Brann vs Apollon preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Brann Stadion Wed, 5 Aug - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Full Time Wed, 5 Aug 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Alen Ozbolt - 22'

CONTEXT

Brann hosted Apollon in the first leg of their knockout tie. The visitors secured a narrow 0-1 win after scoring in the opening half. Brann registered 42 percent possession while Apollon held 58 percent. No red cards were issued to players from either team. Apollon entered as the stronger side and claimed the victory. The halftime score stood at 0-1 with no further goals added after the break. The contest remained tightly contested with both sides prioritizing defensive structure. Apollon managed to protect their lead effectively despite limited attacking output. Brann pushed forward in search of an equalizer but could not break through. This outcome leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the second leg. The single goal proved sufficient to separate the sides on the night.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Apollon recorded a significant 78.5 percent deviation as the away winner.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team performances.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: The result was not aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to absent data.
  • Event impact: The first half goal decided the 0-1 final score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and thus created no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Kos
D. Kos
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Heinig
B. Heinig
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Zakrzewski
A. Zakrzewski
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
W. Myć
W. Myć
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
VS
Apollon H. Losada
H. Losada
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 W
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dila Rank: W
Dila Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
55.43%
Draw
23.07%
Away Apollon
21.5%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brann
+54.8%
Draw
+18.51%
Apollon
-73.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.71
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Apollon
Power Score
29.71
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Brann Opponent-weighted form score
Apollon Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Apollon

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Apollon

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Apollon
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann Apollon
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann Apollon
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Apollon
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brann
vs
Apollon
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann Apollon
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann Apollon
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Brann
Apollon
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SKB had peak pressure around 36'.
  • APO started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure APO Pressure
Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 36' (61.42).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 05, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Damian Kos
Bartosz Heinig
Artur Zakrzewski
Wojciech Myć

Statistics

Possession
SKB
54%
APO
46%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
3 Shots 5
79 Dangerous attacks 37
43 Possession 57
7 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 73
4 Goal Attempts 9
3 Substitutions 5
32 Throwins 24
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

113 Attacks 79

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Damian Kos

Starting XI

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
6.12
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
6.26
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
6.26
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6.26
10
Kristall Máni Ingason
6.37
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
6.5
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Midfielder
6.33
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
6.37
19
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
6.37
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker86'
9
Niklas Castro
Niklas Castro Attacker
6.42
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
6.46
22
Sævar Atli Magnússon
6.5
Referee : Damian Kos

Starting XI

22
Philipp Kühn
Philipp Kühn Goalkeeper
6.5
14
Giorgos Malekkidis
6.5
37
Leonidas Konomis
Leonidas Konomis Defender
6.5
4
Emanuel Aiwu
Emanuel Aiwu
Defender57'
6.5
44
Josef Kvida
Josef Kvida Defender
6.5
76
Bruno Gaspar
Bruno Gaspar Defender
6.5
5
Morgan Brown
Morgan Brown Midfielder
6.5
23
Brandon Thomas
Brandon Thomas Midfielder
6.5
19
Nearchos Zinonos
Nearchos Zinonos
Defender86'
27
Gaétan Weissbeck
Gaétan Weissbeck Midfielder
6.5
10
Garry Rodrigues
Garry Rodrigues
Midfielder75'
6.5
77
Ivan Ljubic
Ivan Ljubic Midfielder
6.5
9
Alen Ozbolt
Alen Ozbolt Attacker
6.83
17
Clinton Duodu
Clinton Duodu
Midfielder75'
6.5
30
Dani Escriche
Dani Escriche Attacker
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Bård Finne Eggert Aron Gudmundsson 
7th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Konstantinos Balogiannis Dani Escriche
6th Substitution
86'
Event
Nearchos Zinonos Brandon Thomas
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
75'
Event
Clinton Duodu  Alen Ozbolt
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Garry Rodrigues Gaétan Weissbeck
5th Substitution
Event
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Kristall Máni Ingason
3rd Substitution
68'
57'
Event
Emanuel Aiwu Leonidas Konomis
1st Substitution
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
47'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Bard Finne is on, and Eggert Aron Gudmundsson is off.
86
Update Update
Konstantinos Balogiannis replaces Daniel Escriche Romero.
86
Update Update
Nearchos Zinonos comes on for Brandon Thomas Llamas.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Philipp Kuhn receives a yellow card.
75
Update Update
Clinton Duodu is on, and Alen Ozbolt is off.
75
Substitution Substitution
Garry Mendes Rodrigues is substituted off for Gaetan Weissbeck.
75
Update Update
Clinton Duodu is on, and Alen Ozbolt is off.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Philipp Kuhn receives a yellow card.
73
Update Update
On Clinton Duodu, off Alen Ozbolt.
70
Substitution Substitution
Garry Mendes Rodrigues is substituted for Gaetan Weissbeck.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Philipp Kuhn receives a yellow card.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
Emanuel Aiwu is on, and Konomis is off.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Damian Kos.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brann 0-1 Apollon. Structural assessment: Apollon exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.