Ferencvárosi vs Górnik Zabrze preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Groupama Aréna Wed, 5 Aug - 6:15 PM
Europa League
FerencvárosiFTC
1 0
Górnik ZabrzeGZA
Full Time Wed, 5 Aug 6:15 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Marius Corbu - 65'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Ferencvárosi hosted Górnik Zabrze in the first leg of their two-legged tie and secured a 1-0 victory. The match remained scoreless at halftime with both teams level at 0-0. Ferencvárosi controlled 55 percent of possession and generated 1.7 expected goals against 0.95 for the visitors. The decisive goal arrived in the second half to give the home side the narrow advantage. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The stronger side delivered an outcome consistent with underlying metrics and pre-match positioning. This result leaves Ferencvárosi with a slim lead heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ferencvárosi recorded a significant 44.3 percent deviation from pre-match positioning as the stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with established patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Outcome aligned with xG as Ferencvárosi converted 1.7 expected goals into the 1-0 win.
  • Market alignment: Result stayed aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Ferencvárosi posted 1.7 xG while Górnik Zabrze finished with 0.95 xG.
  • Event impact: Match stayed even at 0-0 through halftime before the home side scored the winner.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore produced no distortion to the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Javier Alberola Rojas
Javier Alberola Rojas
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Rodríguez Moreno
A. Rodríguez Moreno
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Bueno Mateo
J. Bueno Mateo
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos
I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ferencvárosi B. Borbely
B. Borbely
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Twente Rank: 78 D
FC Twente Rank: 78 W
Vojvodina Rank: W
Vojvodina Rank: W
Sporting Braga Rank: 84 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 84 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ferencvárosi
55.73%
Draw
26.18%
Away Górnik Zabrze
18.09%

Movement

Changes since opening
Ferencvárosi
-39.96%
Draw
+22.5%
Górnik Zabrze
+17.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.56
71.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ferencvárosi
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
75.56
71.24
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
158
266

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ferencvárosi — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ferencvárosi Górnik Zabrze

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ferencvárosi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ferencvárosi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.82
27.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.56
32.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ferencvárosi +0.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Górnik Zabrze -0.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ferencvárosi
Górnik Zabrze
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ferencvárosi
vs
Górnik Zabrze
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ferencvárosi Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
16%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.28 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ferencvárosi Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
16%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.28
Ferencvárosi
Górnik Zabrze
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Ferencvárosi
vs
Górnik Zabrze
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Ferencvárosi Górnik Zabrze
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Ferencvárosi 0.25
Górnik Zabrze 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Ferencvárosi Górnik Zabrze
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Ferencvárosi 0.00
Górnik Zabrze 0.02
Ferencvárosi
Górnik Zabrze
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GZA had peak pressure around 96'.
  • FTC started the game with stronger pressure.
FTC Pressure GZA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GZA reached the top pressure at 96' (84.29).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 05, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Groupama Aréna
Capacity
22000
Attendance
12870
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Javier Alberola Rojas
Alfredo Rodríguez Moreno
Jorge Bueno Mateo
Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos

Statistics

Possession
FTC
55%
GZA
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 5
61 Dangerous attacks 48
55 Possession 45
2 Corners 5
9 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 11
5 Substitutions 4
14 Throwins 20
8 Dribble Attempts 9
8 Successful Dribbles 9
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

130 Attacks 77

Possession

41 Long Passes 17
485 Passes 388
85 Successful Passes Percentage 80
12 Key Passes 8

Defensive

1 Saves 3
9 Tackles 9
12 Interceptions 12
48 Duels Won 44

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

90
Dénes Dibusz
Dénes Dibusz Goalkeeper
6.98
4
Mariano Gómez
Mariano Gómez Defender
7.39
28
Toon Raemaekers
Toon Raemaekers Defender
7.45
10
Jonathan Levi
Jonathan Levi Midfielder
6.72
15
Daniel Arzani
Daniel Arzani
Midfielder70'
6.8
14
Attila Osváth
Attila Osváth Midfielder
7.19
16
Kristoffer Zachariassen
Kristoffer Zachariassen Midfielder
6.83
17
Marius Corbu
Marius Corbu Midfielder
7.66
20
Cadu
Cadu Midfielder
6.97
32
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Midfielder90+1'
36
Gabi Kanichowsky
Gabi Kanichowsky Midfielder
7.43
6
Ádám Nagy
Ádám Nagy
Midfielder83'
6.48
11
Bamidele Yusuf
Bamidele Yusuf Attacker
6.92
47
Callum O'Dowda
Callum O'Dowda
Midfielder70'
6.7
75
Lenny Joseph
Lenny Joseph Attacker
6.31
24
Kenan Kodro
Kenan Kodro
Attacker90+1'
Referee : Javier Alberola Rojas

Starting XI ▼

1
Philipp Schulze
Philipp Schulze Goalkeeper
6.9
20
Josema
Josema Defender
6.75
26
Rafał Janicki
Rafał Janicki Defender
7.21
61
Michal Sacek
Michal Sacek Defender
6.78
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza Defender
6.55
18
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
6.73
66
Maximilian Dietz
Maximilian Dietz Midfielder
6.6
28
Bastien Donio
Bastien Donio
Midfielder85'
6.64
82
Kacper Urbański
Kacper Urbański Midfielder
6.98
88
Taofeek Ismaheel
Taofeek Ismaheel Midfielder
6.79
19
Peter Federico
Peter Federico
Midfielder80'
6.72
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Attacker
6.52
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan
Midfielder62'
6.51
11
Erik Prekop
Erik Prekop Attacker
6.6
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth
Attacker62'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Aleksandar Cirkovic → Cadu
8th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Kenan Kodro → Lenny Joseph
9th Substitution
90+1'
85'
Event
Bastien Donio → Maximilian Dietz
7th Substitution
Event
Ádám Nagy → Gabi Kanichowsky
6th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Peter Federico → Taofeek Ismaheel
5th Substitution
Event
Callum O'Dowda → Bamidele Yusuf
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Daniel Arzani → Jonathan Levi
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Marius Corbu
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
65'
62'
Event
Maksym Khlan → Yvan Ikia Dimi
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Sondre Liseth → Erik Prekop
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
10'
Event
Josema
Roughing / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Aleksandar Cirkovic comes on for Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Kenan Kodro comes on for Lenny Joseph.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Bastien Donio comes on for Maximilian Dietz.
83
Substitution Substitution
Oliver Zoltan Nagy is substituted on for Gavriel Kanichowsky.
80
Substitution Substitution
Peter Federico is substituted for Taofeek Ismaheel.
71
Update Update
Daniel Arzani is on, and Jonathan Levi is off.
70
Update Update
On Callum O'Dowda, Off Bamidele Isa Yusuf.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marius Corbu scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Carlos Eduardo Lopes Cruz.
62
Update Update
Maksym Khlan is on, and Yvan Junior Ikia Dimi is off.
62
Update Update
Sondre Liseth is on, and Erik Prekop is off.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Update Update
Offside.
44
Update Update
Offside.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Josema receives a yellow card.
2
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Javier Alberola Rojas.

CONCLUSION

Ferencvárosi claimed a narrow 1-0 win over Górnik Zabrze in leg one of the tie. The home side managed the game through measured possession and created the clearer opportunities according to expected goals. A second-half goal proved sufficient to separate the teams after a goalless opening period. With no dismissals recorded the match followed a standard pattern without external disruptions. The result positions Ferencvárosi favorably for the return leg while leaving Górnik Zabrze needing to improve output in both creation and finishing. Overall metrics supported the final scoreline and reflected the pre-match hierarchy between the sides.