Víkingur Reykjavík vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Víkingsvöllur Tue, 21 Jul - 7:00 PM
Champions League
Full Time Tue, 21 Jul 7:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Nikolaj Hansen - 48', 86'
Goal
|
Goal
Kings Kangwa - 51'

CONTEXT

Víkingur Reykjavík hosted Hapoel Be'er Sheva in the first leg of a two-legged knockout tie and secured a 2-1 victory. The match remained level at halftime with both sides registering zero goals. Home possession stood at 53 percent against the visitors 47 percent. No red cards were shown to players from either team. The stronger pre-match side according to available indicators was Hapoel Be'er Sheva yet the outcome favored the home side. Expected goals data were unavailable leaving alignment metrics uncalculated. A significant deviation of 60.9 percent was recorded with Víkingur Reykjavík as the deviation team. Market alignment held true while efficiency shift remained in line with recorded performance. The result sets the aggregate entering the second leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Víkingur Reykjavík recorded a significant 60.9 percent structural deviation as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the performance metrics observed during the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because home and away xG values were null.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was true according to the recorded outcome versus pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined due to the complete absence of expected goals data.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on the 2-1 home win in leg one of the two-legged tie.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion did not occur as both teams finished with zero red cards.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Glova
F. Glova
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Poláček
D. Poláček
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Bednár
P. Bednár
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Benedik
B. Benedik
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Víkingur Reykjavík S. Ottesen Jónsson
S. Ottesen Jónsson
VS
Hapoel Be'er Sheva R. Kozuch
R. Kozuch
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Győri ETO Rank: 67 D
Győri ETO Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Víkingur Reykjavík
39.14%
Draw
25.62%
Away Hapoel Be'er Sheva
35.23%

Movement

Changes since opening
Víkingur Reykjavík
-55.67%
Draw
+21.06%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
+34.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Víkingur Reykjavík
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Power Score
36.67
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Víkingur Reykjavík Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Víkingur Reykjavík Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Víkingur Reykjavík

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Víkingur Reykjavík ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.72
20.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.64
34.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Víkingur Reykjavík +1.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva -1.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Víkingur Reykjavík
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Víkingur Reykjavík ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Víkingur Reykjavík Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Víkingur Reykjavík Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Víkingur Reykjavík
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Víkingur Reykjavík
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Víkingur Reykjavík Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Víkingur Reykjavík Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Víkingur Reykjavík
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VIR had peak pressure around 35'.
  • VIR started the game with stronger pressure.
VIR Pressure HBS Pressure
Pressure Index: VIR reached the top pressure at 35' (53.83).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 21, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Víkingsvöllur
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Filip Glova
Daniel Poláček
Peter Bednár
Boris Benedik

Statistics

Possession
VIR
54%
HBS
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
10 Shots 5
68 Dangerous attacks 54
53 Possession 47
7 Corners 1
7 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
32 Throwins 21

Attacking

108 Attacks 109

Defensive

1 Saves 2

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Filip Glova

Starting XI

29
Aron Snaer Fridriksson
6.12
4
Oliver Ekroth
6.37
6
Gunnar Vatnhamar
Gunnar Vatnhamar Defender
6.26
9
Helgi Gudjónsson
6.26
22
Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson
6.26
10
Gylfi Sigurdsson
Gylfi Sigurdsson Midfielder
6.37
11
Daníel Hafsteinsson
6.37
8
Viktor Örlygur Andrason
6.5
19
Óskar Borgthórsson
6.48
21
Aron Elís Thrándarson
6.37
18
Dadi Berg Jónsson
Dadi Berg Jónsson
Midfielder76'
6.5
23
Nikolaj Hansen
Nikolaj Hansen Attacker
2
7.1
77
Stígur Thórdarson
Stígur Thórdarson
Midfielder90+2'
25
Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson
6.42
Referee : Filip Glova

Starting XI

1
Ofir Marciano
Ofir Marciano Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Guy Mizrahi
Guy Mizrahi Defender
6.05
4
Miguel Vítor
6.04
12
Itay Rotman
Itay Rotman
Defender88'
13
Ofir Davidzada
Ofir Davidzada Defender
6.05
44
Djibril Diop
Djibril Diop Defender
6.05
17
Kings Kangwa
Kings Kangwa Midfielder
6.52
7
Eliel Peretz
Eliel Peretz
Midfielder71'
6.37
25
Lucas Ventura
Lucas Ventura Midfielder
6.27
28
Niv Yehoshua
Niv Yehoshua Midfielder
6.27
11
Amir Ganah
Amir Ganah Attacker
6.46
9
Zahi Ahmed
Zahi Ahmed
Attacker63'
6.46
45
Muhammad Abu Rumi
6.46
20
Javon East
Javon East
Attacker71'
6.46
66
Igor Zlatanovic
Igor Zlatanovic Attacker
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Stígur Thórdarson Nikolaj Hansen
9th Substitution
90+2'
88'
Event
Amit Ohana Igor Zlatanovic
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Itay Rotman Miguel Vítor 
8th Substitution
Event
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
86'
77'
Event
Offside / Goal Disallowed
Event
Viktor Örlygur Andrason Daníel Hafsteinsson
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Dadi Berg Jónsson Aron Elís Thrándarson
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson Gunnar Vatnhamar
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
71'
Event
Javon East Muhammad Abu Rumi
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Eliel Peretz Kings Kangwa
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Zahi Ahmed Amir Ganah
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
51'
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Stigur Diljan Thordarson is on, and Nikolaj Hansen is off.
88
Substitution Substitution
Amit Ohana is substituted for Igor Zlatanovic.
88
Update Update
On Itay Rotman, off Miguel Angelo Leonardo Vitor.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Niv Yehoshua due to offside.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Niv Yehoshua scores, making it 1-2.
76
Update Update
Viktor Orlygur Andrason comes on for Daniel Hafsteinsson.
76
Update Update
Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson comes on for Gunnar Vatnhamar.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vaaldimar Thor Ingimundarson.
71
Update Update
Javon Romario East is on, and Mohammed Abu Rumi is off.
71
Update Update
Eliel Peretz comes on for Kings Kangwa.
63
Update Update
On comes Zahi Ahmed, off goes Amir Chaim Ganah.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Miguel Angelo Leonardo Vitor.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kings Kangwa scores, bringing the match to 1-1.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nikolaj Hansen scores to make it 1-0.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kings Kangwa receives a yellow card.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Filip Glova.

CONCLUSION

The 2-1 result in leg one leaves Víkingur Reykjavík ahead on aggregate entering the return fixture. Possession favored the home side by a modest six percentage points yet both teams created limited clear opportunities in the first half. Absence of expected goals figures restricts deeper performance evaluation and prevents confirmation of outcome consistency with underlying metrics. The significant deviation attached to the winner highlights an outcome that diverged from pre-match team strength indicators. With market alignment confirmed and efficiency shift rated in line the match produced a factual result without external distortions from dismissals. The second leg will determine whether the current aggregate holds or whether Hapoel Be'er Sheva can reverse the deficit on home soil.