Spezia vs Venezia preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Alberto Picco Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Serie B
SpeziaSPE
VeneziaVEN
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Spezia face a daunting task at Stadio Alberto Picco as they host league leaders Venezia in this Serie B regular season clash. Sitting rock-bottom in 20th place, Spezia have struggled all campaign, reflected in their dismal form score of 8.06. In stark contrast, Venezia top the table with a commanding power score of 63 against Spezia's 50.79, giving the visitors a clear 12.2-point advantage. Venezia's form score of 30.67 underscores their dominance, making them the stronger side by far. Home advantage might offer Spezia some hope, but Venezia's position and metrics suggest they are primed to extend their lead. With limited advanced data available, this matchup hinges on Venezia's momentum against Spezia's fight for survival. Expect a one-sided affair unless Spezia muster a defensive masterclass.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Venezia possess a 12.2-point power advantage and lead the league in 1st place over 20th-placed Spezia.
  • Form: Venezia's form score stands at 30.67, towering over Spezia's meager 8.06.
  • Squad: League positions highlight Venezia's superior squad quality as table-toppers against bottom-dwelling Spezia.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Spezia 19.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Venezia 57.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Spezia L. D'Angelo
L. D'Angelo
VS
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.38
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Catanzaro Rank: 60 L
Südtirol Rank: 54 W
Mantova Rank: 52 L
Carrarese Rank: 54 L
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 L
Empoli Rank: 54 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: 54 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 W
Virtus Entella Rank: 47 D
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 W
Monza Rank: 67 D
Calcio Padova Rank: 49 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 5 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spezia
19.37%
Draw
22.95%
Away Venezia
57.68%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.79
63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spezia
Venezia
Power Score
50.79
63
League Position
20
1
Global Rank
757
191

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spezia Venezia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spezia SPE Home
12 matches
Venezia VEN Away
Match Record
3
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T12:30:40+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Alberto Picco
Capacity
10336
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Filippo Meli
Stefano Alassio
Andrea Rapuano
Andrea Colombo

CONCLUSION

Venezia arrive as overwhelming favorites, backed by their top-table position, superior power score, and red-hot form that dwarfs Spezia's woes. The visitors' 12.2-point edge signals structural dominance, likely overwhelming a Spezia side desperate to climb from the foot of Serie B. While Stadio Alberto Picco could inspire the hosts, Venezia's momentum points to a comfortable victory. Spezia must defy the stats for any upset, but data tilts heavily toward the leaders continuing their charge.