Südtirol vs Bari 1908 preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Marco Druso Fri, 22 May - 6:00 PM
Serie B
Südtirol SUD
Bari 1908 BAR
KICKOFF : Fri, 22 May - 6:00 PM
Final Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 0

CONTEXT

Südtirol welcomes Bari 1908 to Stadio Marco Druso for the second leg of the Serie B relegation play-off final. The first leg finished goalless, leaving the aggregate level at 0-0 as both sides fight to secure their status in the division. Südtirol sits 16th in the domestic table while Bari occupies 17th, underlining the fine margins at stake. The home side carries a narrow power score edge of 0.2 points and is regarded as the marginally stronger team overall. Bari arrives with notably stronger recent form, posting a score of 16.78 against Südtirol's 7.11. Limited xG information restricts deeper insight into set-piece and efficiency areas, yet the encounter promises a tense, tactical battle typical of decisive play-off fixtures. Both teams must balance caution with the need to create opportunities in what could be a low-scoring affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Südtirol holds a marginal power score advantage of 0.2 points over Bari 1908 in this encounter.
  • Form: Bari 1908 enters with a superior form score of 16.78 compared to Südtirol's 7.11.
  • Squad: Both teams field squads positioned 16th and 17th in the domestic Serie B standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics are not detailed in the pre-match analysis.
  • Transition: Transition play details are unavailable for this relegation play-off match.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance indicators show low confidence with proxy data usage.
  • xVariable: The power advantage stands at just 0.2 points favoring the home side.
  • Market: Südtirol 50.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Bari 1908 21% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Südtirol F. Castori
F. Castori
VS
Bari 1908 M. Longo
M. Longo
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: 51 D
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 D
Sampdoria Rank: 53 L
Mantova Rank: 55 L
Spezia Rank: 52 L
Modena Rank: 56 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Südtirol Rank: 51 D
Catanzaro Rank: 61 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 49 W
Avellino Rank: 53 L
Venezia Rank: 71 L
Monza Rank: 66 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Südtirol
50.53%
Draw
28.52%
Away Bari 1908
20.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.66
51.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Südtirol
Bari 1908
Power Score
51.66
51.49
League Position
16
17
Global Rank
729
733

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Südtirol Opponent-weighted form score
Bari 1908 Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Südtirol Bari 1908

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Südtirol SUD Home
11 matches
Bari 1908 BAR Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
4
Goals
8
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
8
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T17:30:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
M. Adamonis
Lithuania
31 M. Adamonis
H. El Kaouakibi
Morocco
94 H. El Kaouakibi
N. Pietrangeli
Italy
19 N. Pietrangeli
F. Veseli
Albania
34 F. Veseli
S. Molina
Italy
79 S. Molina
M. Frigerio
Italy
26 M. Frigerio
S. Tronchin
Italy
18 S. Tronchin
D. Casiraghi
Italy
17 D. Casiraghi
S. Davì
Italy
24 S. Davì
S. Merkaj
Albania
33 S. Merkaj
E. Pecorino
Italy
9 E. Pecorino
M. Cerofolini
Italy
31 M. Cerofolini
E. Dorval
Algeria
93 E. Dorval
D. Nikolaou
Greece
43 D. Nikolaou
C. Odenthal
Netherlands
26 C. Odenthal
V. Mantovani
Italy
13 V. Mantovani
K. Piscopo
Italy
28 K. Piscopo
G. Maggiore
Italy
18 G. Maggiore
M. Braunöder
Austria
27 M. Braunöder
R. Pagano
Italy
8 R. Pagano
E. Rao
Italy
17 E. Rao
G. Moncini
Italy
11 G. Moncini

General Information

Date & Time
May 22, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Final · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 0
Stadium
Stadio Marco Druso
Capacity
5539
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Khaled Bahri
Marcello Rossi
Federico La Penna
Kevin Bonacina

Lineup

Referee : Federico La Penna

Starting XI

31
Marius Adamonis
Marius Adamonis Goalkeeper
6.73
19
Nicola Pietrangeli
Nicola Pietrangeli Defender
6.61
34
Frédéric Veseli
Frédéric Veseli Defender
6.55
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
Hamza El Kaouakibi Defender
6.91
17
Daniele Casiraghi
Daniele Casiraghi Midfielder
7.04
18
Simone Tronchin
Simone Tronchin Midfielder
6.78
24
Simone Davi
Simone Davi Midfielder
6.62
26
Marco Frigerio
Marco Frigerio Midfielder
6.59
79
Salvatore Molina
Salvatore Molina Midfielder
6.95
9
Emanuele Pecorino
Emanuele Pecorino Attacker
6.95
33
Silvio Merkaj
Silvio Merkaj Attacker
6.65
Referee : Federico La Penna

Starting XI

31
Michele Cerofolini
Michele Cerofolini Goalkeeper
7.07
13
Valerio Mantovani
Valerio Mantovani Defender
6.57
26
Cas Odenthal
Cas Odenthal Defender
6.8
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
Dimitrios Nikolaou Defender
6.63
93
Mehdi Dorval
Mehdi Dorval Defender
6.8
8
Riccardo Pagano
Riccardo Pagano Midfielder
6.63
18
Giulio Maggiore
Giulio Maggiore Midfielder
6.83
27
Matthias Braunöder
Matthias Braunöder Midfielder
6.79
28
Kevin Piscopo
Kevin Piscopo Midfielder
6.87
11
Gabriele Moncini
Gabriele Moncini Attacker
6.75
17
Emanuele Rao
Emanuele Rao Attacker
6.84

CONCLUSION

The second leg of this Serie B relegation play-off final offers a classic test of nerve and organisation. With the aggregate score locked at 0-0 after the first leg, neither side can afford defensive lapses yet both must find a way to break the deadlock. Südtirol benefits from home advantage and a slight overall edge in underlying strength, but Bari's superior current form suggests they will pose a genuine threat on the counter. Expect a measured approach from both coaches, with emphasis on midfield control and minimising errors in possession. The outcome will likely hinge on individual moments of quality or a decisive set-piece intervention. Whichever team shows greater composure under pressure should secure their Serie B survival and condemn the other to the lower tier.