Match in progress now LIVE Real-time updates

Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Victoria Stadium Today - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Lincoln Red ImpsLRI
0 – 0
Halftime
LarneLARN
Live: Half Time Break Today 4:00 PM
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi 27' Red Card
|

Events

1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Matthew Lusty
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
1st Redcard
27'
27'
Event
Sean Graham
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Manu Toledano
1st Yellowcard
20'

Match Commentary

43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matthew Lusty receives a yellow card.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Yussef Flalhi Idrissi.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Manuel Toledano Ortiz.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kristo Tohver.

Statistics

Possession
LRI
49%
LARN
51%

Top Statistics

1 Shots 1
46 Dangerous attacks 37
45 Possession 55
3 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

12 Ball Safe 18
2 Goal Attempts 0
9 Throwins 9

Attacking

44 Attacks 50

Defensive

0 Saves 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Kristo Tohver

Starting XI ▼

13
Jaylan Hankins
Jaylan Hankins Goalkeeper
3
Christian Rutjens
Christian Rutjens Defender
6
Bernardo Lopes
Bernardo Lopes Defender
66
Julliani Eersteling
Julliani Eersteling Defender
8
Mandi
Mandi Midfielder
10
Álex Mula
Álex Mula Midfielder
21
Nano
Nano Midfielder
23
Joe
Joe Midfielder
19
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi
Yussef Flalhi Idrissi Attacker
32
Facundo Álvarez
Facundo Álvarez Attacker
44
Manu Toledano
Manu Toledano Attacker
Referee : Kristo Tohver

Starting XI ▼

1
Rohan Ferguson
Rohan Ferguson Goalkeeper
3
Matt Ridley
Matt Ridley Defender
4
Aaron Donnelly
Aaron Donnelly Defender
11
Sean Graham
Sean Graham Defender
23
Tomas Cosgrove
Tomas Cosgrove Defender
6
Chris Gallagher
Chris Gallagher Midfielder
15
Ronan Doherty
Ronan Doherty Midfielder
25
Dylan Sloan
Dylan Sloan Midfielder
26
Dan Bent
Dan Bent Midfielder
30
Matthew Lusty
Matthew Lusty Attacker
45
Montel Gibson
Montel Gibson Attacker

CONTEXT

The half-time whistle has blown in this encounter between Lincoln Red Imps and Larne with the scoreline remaining goalless at 0-0. Lincoln Red Imps faced a setback when they were reduced to ten men following a red card in the first half. Despite this numerical disadvantage the home side managed to keep the game level. Larne enjoyed superior possession at 55 percent and appeared to hold the initiative in terms of control and chances created. Pre-match signals pointed to Larne as the stronger team yet the live situation shows a draw which stays consistent with the overall projection. No expected goals data is recorded at this stage but the pattern of play suggests a tightly contested affair heading into the interval.

TL;DR

  • Live state: The match is at half-time with the scoreline level at 0-0.
  • Structural vs live: The live result picture is in line with the pre-match structural edge for Larne.
  • Projection vs live: Projection and live state show neutral alignment at the break.
  • xG trend: Expected goals information is not available during the half-time break.
  • Possession profile: Larne leads possession with 55 percent to Lincoln Red Imps 45 percent at half-time.
  • Event impact: Red-card events are affecting match dynamics.
  • Second-half outlook: Live efficiency trend is in line with; The remainder should be decided by execution in transitions and set plays.
  • Market: Lincoln Red Imps 18.8% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 41.7% (Δ+1%) | Larne 39.6% (Δ-1.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Tohver
K. Tohver
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Kõiv
S. Kõiv
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Saga
S. Saga
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Kaivoja
K. Kaivoja
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lincoln Red Imps J. Pavón Domínguez
J. Pavón Domínguez
VS
Larne G. Haveron
G. Haveron
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lincoln Red Imps
18.53%
Draw
41.18%
Away Larne
40.29%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lincoln Red Imps
-0.22%
Draw
-0.5%
Larne
+0.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.59
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lincoln Red Imps
Larne
Power Score
22.59
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lincoln Red Imps — Opponent-weighted form score
Larne — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lincoln Red Imps Larne

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lincoln Red Imps

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Larne

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lincoln Red Imps ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Larne
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lincoln Red Imps Larne
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Larne
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lincoln Red Imps
Larne
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lincoln Red Imps
vs
Larne
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lincoln Red Imps Larne
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lincoln Red Imps 0.00
Larne 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lincoln Red Imps Larne
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lincoln Red Imps 0.00
Larne 0.00
Lincoln Red Imps
Larne
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LARN had peak pressure around 44'.
  • LRI started the game with stronger pressure.
LRI Pressure LARN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LARN reached the top pressure at 44' (68.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lincoln Red Imps LRI Home
2 matches
Larne LARN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-20T14:00:41+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 20, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Victoria Stadium
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kristo Tohver
Silver Kõiv
Sander Saga
Kevin Kaivoja

CONCLUSION

At the break the teams are tied at 0-0 with Lincoln Red Imps having played much of the half a man down. This has not prevented them from matching Larne who held the majority of possession. The draw at half-time aligns closely with pre-match expectations and the projected leader. With the red card impacting Lincoln Red Imps the second half promises continued focus on defensive organization from the home team while Larne will look to capitalize on their numerical advantage. The overall state remains neutral and in line with signals from before the match. Both sides will return for the second period seeking to break the deadlock.