St. Mirren vs Dundee United preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
The Smisa Stadium Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Premiership
St. Mirren STM
Dundee United DUD
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 1:00 PM
Round 38 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

St. Mirren welcomes Dundee United to The Smisa Stadium for a pivotal Premiership 2nd Phase fixture in the 2025/2026 season. Hosting from 10th in the domestic standings, St. Mirren confronts a Dundee United outfit perched at 7th, boasting a 5.8-point power advantage and superior rating of 61.41 to the home side's 55.63. Form metrics further favor the visitors, with a 9.11 score eclipsing St. Mirren's 7.39, hinting at momentum in their camp. Lacking recent outing details, both squads enter on merit from league positions and underlying strengths. Dundee United's edge positions them as the stronger force structurally, yet St. Mirren's home turf could spark resilience. Midfield control and defensive solidity will prove decisive, as sparse set-piece and efficiency data leaves room for tactical surprises. This matchup promises intensity, with the away team's quality likely tested against spirited home resistance.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee United possesses a structural advantage with a 61.41 power score and 5.8-point edge over St. Mirren's 55.63.
  • Form: Dundee United shows stronger recent form at 9.11 compared to St. Mirren's 7.39.
  • Squad: St. Mirren occupies 10th place while Dundee United sits 7th in domestic league standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not detailed for St. Mirren or Dundee United.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG information and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as xG data not enabled for this matchup.
  • Market: Projection split: St. Mirren 44% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Dundee United 30.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
St. Mirren C. McLeish
C. McLeish
VS
Dundee United J. Goodwin
J. Goodwin
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 60 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 L
Dundee Rank: 58 L
Livingston Rank: 53 L
Celtic Rank: 79 L
Aberdeen Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Livingston Rank: 54 D
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 L
Dundee Rank: 58 W
Livingston Rank: 54 W
Rangers Rank: 76 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 13 - 22
22
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home St. Mirren
44%
Draw
25.91%
Away Dundee United
30.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.63
61.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
St. Mirren
Dundee United
Power Score
55.63
61.41
League Position
10
7
Global Rank
634
454

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
St. Mirren — Opponent-weighted form score
Dundee United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) St. Mirren Dundee United

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 45 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

St. Mirren STM Home
45 matches
Dundee United DUD Away
Match Record
10
Wins
22
13
Draws
13
22
Losses
10
Goals
48
Goals Scored
65
65
Goals Conceded
48
-17
Goal Difference
+17
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:05:06+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 38 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
The Smisa Stadium
Capacity
8016
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Peter Urminský
Peter Urminský Goalkeeper
1
Shamal George
Shamal George Goalkeeper
31
Ryan Mullen
Ryan Mullen Goalkeeper
24
Declan John
Declan John Defender
3
Scott Tanser
Scott Tanser Defender
13
Alexandros Gogić
Alexandros Gogić Defender
22
Marcus Fraser
Marcus Fraser Defender
2
Jayden Richardson
Jayden Richardson Defender
5
Richard King
Richard King Defender
21
Miguel Freckleton
Miguel Freckleton Defender
44
Liam Donnelly
Liam Donnelly Midfielder
6
Mark O'Hara
Mark O'Hara Midfielder
16
Allan Campbell
Allan Campbell Midfielder
25
Keanu Baccus
Keanu Baccus Midfielder
7
Roland Idowu
Roland Idowu Midfielder
88
Killian Phillips
Killian Phillips Midfielder
8
Jacob Devaney
Jacob Devaney Midfielder
9
Mikael Mandron
Mikael Mandron Attacker
10
Conor McMenamin
Conor McMenamin Attacker
11
Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga
Jonah Ananias Paul Ayunga Attacker
14
Dan Nlundulu
Dan Nlundulu Attacker
29
Kion Reece Etete
Kion Reece Etete Attacker
20
Jake Young
Jake Young Attacker
18
Malik Dijksteel
Malik Dijksteel Attacker
17
Jalmaro Calvin
Jalmaro Calvin Attacker

Squad ▼

25
Dave Richards
Dave Richards Goalkeeper
1
Ashley Maynard-Brewer
Ashley Maynard-Brewer Goalkeeper
2
Ryan Strain
Ryan Strain Defender
6
Ross Graham
Ross Graham Defender
23
Krisztián Keresztes
Krisztián Keresztes Defender
4
Iurie Iovu
Iurie Iovu Defender
3
Bert Esselink
Bert Esselink Defender
22
Dario Naamo
Dario Naamo Defender
8
Panutche Amadu Pereira Camará
Panutche Amadu Pereira Camará Midfielder
14
Craig Sibbald
Craig Sibbald Midfielder
11
Will Ferry
Will Ferry Midfielder
10
Julius Eskesen
Julius Eskesen Midfielder
20
Neil Farrugia
Neil Farrugia Midfielder
5
Vicko Ševelj
Vicko Ševelj Midfielder
21
Luca Stephenson
Luca Stephenson Midfielder
30
Lewis O'Donnell
Lewis O'Donnell Midfielder
70
Isaac Pappoe
Isaac Pappoe Midfielder
12
Emmanuel Agyei
Emmanuel Agyei Midfielder
77
Johnny Russell
Johnny Russell Attacker
7
Kristijan Trapanovski
Kristijan Trapanovski Attacker
19
Ivan Dolček
Ivan Dolček Attacker
36
Max Watters
Max Watters Attacker
9
Zachary Sapsford
Zachary Sapsford Attacker
17
Amar Abdirahman Ahmed Fatah
Amar Abdirahman Ahmed Fatah Attacker

CONCLUSION

Dundee United arrives as the stronger side, leveraging higher power and form scores to challenge St. Mirren at home. The 7th-placed visitors could exploit their 5.8-point edge, though the 10th-placed hosts will draw on venue familiarity for defiance. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, focus shifts to overall execution and league positioning. St. Mirren must disrupt Dundee United's rhythm early, while the away team eyes clinical finishing. A tight contest looms, potentially hinging on key individual duels and adaptive tactics. Dundee United's quality tips the scales slightly in their favor for a hard-fought result.