St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Energizer Park Sun, 26 Jul - 12:30 AM
Major League Soccer
St. Louis CityLOU
1 0
Colorado RapidsCLR
Full Time Sun, 26 Jul 12:30 AM
Regular Season
Goal
|
|
Red Card Rob Holding 12'

CONTEXT

St. Louis City defeated Colorado Rapids 1-0 after a scoreless first half that ended 0-0. The home side dominated possession at 66 percent while limiting the visitors to 34 percent. Expected goals heavily favored St. Louis City with 1.25 compared to just 0.13 for Colorado Rapids. The stronger team maintained control throughout until a red card to the away side in the second half shifted the dynamics. This numerical advantage allowed St. Louis City to break the deadlock and secure the narrow win. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying metrics despite the low total goals. Overall the contest reflected a measured approach from both sides before the decisive event occurred.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: St. Louis City 1-0 Colorado Rapids. St. Louis City showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's overall performance.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with xG as the outcome proved consistent with expected goals.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed true to market alignment throughout the contest.
  • xG expectations: St. Louis City met xG expectations by posting 1.25 against 0.13 for Colorado Rapids.
  • Event impact: The second half red card produced a clear event impact on match progression.
  • Red card distortion: The away team's red card created red card distortion that favored the home side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Bensalah
N. Bensalah
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Garner
A. Garner
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Blas
D. Blas
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Bazakos
F. Bazakos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
St. Louis City Y. Damet
Y. Damet
VS
Colorado Rapids M. Wells
M. Wells
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 W
Sporting KC Rank: 51 W
Austin Rank: 59 W
DC United Rank: 56 D
Los Angeles FC Rank: 73 W
Colorado Rapids Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
San Diego Rank: 66 W
Dallas Rank: 67 L
Real Salt Lake Rank: 65 L
Minnesota United Rank: 65 W
St. Louis City Rank: 63 L
Houston Dynamo Rank: 63 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.41
62.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
Power Score
63.41
62.32
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
451
496

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
St. Louis City — Opponent-weighted form score
Colorado Rapids — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) St. Louis City Colorado Rapids

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

St. Louis City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Colorado Rapids

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

St. Louis City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Colorado Rapids
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.91
7.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
7.50
35.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
St. Louis City +1.97 Efficiency Index
vs
Colorado Rapids -1.97 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

St. Louis City
vs
Colorado Rapids
Created Set-piece attacking threat
St. Louis City Colorado Rapids
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
16%
57%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.20 vs -0.07
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
St. Louis City Colorado Rapids
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
57%
16%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.07 vs -0.20
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
St. Louis City
vs
Colorado Rapids
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
St. Louis City Colorado Rapids
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
St. Louis City 0.20
Colorado Rapids 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
St. Louis City Colorado Rapids
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
St. Louis City 0.00
Colorado Rapids 0.01
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LOU had peak pressure around 68'.
  • LOU started the game with stronger pressure.
LOU Pressure CLR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LOU reached the top pressure at 68' (96.75).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

St. Louis City LOU Home
5 matches
Colorado Rapids CLR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
2
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:00:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Energizer Park
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nabil Bensalah
Adam Garner
Diego Blas
Fotis Bazakos

Statistics

Possession
LOU
64%
CLR
36%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
6 Shots 2
94 Dangerous attacks 11
66 Possession 34
10 Corners 1
9 Free kicks 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

64 Ball Safe 84
2 Goal Kicks 10
9 Goal Attempts 1
4 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 15
2 Hit Woodwork 0
11 Successful Headers 8
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 2
9 Dribble Attempts 12
4 Successful Dribbles 4
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

133 Attacks 47

Possession

45 Long Passes 36
568 Passes 302
507 Successful Passes 241
89 Successful Passes Percentage 80
14 Key Passes 1
26 Successful Long Passes 11
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

Defensive

0 Saves 2
9 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 10
33 Duels Won 44

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 6
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
22 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Nabil Bensalah

Starting XI ▼

1
Roman Bürki
Roman Bürki (C) Goalkeeper
6.77
21
Dante Polvara
Dante Polvara Defender
7.59
32
Timo Baumgartl
Timo Baumgartl Defender
7.33
99
Jaziel Orozco
Jaziel Orozco Defender
7.18
5
Lukas MacNaughton
Lukas MacNaughton
Defender87'
6
Conrad Wallem
Conrad Wallem Midfielder
6.48
8
Chris Durkin
Chris Durkin Midfielder
6.66
7
Tomas Ostrák
Tomas Ostrák
Midfielder76'
7.2
14
Tomas Totland
Tomas Totland Midfielder
7.51
24
Daniel Ethan Edelman
Daniel Ethan Edelman Midfielder
6.61
11
Simon Becher
Simon Becher Attacker
6.66
29
Palmer Ault
Palmer Ault
Midfielder76'
6.38
17
Marcel Hartel
Marcel Hartel Attacker
7.46
28
Miguel Perez
Miguel Perez
Midfielder87'
77
Sang-bin Jeong
Sang-bin Jeong Attacker
7.12
10
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen
Midfielder58'
6.84
Referee : Nabil Bensalah

