Sporting Gijón vs Almería preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal El Molinón Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Sporting Gijón SPO
Almería ALM
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting Gijón hosts Almería at Estadio Municipal El Molinón in a La Liga 2 regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. Almería arrives as the stronger side according to power metrics, holding a clear edge that underscores their higher league standing in third place. Sporting Gijón sits twelfth and will look to harness home support to bridge the gap. Recent form readings favor the visitors significantly, setting up a test of resilience for the hosts. Both clubs operate in a tightly contested division where results can shift momentum quickly. The encounter highlights contrasting trajectories as Almería seeks to consolidate an upper-table position while Sporting Gijón aims to climb from mid-table security. Tactical discipline and individual quality will likely decide the outcome on the pitch.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería holds a higher league position at third compared to Sporting Gijón's twelfth place.
  • Form: Almería demonstrates superior recent form with a score of 24.44 against Sporting Gijón's 10.44.
  • Squad: Squad depth favors Almería as the stronger side overall in this division.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain balanced with limited detailed data available for assessment.
  • Transition: Transition play could be key given the power differential of 6.3 points favoring Almería.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: The xVariable highlights Almería's power score advantage of 70.38 over 64.12.
  • Market: Sporting Gijón 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ+0%) | Almería 54.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
VS
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 W
Málaga Rank: 69 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Cádiz Rank: 57 W
Burgos Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Burgos Rank: 68 D
Mirandés Rank: 60 W
Granada Rank: 64 W
Málaga Rank: 71 W
Racing Santander Rank: 72 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 3 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Gijón
21.67%
Draw
23.61%
Away Almería
54.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.12
70.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Gijón
Almería
Power Score
64.12
70.38
League Position
12
3
Global Rank
359
200

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Almería — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Gijón Almería

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Gijón SPO Home
25 matches
Almería ALM Away
Match Record
11
Wins
11
3
Draws
3
11
Losses
11
Goals
26
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
26
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:11:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Yáñez Alabart
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
A. Cuenca Cejudo
44 A. Cuenca Cejudo
L. Perrin
4 L. Perrin
P. Vázquez Pérez
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
G. Rosas Alonso
2 G. Rosas Alonso
M. Rodríguez Paz
36 M. Rodríguez Paz
J. Smith
24 J. Smith
A. Corredera Alardi
14 A. Corredera Alardi
P. García Carrasco
3 P. García Carrasco
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
C. Gelabert Pina
10 C. Gelabert Pina
A. Fernández Moreno
1 A. Fernández Moreno
A. Muñoz Miguel
3 A. Muñoz Miguel
N. Macedo Monte
4 N. Macedo Monte
R. Ely
5 R. Ely
D. Chirino
22 D. Chirino
A. Luz Horta
6 A. Luz Horta
S. Dzodic
29 S. Dzodic
A. Embarba Blázquez
23 A. Embarba Blázquez
S. Arribas Calvo
11 S. Arribas Calvo
L. Carrilho Baptistão
12 L. Carrilho Baptistão
M. De la Fuente Escudero
24 M. De la Fuente Escudero

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Capacity
30000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Midfielder
6.89
3
Pablo García
Pablo García Midfielder
6.5
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Attacker
7.06
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Attacker
6.81
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Central Midfield
7.1
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Left Back
6.99
36
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.64
4
Lucas Perrin
Lucas Perrin Centre Back
6.81
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Central Midfield
6.58
44
Andrés Cuenca
Andrés Cuenca Right Back
6.73

Starting XI ▼

1
Andrés Fernández
Andrés Fernández Goalkeeper
7
24
Miguel de la Fuente
Miguel de la Fuente Centre Forward
6.56
4
Nélson Monte
Nélson Monte Left Back
6.75
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Right Back
6.81
12
Léo Baptistão
Léo Baptistão Right Wing
6.84
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Defensive Midfield
6.84
11
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Attacking Midfield
7.56
23
Adrián Embarba
Adrián Embarba Left Wing
7.15
3
Álex Muñoz
Álex Muñoz Left Back
6.85
6
André Horta
André Horta Defensive Midfield
6.67
22
Daijiro Chirino
Daijiro Chirino Right Back
6.67

CONCLUSION

Almería carries the stronger profile into this La Liga 2 clash and will expect to control proceedings through superior form and league standing. Sporting Gijón must maximize the home advantage at El Molinón to disrupt those patterns and secure a positive result. Key battles in midfield and defensive organization will shape the flow as both teams pursue important points. The visitors' overall power edge suggests they can create more consistent threats, yet the hosts remain capable of capitalizing on set opportunities or counter moments. A competitive match is anticipated with emphasis on execution and tactical awareness from both benches.