SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Nürnberg preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
2. Bundesliga
SpVgg Greuther FürthGRF
2 4
NürnbergNUR
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season
Felix Klaus  - 22' (P), 41'
Goal
|
Goal
Piet Scobel - 26', 74'
Julian Justvan - 45+3', 54'

CONTEXT

SpVgg Greuther Fürth hosted Nürnberg in a match that concluded 2-4 to the visitors. The halftime score stood at 2-2 with both teams level. Fürth registered an xG of 2.75 while Nürnberg posted 1.42 creating a differential of 1.33. Possession favored Nürnberg at 56 percent against Fürth's 44 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. Nürnberg entered as the stronger team and secured the victory. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG metrics yet aligned with pre-match assessments. A significant deviation occurred favoring Nürnberg. Efficiency metrics remained in line with overall patterns observed during the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 Nürnberg. Nürnberg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with the xG values recorded.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: Fürth held an xG advantage of 2.75 to 1.42 yet did not win.
  • Event impact: No notable events altered the flow beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either team during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Bauer
T. Bauer
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Schlosser
L. Schlosser
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Hilsberg
S. Hilsberg
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Prigan
F. Prigan
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth H. Vogel
H. Vogel
VS
Nürnberg M. Klose
M. Klose
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Pauli Rank: 74 D
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rank: 72 W
Hertha BSC Rank: 76 L
Nürnberg Rank: 75 D
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 L
Darmstadt 98 Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Dresden Rank: 73 W
Hannover 96 Rank: 76 D
Schalke 04 Rank: 77 W
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rank: 68 D
Magdeburg Rank: 72 W
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Rank: 72 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.03
75.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Nürnberg
Power Score
68.03
75.25
League Position
14
1
Global Rank
318
148

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Opponent-weighted form score
Nürnberg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SpVgg Greuther Fürth Nürnberg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nürnberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SpVgg Greuther Fürth ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nürnberg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.82
30.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.09
36.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth +0.71 Efficiency Index
vs
Nürnberg -0.71 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Nürnberg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
vs
Nürnberg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Nürnberg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
68%
6%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.86 vs -0.09
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Nürnberg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
6%
68%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.09 vs -0.86
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Nürnberg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
vs
Nürnberg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Nürnberg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.32
Nürnberg 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Nürnberg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.11
Nürnberg 0.05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Nürnberg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NUR had peak pressure around 35'.
  • GRF started the game with stronger pressure.
GRF Pressure NUR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NUR reached the top pressure at 35' (86.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth GRF Home
4 matches
Nürnberg NUR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
3
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:00:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tom Bauer
Luca Schlosser
Sebastian Hilsberg
Felix Prigan

Statistics

Possession
GRF
46%
NUR
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 4
4 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 4
44 Dangerous attacks 37
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

57 Ball Safe 51
2 Penalties 0
8 Goal Kicks 6
8 Goal Attempts 11
4 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 16
0 Hit Woodwork 1
14 Successful Headers 11
1 Assists 3
6 Dribble Attempts 15
1 Successful Dribbles 7
17 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

67 Attacks 95
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

50 Long Passes 42
339 Passes 442
274 Successful Passes 380
81 Successful Passes Percentage 86
6 Key Passes 11
27 Successful Long Passes 17
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

Defensive

5 Saves 4
20 Tackles 14
9 Interceptions 7
47 Duels Won 41

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 15
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Tom Bauer

Starting XI ▼

1
Florian Hellstern
Florian Hellstern Goalkeeper
6.86
10
Ole Pohlmann
Ole Pohlmann Defender
5.88
21
Mika Wallentowitz
Mika Wallentowitz
Midfielder77'
6.62
22
Jannis Heuer
Jannis Heuer Defender
6.72
23
Jannik Dehm
Jannik Dehm Defender
6.07
2
Lukas Reich
Lukas Reich
Defender77'
6.56
27
Luca Itter
Luca Itter Defender
6.48
29
Krisztián Keresztes
Krisztián Keresztes Defender
6.26
6
Sacha Bansé
Sacha Bansé Midfielder
6.31
42
Omar Sillah
Omar Sillah
Attacker77'
6.61
8
Shinta Appelkamp
Shinta Appelkamp Midfielder
6.91
13
Paul Will
Paul Will Midfielder
6.45
7
Dennis Srbeny
Dennis Srbeny Attacker
7.12
11
Aaron Keller
Aaron Keller
Midfielder67'
5.94
30
Felix Klaus
Felix Klaus (C) Attacker
2
7.79
Referee : Tom Bauer

