Sporting CP vs Tondela preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Alvalade Wed, 29 Apr - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Sporting CPSCP
TondelaCDT
KICKOFF : Wed, 29 Apr - 7:15 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting CP host Tondela in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio José Alvalade. Domestically, Sporting CP sit 3th in the table while Tondela are 17th. Power ranking favours Sporting CP by 21.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting CP enjoys a 21.1-point power advantage and sits third, while Tondela languishes in 17th.
  • Form: Sporting CP's form score stands at 21.72, dwarfing Tondela's 3.67.
  • Squad: Sporting CP's squad power rates at 34.95, far ahead of Tondela's 13.81.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to lack of data add-on.
  • Market: Sporting CP 82.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 12.2% (Δ+0%) | Tondela 5.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
VS
Tondela G. Feio
G. Feio
2.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.76
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AVS Rank: D
Benfica Rank: L
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Santa Clara Rank: W
Alverca Rank: W
Sporting Braga Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nacional Rank: L
Porto Rank: L
Gil Vicente Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: L
AVS Rank: D
Rio Ave Rank: L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting CP
82.36%
Draw
12.22%
Away Tondela
5.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.95
13.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting CP
Tondela
Power Score
34.95
13.81
League Position
3
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting CP Tondela

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting CP SCP Home
15 matches
Tondela CDT Away
Match Record
10
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
10
Goals
30
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
30
+19
Goal Difference
-19
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:04:02+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Dantas da Silva
1 R. Dantas da Silva
G. Vagiannidis
13 G. Vagiannidis
O. Diomande
26 O. Diomande
Z. Debast
6 Z. Debast
R. Chaby Mangas
91 R. Chaby Mangas
H. Morita
5 H. Morita
G. Kochorashvili
14 G. Kochorashvili
G. Quenda
7 G. Quenda
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
17 F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
P. Pereira Gonçalves
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
R. Nel
90 R. Nel
B. Parise Fontes
31 B. Parise Fontes
R. Fernandes Conceição
27 R. Fernandes Conceição
B. Medina
20 B. Medina
J. Antunes da Silva
44 J. Antunes da Silva
R. Machado
2 R. Machado
J. Rodríguez López
32 J. Rodríguez López
J. Hodge
10 J. Hodge
M. Sie Ouattara
70 M. Sie Ouattara
H. Sequeira
79 H. Sequeira
A. van der Heide
26 A. van der Heide
M. Mesquita Lopes
16 M. Mesquita Lopes

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 29, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade
Capacity
52095
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6.93
90
Rafael Nel
Rafael Nel Centre Forward
6.94
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Left Back
6.89
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Defensive Midfield
6.87
7
Geovany Quenda
Geovany Quenda Right Wing
6.89
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Right Back
6.9
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
Giorgi Kochorashvili Defensive Midfield
6.83
91
Ricardo Mangas
Ricardo Mangas Left Back
7.06
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Left Wing
7.55
17
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão Attacking Midfield
7.36
26
Ousmane Diomande
Ousmane Diomande Right Back
7.03

Starting XI ▼

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.94
16
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes Centre Forward
7
2
Bebeto
Bebeto Right Back
6.77
10
Joe Hodge
Joe Hodge Defensive Midfield
6.7
20
Brayan Medina
Brayan Medina Left Back
6.75
26
Arjen van der Heide
Arjen van der Heide Right Wing
6.59
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição Left Back
6.59
32
Juanse
Juanse Defensive Midfield
6.67
44
João Silva
João Silva Right Back
6.73
70
Moudjatovic
Moudjatovic Left Wing
6.55
79
Hugo Félix
Hugo Félix Attacking Midfield
6.72

CONCLUSION

Sporting CP enter this home fixture as overwhelming favorites, leveraging their superior power, form, and league standing to overpower Tondela. The 21.1-point edge suggests a controlled performance where the Lions dictate terms from the outset. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus remains on Sporting's clinical edge in open play. Tondela's poor metrics offer little hope for an upset, likely succumbing to the hosts' pressure. Expect a comfortable win that boosts Sporting's title charge while deepening Tondela's woes.