St Josephs FC vs Bohemians preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Victoria Stadium
Europa Conference League
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 2

CONTEXT

Match is finished. St Josephs FC 0–0 Bohemians. The match ended in a draw. St Josephs FC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 47%–53%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: St Josephs FC recorded a significant 75.1 percent structural deviation from pre-match positioning.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed team output across both halves.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were available to assess alignment with the 0-0 scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The final draw outcome was not aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data stayed unavailable for the entire fixture.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 draw preserved the 0-2 aggregate advantage for Bohemians.
  • Red card distortion: The home red card distorted second half structure and contributed to the stalemate.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Ratnieks
K. Ratnieks
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Šakurovs
A. Šakurovs
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Ivlevs
N. Ivlevs
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Vasjkovs
S. Vasjkovs
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
St Josephs FC J. Muñoz Arévalo
J. Muñoz Arévalo
VS
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bohemians Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
St Josephs FC Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home St Josephs FC
21.56%
Draw
24.85%
Away Bohemians
53.59%

Movement

Changes since opening
St Josephs FC
+17.99%
Draw
-64.44%
Bohemians
+46.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
St Josephs FC
Bohemians
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
St Josephs FC Opponent-weighted form score
Bohemians Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) St Josephs FC Bohemians

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

St Josephs FC

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Bohemians

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

St Josephs FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bohemians
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.62
26.79
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.79
33.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
St Josephs FC +0.55 Efficiency Index
vs
Bohemians -0.55 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
St Josephs FC
Bohemians
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

St Josephs FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bohemians
Created Set-piece attacking threat
St Josephs FC Bohemians
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
St Josephs FC Bohemians
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
St Josephs FC
Bohemians
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

St Josephs FC
vs
Bohemians
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
St Josephs FC Bohemians
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
St Josephs FC Bohemians
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
St Josephs FC
Bohemians
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOH had peak pressure around 18'.
  • St Josephs FC started the game with stronger pressure.
St Josephs FC Pressure BOH Pressure
Pressure Index: BOH reached the top pressure at 18' (60.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

St Josephs FC St Josephs FC Home
1 matches
Bohemians BOH Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:00:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 2
Stadium
Victoria Stadium
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kristaps Ratnieks
Artūrs Šakurovs
Nikita Ivlevs
Sergejs Vasjkovs

Statistics

Possession
St Josephs FC
47%
BOH
53%

Top Statistics

5 Shots 11
56 Dangerous attacks 64
47 Possession 53
6 Corners 5
16 Free kicks 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

72 Ball Safe 82
5 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 20
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

89 Attacks 105

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
21 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Kristaps Ratnieks

Starting XI

1
Bradley Banda
Bradley Banda Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Kingsley Fobi
Kingsley Fobi Defender
6.5
4
Javi Paul
Javi Paul Defender
6.5
5
Geovanni Barba
Geovanni Barba Defender
6.5
20
Sébastien Lauture
6.5
8
Marco Rosa
Marco Rosa Midfielder
6.45
12
Javi Moreno
Javi Moreno
Midfielder76'
6.5
16
Bakary Diedhiou
Bakary Diedhiou Midfielder
6.5
7
Javi Forján
Javi Forján
Attacker68'
6.5
22
Juanma
Juanma (C) Midfielder
6.5
6
Evan De Haro
Evan De Haro
Midfielder75'
6.5
33
Pirulo
Pirulo Midfielder
6.5
10
Álvaro Rey
Álvaro Rey
Midfielder68'
6.5
19
Francis Ferrón
Francis Ferrón Attacker
5.6
23
Álvaro Cascajo
Álvaro Cascajo Attacker
6.46
17
James Coombes
James Coombes
Midfielder60'
6.5
Referee : Kristaps Ratnieks

Starting XI

25
Paul Walters
Paul Walters Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Niall Morahan
Niall Morahan Defender
6.5
6
Jordan Flores
Jordan Flores Defender
6.49
5
Sadou Diallo
Sadou Diallo
Midfielder84'
6.5
12
Patrick Hickey
Patrick Hickey Defender
6.5
15
Senan Mullen
Senan Mullen Defender
6.5
24
Cian Byrne
Cian Byrne
Defender60'
6.5
22
Sam Todd
Sam Todd Defender
6.49
7
Connor Parsons
Connor Parsons Midfielder
6.5
32
Markuss Strods
Markuss Strods
Midfielder60'
6.5
10
Dawson Devoy
Dawson Devoy (C) Midfielder
6.45
11
Dayle Rooney
Dayle Rooney Midfielder
6.5
26
Ross Tierney
Ross Tierney Midfielder
6.45
8
Harry Vaughan
Harry Vaughan
Midfielder84'
6.5
18
Douglas James-Taylor
6.5
9
Colm Whelan
Colm Whelan
Attacker61'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
84'
Event
Sadou Diallo Jordan Flores
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Harry Vaughan Ross Tierney
10th Substitution
81'
Event
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Javi Moreno Marco Rosa
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Evan De Haro Juanma
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Javi Forján Bakary Diedhiou
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Álvaro Rey Pirulo
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
65'
Event
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
65'
65'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Colm Whelan Douglas James-Taylor
4th Substitution
Event
James Coombes Álvaro Cascajo
2nd Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Cian Byrne Senan Mullen
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Markuss Strods Connor Parsons
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
Sadou Diallo comes on for Jordan Flores.
84
Update Update
Harry Vaughan comes on for Ross Tierney.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jordan Flores receives a yellow card.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ross Tierney.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Javi Moreno comes on for Marco Rosa.
75
Substitution Substitution
Evan De Haro is substituted for Juan Manuel Gonzalez Perez.
68
Update Update
Javi Forjan comes on for Bakary Essamay Diedhiou.
68
Update Update
Alvaro Rey Vazquez is on, and Ruis Lopez Pirulo is off.
65
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sam Todd.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
61
Substitution Substitution
Colm Whelan is substituted off for Douglas James-Taylor.
60
Update Update
Markuss Strods is on, and Connor Parsons is off.
60
Update Update
Byrne Cian is on, and Senan Mullen is off.
60
Update Update
James Timothy Barry Coombes is on, and Alvaro Cascajo is off.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kristaps Ratnieks.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw in the second leg allowed Bohemians to advance on aggregate after their first leg victory. St Josephs FC finished with ten players following the red card which limited their attacking options in the latter stages. Possession favored the visitors yet neither side created decisive openings. The absence of expected goals data left performance evaluation reliant on observed patterns and the red card event. Bohemians maintained defensive discipline to secure progression while St Josephs FC were unable to mount a comeback despite home advantage.