Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium Today - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Fenerbahçe FEN
Sturm Graz STU
KICKOFF : Today - 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

In the Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round, Fenerbahce welcomes Sturm Graz to Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium for the opening leg of their tie. Fenerbahce carries a clear power advantage with a score of 87.22 compared to the Austrian side's 75.53, creating an 11.7 point edge that underscores the home team's structural superiority. Form metrics present a mixed picture, as Sturm Graz arrives with a stronger recent rating of 50 against Fenerbahce's 33.33. Both clubs operate without detailed domestic league positions or recent match records in this international setting. The encounter highlights contrasting team profiles where home venue dynamics and overall squad depth may shape proceedings. Limited efficiency and transition data add layers of uncertainty to preparations.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fenerbahce holds an 11.7 point power advantage with scores of 87.22 to Sturm Graz's 75.53.
  • Form: Sturm Graz registers a higher form score of 50 compared to Fenerbahce's 33.33.
  • Squad: Squad compositions reflect differing strengths suited to this Champions League qualifier.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: Transition phase details are not provided in the current data set.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence levels with proxy data applied for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG related variables are unavailable due to missing advanced metrics.
  • Market: Fenerbahçe 69.2% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 19.3% (Δ+-0%) | Sturm Graz 11.5% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fenerbahçe İ. Kartal
İ. Kartal
VS
Sturm Graz F. Ingolitsch
F. Ingolitsch
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hearts Rank: 75 W
Hearts Rank: 76 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fenerbahçe
69.17%
Draw
19.3%
Away Sturm Graz
11.53%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fenerbahçe
-0.03%
Draw
-0.01%
Sturm Graz
+0.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.22
75.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
Power Score
87.22
75.53
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
34
161

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Sturm Graz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fenerbahçe Sturm Graz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fenerbahçe FEN Home
2 matches
Sturm Graz STU Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-05T00:02:40+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 05, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Capacity
50530
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Chris Kavanagh
Ian Hussin
Neil Davies
Robert Jones

Squad

Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Squad ▼

—
Dominik Livaković
Dominik Livaković Goalkeeper
31
Ederson Santana de Moraes
Ederson Santana de Moraes Goalkeeper
34
Fehmi Mert Günok
Fehmi Mert Günok Goalkeeper
1
İrfan Can Eğribayat
İrfan Can Eğribayat Goalkeeper
13
Tarık Çetin
Tarık Çetin Goalkeeper
39
Engin Biterge
Engin Biterge Goalkeeper
15
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké Defender
4
Caglar Söyüncü
Caglar Söyüncü Defender
—
Diego Carlos Santos Silva
Diego Carlos Santos Silva Defender
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar Defender
27
Nélson Cabral Semedo
Nélson Cabral Semedo Defender
50
Rodrigo Nascimiento Franca
Rodrigo Nascimiento Franca Defender
18
Mert Müldür
Mert Müldür Defender
22
Münir Mercan
Münir Mercan Defender
3
Archie Brown
Archie Brown Defender
24
Jayden Oosterwolde
Jayden Oosterwolde Defender
14
Yiğit Efe Demir
Yiğit Efe Demir Defender
77
Ognjen Mimović
Ognjen Mimović Defender
60
Omar Fayed
Omar Fayed Defender
—
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Midfielder
—
Sofyan Amrabat
Sofyan Amrabat Midfielder
6
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié Midfielder
94
Anderson Souza Conceição
Anderson Souza Conceição Midfielder
10
Marco Asensio Willemsen
Marco Asensio Willemsen Midfielder
7
Frederico Rodrigues Santos
Frederico Rodrigues Santos Midfielder
8
Mert Hakan Yandaş
Mert Hakan Yandaş Midfielder
5
İsmail Yüksek
İsmail Yüksek Midfielder
25
Emre Demir
Emre Demir Midfielder
28
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Midfielder
—
Abdou Aziz Fall
Abdou Aziz Fall Midfielder
19
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
17
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Attacker
23
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder Attacker
9
Muhammed Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Muhammed Kerem Aktürkoğlu Attacker
70
Oğuz Aydın
Oğuz Aydın Attacker
11
Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood Attacker
20
Anthony Musaba
Anthony Musaba Attacker
45
Nene Dorgeles
Nene Dorgeles Attacker
95
Çağrı Fedai
Çağrı Fedai Attacker
—
Amara Diouf
Amara Diouf Attacker
26
Sidiki Cherif
Sidiki Cherif Attacker
35
Adem Yeşilyurt
Adem Yeşilyurt Attacker
Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Squad ▼

22
Ammar Helac
Ammar Helac Goalkeeper
53
Daniil Khudyakov
Daniil Khudyakov Goalkeeper
41
Elias Lorenz
Elias Lorenz Goalkeeper
5
Albert Vallci
Albert Vallci Defender
35
Niklas Geyrhofer
Niklas Geyrhofer Defender
30
Paul-Friedrich Koller
Paul-Friedrich Koller Defender
2
Jeyland Mitchell
Jeyland Mitchell Defender
23
Arjan Malic
Arjan Malic Defender
18
Emran Gamal Marwan Soglo
Emran Gamal Marwan Soglo Defender
21
Petar Petrović
Petar Petrović Defender
4
Jon Gorenc Stankovič
Jon Gorenc Stankovič Midfielder
10
Otar Kiteishvili
Otar Kiteishvili Midfielder
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Midfielder
80
Ryan Fosso
Ryan Fosso Midfielder
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
Gizo Mamageishvili Midfielder
19
Simon Seidl
Simon Seidl Midfielder
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
Jacob Peter Hödl Midfielder
8
Filip Jan Rózga
Filip Jan Rózga Midfielder
39
Luca Weinhandl
Luca Weinhandl Midfielder
77
Maurice Malone
Maurice Malone Attacker
20
Seedy Jatta
Seedy Jatta Attacker
17
Szymon Włodarczyk
Szymon Włodarczyk Attacker
26
Belmin Beganovic
Belmin Beganovic Attacker
32
Peter Kiedl
Peter Kiedl Attacker
44
Nelson Felix Patrick Weiper
Nelson Felix Patrick Weiper Attacker
9
Leon Grgic
Leon Grgic Attacker
11
Axel Kayombo
Axel Kayombo Attacker
36
Amady Camara
Amady Camara Attacker

CONCLUSION

Fenerbahce enters this first leg with notable home backing and a measurable power edge that could influence early control at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. Sturm Graz counters with superior recent form indicators, suggesting resilience on the road despite the overall rating gap. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece insights leaves room for tactical surprises as both sides adapt to limited preparatory data. Structural advantages for the hosts may prove decisive in establishing rhythm, yet the visitors' form could sustain pressure through key phases. This analytical matchup in the Champions League qualifying stage sets up an intriguing opener where adaptability and execution will determine momentum heading into the return leg.