Starting XI ▼

41
Nicolas Hansen
Nicolas Hansen Goalkeeper
6.81
4
Reggie Cannon
Reggie Cannon Defender
6.48
24
Noah Cobb
Noah Cobb
Defender46'
6.58
5
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams (C) Defender
6.48
6
Rob Holding
Rob Holding Defender
3.88
22
Lucas Herrington
Lucas Herrington Defender
7.03
8
Hamzat Ojediran
Hamzat Ojediran Midfielder
6.84
33
Kosi Thompson
Kosi Thompson
Defender55'
6.68
10
Paxten Aaronson
Paxten Aaronson Midfielder
6.5
12
Josh Atencio
Josh Atencio Midfielder
6.38
13
Wayne Frederick
Wayne Frederick
Midfielder69'
6.22
7
Dante Sealy
Dante Sealy Attacker
6.5
29
Miguel Navarro
Miguel Navarro
Defender17'
7.19
9
Rafael Navarro
Rafael Navarro Attacker
7.02
77
Darren Yapi
Darren Yapi Attacker
6.55
93
Georgi Minoungou
Georgi Minoungou
Attacker46'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Kosi Thompson
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Lukas MacNaughton → Jaziel Orozco
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Miguel Perez → Marcel Hartel
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Tomas Ostrák
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
83'
Event
Palmer Ault → Simon Becher
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Tomas Ostrák → Chris Durkin
8th Substitution
76'
69'
Event
Wayne Frederick → Josh Atencio
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Josh Atencio
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Eduard Löwen → Sang-bin Jeong
5th Substitution
58'
55'
Event
Kosi Thompson → Hamzat Ojediran
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Noah Cobb → Reggie Cannon
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Georgi Minoungou → Darren Yapi
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Chris Durkin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+3'
25'
Event
Hamzat Ojediran
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
Event
Miguel Navarro → Dante Sealy
1st Substitution
12'
Event
Rob Holding
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Kosi Thompson
90
Update Update
Match Ends！ 1-0
90
Corner Corner
Corner
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rafael Navarro Leal Head Shot Missed
89
Update Update
On Miguel Perez，Off Marcel Hartel
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Conrad Wallem Right Footed Shot Blocked
83
Update Update
On Lukas MacNaughton，Off Jaziel Orozco Landeros
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Tomas Ostrak Right Footed Shot Goal
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
81
Update Update
Offside
78
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Update Update
On Palmer Ault，Off Simon Becher
76
Update Update
On Tomas Ostrak，Off Chris Durkin
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomas Totland Right Footed Shot Blocked
75
Corner Corner
Corner
74
Corner Corner
Corner
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jaziel Orozco Landeros Right Footed Shot Blocked
69
Update Update
On Wayne Frederick，Off Joshua Atencio
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Joshua Atencio
67
Update Update
Offside
67
Corner Corner
Corner
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rafael Navarro Leal Right Footed Shot Missed
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Becher Right Footed Shot Blocked
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomas Totland Right Footed Shot Saved
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomas Totland Right Footed Shot Saved
60
Corner Corner
Corner
59
Update Update
On Eduard Lowen，Off Jeong Sang Bin
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dante Polvara Head Shot Missed
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Conrad Wallem Left Footed Shot Blocked
59
Corner Corner
Corner
55
Update Update
On Kosi Thompson，Off Hamzat Ojediran
55
Corner Corner
Corner
54
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Daniel Edelman Left Footed Shot Blocked
53
Corner Corner
Corner
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcel Hartel Right Footed Shot Missed
50
Update Update
Offside
47
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeong Sang Bin Right Footed Shot Blocked
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Becher Right Footed Shot Missed
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomas Totland Right Footed Shot Missed
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcel Hartel Right Footed Shot Blocked
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeong Sang Bin Right Footed Shot Post
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
17
Update Update
On Miguel Angel Navarro Zarate，Off Dante Sealy
12
Red Card Red Card Important
Red Card
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeong Sang Bin Left Footed Shot Missed
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Chris Durkin Head Shot Saved
3
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：N. Bensalah

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: St. Louis City 1-0 Colorado Rapids. Structural assessment: St. Louis City exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.