Stjarnan vs Víkingur preview
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Samsung völlurinn
1st Qualifying Round ·
Leg 2 of 2
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 26
CONTEXT
Stjarnan hosted Vikingur in the second leg of a two-legged knockout tie and secured a 3-1 victory to claim the tie. The sides were level at 1-1 after the first half. Stjarnan controlled 63 percent of possession while Vikingur held 37 percent. No red cards were shown to either side. Pre-match indicators had assigned Stjarnan a 53.8 percent probability of winning, yet the observed outcome produced a 46.2 percent deviation that was classified as significant and attributed to the home side. Efficiency metrics remained in line with the broader performance pattern. The absence of expected goals figures prevented direct assessment of underlying chance creation. The final scoreline of 3-1 reflected Stjarnan completing the comeback in the second half.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Stjarnan 3-1 Víkingur. Stjarnan showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed match dynamics.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated because expected goals data were unavailable.
-
Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with pre-match market positioning.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be formed due to missing underlying metrics.
-
Event impact: The contest as leg two of two shaped the second-half adjustments observed.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards were recorded and therefore produced no disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
A. Rossland
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Lien
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Hauksson
VS
A. Gregersen
0
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Stjarnan
53.82%
Draw
20.76%
Víkingur
25.43%
Movement
Changes since opening
Stjarnan
-43.5%
Draw
+18.85%
Víkingur
+24.66%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Stjarnan
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Víkingur
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Stjarnan Víkingur
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Stjarnan
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Víkingur
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Stjarnan
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Víkingur
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.92
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Stjarnan
+0.94
Efficiency Index
vs
Víkingur
-0.94
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Stjarnan
Víkingur
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Stjarnan
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Víkingur
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
2.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Stjarnan
Víkingur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Stjarnan
vs
Víkingur
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Stjarnan
0.16
Víkingur
0.11
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Stjarnan
0.02
Víkingur
0.03
Stjarnan
Víkingur
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- STJ had peak pressure around 78'.
- Víkingur started the game with stronger pressure.
STJ Pressure
Víkingur Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
STJ reached the top pressure at 78' (68.23).
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
4-3-3
12 Á. Ólafsson
32 ?. Örvarsson
5 (C) G. Kristjánsson
18 G. Nökkvason
23 B. Waren
322 E. Atlason
11 B. Ingason
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Samsung völlurinn
Capacity
1440
Attendance
710
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Next Match
Stjarnan
vs
Víkingur
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Við Djúpumýrar
Víkingur
vs
Stjarnan
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Við Djúpumýrar
Statistics
Possession
STJ
59%
Víkingur
41%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
1
10
Shots
3
108
Dangerous attacks
57
63
Possession
37
9
Corners
4
12
Free kicks
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
Match Overview
85
Ball Safe
74
2
Penalties
0
14
Goal Attempts
5
3
Substitutions
3
15
Throwins
20
1
Assists
1
Attacking
135
Attacks
96
Discipline
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
15
Lineup
Referee :
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Manager ▼
J. Hauksson
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Darri Bergmann Gylfason
Goalkeeper
83
Duro Stefan Beic
Goalkeeper
14
Bjarki Hauksson
Defender
30
Markús Andri Daníelsson Martin
Defender
17
Haukur Orn Brink
Midfielder
36
Arnar Breki Björnsson
Midfielder
37
Benjamín Björnsson
Attacker
99
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
Attacker
Referee :
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Manager ▼
A. Gregersen
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
23
Niklas Thomsen
Goalkeeper
5
Jákup Vilhelmsen
Defender
13
Jónatan Lervig
Defender
26
Fríði Gertsson Jarnskor
Midfielder
12
Dávid á Lídarenda
Attacker
27
Rani Hansen
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
90'
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
6th Substitution
88'
7th Substitution
88'
88'
5th Substitution
Persistent fouling / 5th Yellowcard
84'
83'
4th Substitution
3rd Substitution
81'
79'
2nd Substitution
Penalty / 2nd Penalty
78'
Persistent fouling / 4th Yellowcard
72'
71'
Atli Gregersen
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
67'
Persistent fouling / 3rd Yellowcard
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
1ST-HALF
45'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Penalty / 1st Penalty
42'
37'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1st Substitution
24'
12'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Stjarnan completed a 3-1 home win over Vikingur after trailing at the interval. Possession dominance at 63 percent supported their ability to turn the scoreline around without the complication of dismissals. The significant deviation from pre-match positioning highlighted an underestimation of the home side's capacity to impose control after the break. With no expected goals available, performance evaluation relied on observable metrics such as territory and the clean disciplinary record. The outcome remained consistent with market alignment while efficiency stayed steady throughout. As the second leg, the fixture rewarded the side that better managed the tie's aggregate demands once the initial parity was broken.
Match Commentary