Sporting Gijón vs Burgos preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
La Liga 2
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season
Juan Otero - 6'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sporting Gijón defeated Burgos 1-0 in a match where the home side scored early and maintained their advantage throughout. The halftime score was 1-0 after Sporting Gijón found the net in the opening period. Burgos held 56 percent possession but failed to convert their territorial edge into goals against a resolute defense. The stronger team according to pre-match assessments could not overcome the deficit despite increased pressure after the break. No red cards were shown to either side leaving both teams at full strength for the entire contest. Sporting Gijón demonstrated clinical finishing on limited opportunities while restricting Burgos to few clear chances. The result highlighted a notable performance gap between expected team strengths and the actual outcome on the pitch.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting Gijón produced a significant structural deviation by overcoming the stronger Burgos team.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the match performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing any xG alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Missing expected goals figures left xG expectations undetermined.
  • Event impact: The opening goal carried decisive event impact on the final 1-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards issued meant no red card distortion affected play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Romero Freixas
G. Romero Freixas
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
?. Sanz Monge
?. Sanz Monge
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Figueiredo Comesaña
J. Figueiredo Comesaña
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.19
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sabadell Rank: 62 D
Granada Rank: 64 W
Almería Rank: 72 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Málaga Rank: 74 L
Ceuta Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba Rank: 66 W
FC Andorra Rank: 68 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 W
Granada Rank: 64 W
Almería Rank: 72 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.47
70.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Gijón
Burgos
Power Score
68.47
70.86
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
288
222

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sporting Gijón Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Burgos

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Burgos

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burgos
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.30
15.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.27
28.30
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Gijón +1.39 Efficiency Index
vs
Burgos -1.39 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Gijón
Burgos
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Gijón ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burgos
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Gijón Burgos
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Gijón Burgos
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Gijón
Burgos
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sporting Gijón
vs
Burgos
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Gijón Burgos
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Gijón Burgos
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sporting Gijón
Burgos
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SPO had peak pressure around 8'.
  • SPO started the game with stronger pressure.
SPO Pressure BUR Pressure
Pressure Index: SPO reached the top pressure at 8' (70.66).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home
4 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:14:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Capacity
30000
Attendance
23287
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gonzalo Romero Freixas
Álvaro Sanz Monge
Javier Figueiredo Comesaña

Statistics

Possession
SPO
46%
BUR
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 4
49 Dangerous attacks 31
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 84
5 Goal Kicks 5
7 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 21
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1
20 Dribble Attempts 13
9 Successful Dribbles 7
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

123 Attacks 121
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

41 Long Passes 68
423 Passes 554
354 Successful Passes 457
84 Successful Passes Percentage 82
8 Key Passes 5
14 Successful Long Passes 29
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

1 Saves 4
13 Tackles 22
13 Interceptions 16
47 Duels Won 57

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 14
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

15 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Starting XI

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez (C) Goalkeeper
6.72
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Defender
7.2
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Defender
7.29
24
Aimar Duñabeitia
7.27
44
Andrés Cuenca
Andrés Cuenca Defender
7.35
8
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez Midfielder
6.87
6
Nacho Martín
Nacho Martín
Midfielder61'
6.56
11
Konrad de la Fuente
Konrad de la Fuente Midfielder
6.44
3
Pablo García
Pablo García
Defender61'
6.49
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Midfielder
7.09
20
Nikita Iosifov
Nikita Iosifov Midfielder
6.72
16
Alejo Sarco
Alejo Sarco
Attacker82'
6.48
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Attacker
6.55
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos
Midfielder73'
6.71
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Attacker
7.77
35
Christian Ferreres Laviada
6.45
Referee : Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Starting XI

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
7.27
3
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Ignasi Vilarrasa Defender
6.47
11
Víctor Mollejo
Víctor Mollejo
Attacker62'
6.72
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Defender
7.33
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Defender
6.58
23
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Defender
6.99
14
David González
David González Midfielder
6.47
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez (C) Midfielder
6.9
24
Santiago Lencina
Santiago Lencina
Midfielder68'
6.4
18
Saúl del Cerro
Saúl del Cerro Midfielder
6.83
22
Brais Martínez
Brais Martínez
Defender77'
6.48
19
Javi Llabrés
Javi Llabrés Midfielder
6.93
4
Pablo Galdames
Pablo Galdames
Midfielder61'
6.74
20
José Gragera
José Gragera Midfielder
6.7
5
Marcelo Expósito
Marcelo Expósito
Midfielder68'
6.74
9
Álex Forés
Álex Forés Attacker
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Alejo Sarco Nikita Iosifov
10th Substitution
82'
77'
Event
Brais Martínez Saúl del Cerro
8th Substitution
Event
Gaspar Campos César Gelabert
7th Substitution
73'
68'
Event
Marcelo Expósito José Gragera
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Santiago Lencina Curro Sánchez
6th Substitution
62'
Event
Víctor Mollejo Ignasi Vilarrasa
4th Substitution
Event
Pablo García Konrad de la Fuente
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Nacho Martín Manu Rodríguez
3rd Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Pablo Galdames Javi Llabrés
1st Substitution
53'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Lencina's header is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Lencina takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
82
Update Update
Christian Ferreres replaces Juan Ferney Otero Tovar.
82
Update Update
Alejo Sarco comes on for Nikita Iosifov.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Substitution Substitution
Christian Ferreres is substituted for Juan Ferney Otero Tovar.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alejo Sarco comes on for Nikita Iosifov.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Nacho Martinez comes on for Saul del Cerro.
76
Attempt Attempt
Alex Fores takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Juan Ferney Otero Tovar takes a header, but it's saved.
75
Attempt Attempt
Juan Ferney Otero Tovar attempts a header but misses the shot.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Attempt Attempt
Victor Mollejo Carpintero attempts a header, but the shot is blocked.
68
Update Update
Santiago Lencina is on, and Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez is off for Curro.
68
Update Update
Marcelo Exposito Jimenez is on, and Jose Gragera Amado is off.
66
Attempt Attempt
Nikita Iosifov takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
62
Update Update
Pablo Manuel Galdames is on, and Javi Llabres is off.
62
Update Update
Victor Mollejo Carpintero is on, and Ignasi Vilarrasa is off.
61
Update Update
Nacho Martin comes on for Miguel Rocha.
61
Update Update
Pablo Garcia Carrasco comes on for Konrad de la Fuente.
56
Attempt Attempt
Alberto Dadie takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jose Gragera Amado.
50
Attempt Attempt
Andres Cuenca takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Alex Fores attempts a header but misses the shot.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Javi Llabres takes a left-footed shot but misses.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Grego Sierra receives a yellow card.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Vazquez Perez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Andres Cuenca Head Shot Missed
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Juan Ferney Otero Tovar takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juan Ferney Otero Tovar scores to make it 1-0.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Juan Ferney Otero Tovar takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Juan Ferney Otero Tovar takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juan Ferney Otero Tovar scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Andres Cuenca.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sporting Gijón 1-0 Burgos. Structural assessment: Sporting Gijón exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.