Starting XI ▼

1
Jan Reichert
Jan Reichert (C) Goalkeeper
7.39
4
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
Alexios Kalogeropoulos Defender
6.6
20
Fynn Otto
Fynn Otto Defender
7.17
32
Tim Janisch
Tim Janisch Defender
5.85
21
Giannis Masouras
Giannis Masouras
Defender55'
7.06
41
Eric Porstner
Eric Porstner Defender
6.05
6
Adam Markhiev
Adam Markhiev Midfielder
7.5
8
Javier Fernández
Javier Fernández Midfielder
7.17
18
Rafael Lubach
Rafael Lubach
Midfielder77'
6.61
10
Julian Justvan
Julian Justvan Midfielder
2
8.95
35
Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
Defender88'
22
Finn Becker
Finn Becker Midfielder
6.19
7
Rayan Ghrieb
Rayan Ghrieb
Attacker75'
6.29
23
Mohamed Alì Zoma
Mohamed Alì Zoma Midfielder
6.37
19
Piet Scobel
Piet Scobel Attacker
2
8.76
39
Adriano Grimaldi
Adriano Grimaldi
Attacker88'
6.66

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Aaron Keller
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
89'
88'
Event
Marc Kornwachs Barjuan → Julian Justvan
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Adriano Grimaldi → Piet Scobel
9th Substitution
Event
Lukas Reich → Jannik Dehm
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Omar Sillah → Sacha Bansé
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Mika Wallentowitz → Ole Pohlmann
7th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Rafael Lubach → Javier Fernández
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Rayan Ghrieb 
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Rayan Ghrieb  → Finn Becker
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Piet Scobel
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Aaron Keller → Dennis Srbeny
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Felix Klaus 
Goalkeeper save
63'
61'
Event
Eric Porstner
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Giannis Masouras → Tim Janisch
1st Substitution
54'
Event
Julian Justvan
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
1ST-HALF
45+6'
Event
Julian Justvan
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+3'
Event
Julian Justvan
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Felix Klaus 
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
41'
Event
Felix Klaus 
Goal disallowed
39'
28'
Event
Javier Fernández
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
26'
Event
Piet Scobel
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Felix Klaus 
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
22'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mohamed Ali Zoma Left Footed Shot Saved
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-4.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-4.
89
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-4.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-4.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Aaron Keller.
87
Update Update
Marc Kornwachs replaces Julian Justvan.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Attempt Attempt
Rayan Ghrieb takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
On comes Omar Sillah, off goes Sacha Banse.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mika Wallentowitz comes on for Ole Pohlmann.
77
Update Update
Lukas Reich is on, and Jannik Dehm is off.
77
Update Update
Rafael Lubach comes on for Javier Fernandez.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Rayan Ghrieb.
75
Update Update
On Rayan Ghrieb, off Finn Ole Becker.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Piet Scobel scores, making it 2-4.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Giannis Masouras is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Piet Scobel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Aaron Keller replaces Dennis Srbeny.
67
Update Update
Aaron Keller replaces Dennis Srbeny.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Attempt Attempt
Shinta Appelkamp takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Attempt Attempt
Felix Klaus takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Felix Klaus's attempt is stopped.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Eric Porstner.
58
Attempt Attempt
Javier Fernandez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Update Update
On comes Giannis Masouras, off goes Tim Janisch.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Julian Justvan scores with a left-footed shot.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Julian Justvan scores to make it 2-3, assisted by Fynn Otto.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-3.
45
Attempt Attempt
Julian Justvan takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Julian Justvan receives a yellow card.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Julian Justvan scores with a left-footed shot.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
44
Attempt Attempt
Felix Klaus takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Felix Klaus scores with a left-footed shot.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Felix Klaus scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Dennis Srbeny.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal for Felix Klaus due to offside.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Felix Klaus scores, making it 2-1.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Ali Zoma with his right foot, but it misses.
32
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Ali Zoma with his right foot, but it misses the target.
29
Attempt Attempt
Felix Klaus takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javier Fernandez receives a yellow card.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javier Fernandez receives a yellow card.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Felix Klaus scores with a right-footed shot.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal from the penalty! Felix Klaus scores to make it 1-0.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
20
Attempt Attempt
Julian Justvan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Gian-Luca Itter takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Ole Pohlmann takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Shinta Appelkamp takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Felix Klaus takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Attempt Attempt
Shinta Appelkamp takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Sacha Banse takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Torsten Bauer.

CONCLUSION

Nürnberg claimed a 2-4 victory over SpVgg Greuther Fürth despite trailing in expected goals. The away side managed higher possession and converted opportunities efficiently enough to overcome the xG deficit. Halftime equality at 2-2 gave way to a decisive second half shift. Absence of red cards ensured no numerical imbalances influenced proceedings. The result diverged from xG projections but matched the designation of Nürnberg as the stronger side. Possession distribution reflected Nürnberg's control without translating directly into xG superiority. Overall the contest highlighted variances between underlying metrics and actual scoring outcomes in a manner consistent with data patterns.