Stoke City vs Swansea City preview

England flag 2026/2027 Championship, England
Bet365 Stadium Sat, 15 Aug - 2:00 PM
Championship
Stoke CitySTK
Swansea CitySWA
KICKOFF : Sat, 15 Aug - 2:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Stoke City prepare to host Swansea City at the Bet365 Stadium in a Championship regular season fixture from the 2026/2027 campaign. The visitors carry a modest power advantage measured at 4.3 points, reflecting their higher rating of 73.94 against the hosts' 69.68. Domestic league standings place Stoke twelfth while Swansea sit fifteenth. Both clubs enter without recent form data available, leaving analysts to focus on structural elements and squad composition instead. Venue familiarity could influence proceedings for the home side, yet the away team holds the stronger overall profile according to available metrics. Limited information on efficiency and transition play means attention turns toward set-piece dynamics where proxy data indicates low confidence levels. The encounter promises a balanced contest shaped by positional nuances rather than recent results.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Swansea City hold a 4.3-point power advantage over Stoke City in this Championship matchup.
  • Form: Neither side has recorded form scores entering the fixture.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unspecified for both teams ahead of the contest.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for Stoke City and Swansea City.
  • Transition: Transition data shows no recorded values for either club.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece analysis relies on proxy data with low confidence for both teams.
  • xVariable: Expected variable insights are not provided in current records.
  • Market: Stoke City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Swansea City 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Stoke City M. Robins
M. Robins
VS
Swansea City Vitor Matos
Vitor Matos
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bristol City Rank: 73 L
Portsmouth Rank: 73 L
Millwall Rank: 79 L
Wrexham Rank: 77 L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: 74 D
Derby County Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlton Athletic Rank: 71 W
Norwich City Rank: 77 D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 70 W
Southampton Rank: 83 L
Leicester City Rank: 72 W
Middlesbrough Rank: 78 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.68
73.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Stoke City
Swansea City
Power Score
69.68
73.94
League Position
12
15
Global Rank
299
182

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Stoke City — Opponent-weighted form score
Swansea City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Stoke City Swansea City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Stoke City STK Home
4 matches
Swansea City SWA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:18:33+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
V. Johansson
1 V. Johansson
B. Wilmot
16 B. Wilmot
M. Bosun Lawal
18 M. Bosun Lawal
L. Graham
5 L. Graham
E. Bocat
17 E. Bocat
E. William Galbraith
8 E. William Galbraith
S. Ingelsson
6 S. Ingelsson
L. Cisse
11 L. Cisse
M. Manhoef
42 M. Manhoef
S. Thomas
7 S. Thomas
S. Gallagher
20 S. Gallagher
L. Vigouroux
22 L. Vigouroux
J. Tymon
14 J. Tymon
C. Burgess
15 C. Burgess
B. Cabango
5 B. Cabango
F. Lissah
26 F. Lissah
E. Just
8 E. Just
M. Stamenic
6 M. Stamenic
M. Widell
7 M. Widell
J. Amankwaah Opoku
30 J. Amankwaah Opoku
A. Idah
33 A. Idah
M. Yeo
49 M. Yeo

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 15, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Championship, England · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Bet365 Stadium
Capacity
30089
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oliver Langford
George Byrne
Samuel Clayton
Simon Mather

Expected Lineup

Referee : Oliver Langford

Starting XI ▼

1
Viktor Johansson
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper
7.03
20
Sam Gallagher
Sam Gallagher Centre Forward
6.77
8
Ethan Galbraith
Ethan Galbraith Defensive Midfield
6.93
11
Lamine Cissé
Lamine Cissé Right Wing
6.79
16
Ben Wilmot
Ben Wilmot Right Back
6.98
17
Eric-Junior Bocat
Eric-Junior Bocat Left Back
6.65
42
Million Manhoef
Million Manhoef Attacking Midfield
6.74
6
Svante Ingelsson
Svante Ingelsson Defensive Midfield
6.69
5
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Left Back
6.8
7
Sorba Thomas
Sorba Thomas Left Wing
6.97
18
Bosun Lawal
Bosun Lawal Right Back
6.89
Referee : Oliver Langford

Starting XI ▼

22
Lawrence Vigouroux
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper
7
30
Joseph Okopu
Joseph Okopu Attacker
6.97
33
Adam Idah
Adam Idah Centre Forward
6.74
49
Moussa Yeo
Moussa Yeo Attacker
6.78
6
Marko Stamenić
Marko Stamenić Central Midfield
6.8
15
Cameron Burgess
Cameron Burgess Left Back
6.96
5
Ben Cabango
Ben Cabango Right Back
6.88
7
Melker Widell
Melker Widell Central Midfield
6.63
8
Elijah Just
Elijah Just Central Midfield
7.14
14
Josh Tymon
Josh Tymon Left Back
6.98
26
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Right Back
6.99

CONCLUSION

Stoke City and Swansea City meet under conditions where power ratings favor the visitors by a narrow margin. League positions suggest a mid-table battle with Stoke slightly ahead in the standings. Absence of form records shifts emphasis onto structural strengths and squad depth. Venue at the Bet365 Stadium offers the hosts a familiar setting that may offset the away side's rating edge. Set-piece information carries low confidence due to proxy usage, limiting deeper projections. Overall the matchup appears evenly poised with Swansea holding a slight profile advantage. Teams will likely rely on established patterns rather than recent momentum to influence the outcome.