Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Liga Portugal
Sporting BragaSCB
Estrela AmadoraCFEA
KICKOFF :
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sporting Braga host Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Domestically, Sporting Braga sit 4th in the table while Estrela Amadora are 15th. Power ranking favours Sporting Braga by 22.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Braga sits 4th in the league while Estrela Amadora languishes in 15th, with Braga holding a 22.2-point power advantage.
  • Form: Braga's form score stands at 20.94, far surpassing Estrela Amadora's rating of 3.
  • Squad: Braga's squad strength is evident in their 81.23 power score compared to Estrela Amadora's 59.04.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece statistics unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both squads.
  • Market: Sporting Braga 55.3% (Δ-0.9%) | Draw 23.8% (Δ+0.1%) | Estrela Amadora 20.8% (Δ+0.8%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
VS
Estrela Amadora C. Bacci
C. Bacci
1.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica Rank: 88 D
Estoril Rank: 67 D
Santa Clara Rank: 65 L
Casa Pia Rank: 63 W
Famalicão Rank: 72 D
Arouca Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 L
Porto Rank: 86 L
Arouca Rank: 64 L
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Nacional Rank: 64 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
55.33%
Draw
23.83%
Away Estrela Amadora
20.84%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting Braga
-0.91%
Draw
+0.11%
Estrela Amadora
+0.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.23
59.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora
Power Score
81.23
59.04
League Position
4
15
Global Rank
55
532

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga Estrela Amadora

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Braga SCB Home
13 matches
Estrela Amadora CFEA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
0
7
Draws
7
0
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
25
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:59+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Tiago Magalhães Sá
Tiago Magalhães Sá Goalkeeper
1
Lukáš Horníček
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper
36
Alaa Bellaarouch
Alaa Bellaarouch Goalkeeper
4
Sikou Niakate
Sikou Niakate Defender
15
Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira
Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira Defender
2
Víctor Gómez Perea
Víctor Gómez Perea Defender
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender
5
Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo
Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo Defender
37
Leon Adrian Barišić
Leon Adrian Barišić Defender
26
Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi
Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi Defender
53
Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro
Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro Defender
27
Florian Grillitsch
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder
8
João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho
João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho Midfielder
6
Vitor Carvalho Vieira
Vitor Carvalho Vieira Midfielder
10
Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez
Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez Midfielder
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
29
Gorby Jean Baptiste
Gorby Jean Baptiste Midfielder
50
Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues
Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues Midfielder
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
41
Yanis da Rocha
Yanis da Rocha Midfielder
17
Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles
Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles Midfielder
21
Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta
Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta Attacker
39
Francisco José Navarro Aliaga
Francisco José Navarro Aliaga Attacker
9
Amine El Ouazzani
Amine El Ouazzani Attacker
18
Pau Victor Delgado
Pau Victor Delgado Attacker
77
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera Attacker
72
João Soares Aragão
João Soares Aragão Attacker
95
Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal
Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal Attacker

Squad ▼

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
22
David Allen Grilo
David Allen Grilo Goalkeeper
13
Eduardo dos Santos Haesler
Eduardo dos Santos Haesler Goalkeeper
1
Diogo de Carvalho Pinto
Diogo de Carvalho Pinto Goalkeeper
5
Issiar Dramé
Issiar Dramé Defender
17
Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada
Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada Defender
14
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo Defender
24
Bruno Alberto Langa
Bruno Alberto Langa Defender
30
Luan Patrick Wiedthauper
Luan Patrick Wiedthauper Defender
2
Yahya Kalley
Yahya Kalley Defender
3
Gabriel Miranda Rodrigues
Gabriel Miranda Rodrigues Defender
25
Stefan Leković
Stefan Leković Defender
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Defender
83
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes Defender
6
Kevin Höög-Jansson
Kevin Höög-Jansson Midfielder
19
Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira
Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira Midfielder
28
Tom Moustier
Tom Moustier Midfielder
8
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho Midfielder
63
Alexandre Mussolo Sola
Alexandre Mussolo Sola Midfielder
39
Eddy Gueladan Doué
Eddy Gueladan Doué Midfielder
9
Rodrigo Cunha Pereira de Pinho
Rodrigo Cunha Pereira de Pinho Attacker
11
Jovane Eduardo Borges Cabral
Jovane Eduardo Borges Cabral Attacker
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Attacker
26
Bilal Brahimi
Bilal Brahimi Attacker
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Sydney van Hooijdonk Attacker
77
Leandro Antonetti
Leandro Antonetti Attacker
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Attacker
18
Jorge Monteiro Meireles
Jorge Monteiro Meireles Attacker
70
Chilohem Chukwuma Onuoha
Chilohem Chukwuma Onuoha Attacker
17
Mathew Gbomadu
Mathew Gbomadu Attacker
80
Alisson Souza de Jesus
Alisson Souza de Jesus Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting Braga holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting Braga a 22.2-point edge. External projection is Sporting Braga 56.3%, draw 24.3%, and Estrela Amadora 19.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.