Dinamo City suffered a red card which played a role in the second half adjustments. As the stronger team Auda found the decisive goal to secure the victory. The deviation from expected outcomes measured at a minimal 4.3 percent level. This result maintained consistency with overall projections. The match highlighted how a numerical disadvantage impacted the away team's efforts. Auda's dominance in ball control allowed them to capitalize on the situation effectively. The game proceeded without major further incidents after the sending off.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match exhibited a minimal deviation of 4.3 percent from pre-match projections for Auda.
  • Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with expected levels throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing direct alignment assessment with the final result.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Absence of xG metrics limited evaluation of expectations versus actual performance.
  • Event impact: The red card issued to Dinamo City significantly altered the match dynamics in the second half.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion affected the game's flow leading to Auda's 1-0 win.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Munuera Montero
J. Munuera Montero
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Álvarez Fernández
C. Álvarez Fernández
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Martínez Moreno
A. Martínez Moreno
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Cordero Vega
A. Cordero Vega
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Auda D. Zanetti
D. Zanetti
VS
Dinamo City I. Daja
I. Daja
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
FCSB Rank: 68 W
FCSB Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aluminij Rank: 53 W
Aluminij Rank: 53 D
Astana Rank: W
Astana Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Auda
95.69%
Draw
3.68%
Away Dinamo City
0.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Auda
Dinamo City
Power Score
50
33.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Auda — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Auda Dinamo City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Auda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Auda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.84
29.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.32
34.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Auda +0.52 Efficiency Index
vs
Dinamo City -0.52 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Auda
Dinamo City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Auda ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Auda Dinamo City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Auda Dinamo City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Auda
Dinamo City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Auda
vs
Dinamo City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Auda Dinamo City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Auda 0.23
Dinamo City 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Auda Dinamo City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Auda 0.00
Dinamo City 0.01
Auda
Dinamo City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AUD had peak pressure around 69'.
  • DIN started the game with stronger pressure.
AUD Pressure DIN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AUD reached the top pressure at 69' (88.13).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Capacity
8207
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
José Luis Munuera Montero
Carlos Álvarez Fernández
Antonio Ramón Martínez Moreno
Adrián Cordero Vega

Statistics

Possession
AUD
56%
DIN
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
12 Shots 5
79 Dangerous attacks 57
63 Possession 37
11 Corners 7
16 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

70 Ball Safe 77
14 Goal Attempts 4
1 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 21
1 Injuries 3

Attacking

101 Attacks 72

Discipline

5 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : José Luis Munuera Montero

Starting XI ▼

98
Nils Purins
Nils Purins Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Tin Hrvoj
Tin Hrvoj Defender
6.5
4
Moussa Ouedraogo
Moussa Ouedraogo Defender
6.5
6
Ralfs Kragliks
Ralfs Kragliks Defender
6.49
71
Oskars Rubenis
Oskars Rubenis Defender
6.5
8
Edvin Bongemba
Edvin Bongemba Midfielder
6.5
10
Wally Fofana
Wally Fofana Midfielder
6.45
17
Eduards Daskevics
Eduards Daskevics (C) Midfielder
6.61
20
Youba Traoré
Youba Traoré Midfielder
6.45
25
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Barthélémy Diedhiou Midfielder
6.69
7
Andrews Appiah
Andrews Appiah
Attacker86'
47
Kader Kone
Kader Kone Attacker
6.5
Referee : José Luis Munuera Montero

Starting XI ▼

77
Aldo Teqja
Aldo Teqja Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Ysni Ismaili
Ysni Ismaili Defender
6.26
13
Fabjan Perndreca
Fabjan Perndreca Defender
5.64
22
Bruno Dita
Bruno Dita (C) Defender
6.25
27
Naser Aliji
Naser Aliji Defender
6.26
8
Eridon Qardaku
Eridon Qardaku Midfielder
6.33
18
Dejvi Metaj
Dejvi Metaj
Attacker90+4'
10
Lorenco Vila
Lorenco Vila Midfielder
6.37
47
Lorran
Lorran
Defender75'
6.5
20
Malomo Ayodeji
Malomo Ayodeji Midfielder
6.37
33
David Fadairo
David Fadairo
Midfielder82'
6.5
21
Klevi Qefalija
Klevi Qefalija Midfielder
6.37
28
Isi Manellari
Isi Manellari Midfielder
6.37
88
Flamur Ruci
Flamur Ruci
Midfielder82'
6.5
29
Hekuran Berisha
Hekuran Berisha Attacker
6.46
11
Ruben Silva-Richards
Ruben Silva-Richards
Attacker82'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Dejvi Metaj → Eridon Qardaku
6th Substitution
Event
Wally Fofana
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Andrews Appiah → Barthélémy Diedhiou
5th Substitution
86'
82'
Event
David Fadairo → Malomo Ayodeji
2nd Substitution
82'
Event
Ruben Silva-Richards → Hekuran Berisha
3rd Substitution
82'
Event
Flamur Ruci → Isi Manellari
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Lorran → Lorenco Vila
1st Substitution
71'
Event
Fabjan Perndreca
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Barthélémy Diedhiou
Field Goal / 1st Goal
68'
66'
Event
Bruno Dita 
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
64'
Event
Eridon Qardaku
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
60'
Event
Fabjan Perndreca
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Youba Traoré
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
52'
1ST-HALF
Event
Ralfs Kragliks
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Dejvi Metaj comes on for Eridon Qardaku.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Wally Fofana receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Barthelemy Diedhiou scores to make it 1-0.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Eridon Qardaku.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Fabjan Perndreca.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Youba Traore receives a yellow card.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ralfs Kragliks.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jose Munuera Montero.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Auda 1-0 Dinamo City. Structural assessment: Auda exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.