Spartak Trnava vs CSKA 1948 Sofia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Štadión Antona Malatinského Wed, 22 Jul - 6:30 PM
Europa Conference League
Full Time Wed, 22 Jul 6:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Spartak Trnava hosted CSKA 1948 Sofia in the first leg of their tie and the match finished 0-0. The home side controlled 51 percent of the possession while the away team had 49 percent. Both teams were unable to score any goals in the first or second half. The halftime score was 0-0 as well. No red cards were shown to players from either side. Spartak Trnava as the stronger team showed a significant deviation in their expected performance. The result was not aligned with market indicators. Efficiency remained in line without notable shifts. Expected goals data was unavailable for detailed analysis. This leaves the aggregate score level for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Spartak Trnava 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia. Spartak Trnava showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with established patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not recorded, limiting alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome did not align with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were available to assess performance expectations.
  • Event impact: No significant events such as red cards altered the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary actions occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Vernice
M. Vernice
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Drouet
A. Drouet
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Torregrossa
S. Torregrossa
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Stinat
J. Stinat
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Spartak Trnava A. Muñoz Guzmán
A. Muñoz Guzmán
VS
CSKA 1948 Sofia A. Emilov Aleksandrov
A. Emilov Aleksandrov
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spartak Trnava
42.63%
Draw
28%
Away CSKA 1948 Sofia
29.37%

Movement

Changes since opening
Spartak Trnava
+35.13%
Draw
-58.51%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
+23.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.37
59.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Power Score
75.37
59.55
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
136
554

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Spartak Trnava Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA 1948 Sofia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spartak Trnava CSKA 1948 Sofia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Spartak Trnava

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Spartak Trnava ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA 1948 Sofia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.35
17.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.76
27.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Spartak Trnava +0.92 Efficiency Index
vs
CSKA 1948 Sofia -0.92 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948 Sofia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Spartak Trnava ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA 1948 Sofia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Spartak Trnava CSKA 1948 Sofia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Spartak Trnava CSKA 1948 Sofia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948 Sofia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Spartak Trnava
vs
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Spartak Trnava CSKA 1948 Sofia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Spartak Trnava CSKA 1948 Sofia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • STR had peak pressure around 21'.
  • C1S started the game with stronger pressure.
STR Pressure C1S Pressure
Pressure Index: STR reached the top pressure at 21' (75.21).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-1-1

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 22, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Štadión Antona Malatinského
Capacity
19200
Attendance
10164
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mathieu Vernice
Aurélien Drouet
Steven Torregrossa
Jeremy Stinat

Statistics

Possession
STR
49%
C1S
51%

Top Statistics

8 Shots 5
59 Dangerous attacks 54
51 Possession 49
7 Corners 6
17 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

57 Ball Safe 75
9 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 4
13 Throwins 18

Attacking

71 Attacks 90

Discipline

15 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Mathieu Vernice

Starting XI

72
Martin Vantruba
Martin Vantruba Goalkeeper
6.5
16
Melos Bajrami
Melos Bajrami Defender
6.49
24
Kristian Kostrna
Kristian Kostrna Defender
6.5
29
Martin Mikovic
Martin Mikovic Defender
6.5
3
Juanmi Carrión
Juanmi Carrión
Defender77'
6.5
52
Erik Sabo
Erik Sabo (C) Defender
6.5
5
Roman Begala
Roman Begala Midfielder
6.5
11
Philip Azango
Philip Azango Midfielder
6.5
22
David Bukovsky
David Bukovsky
Attacker77'
6.5
20
Filip Trello
Filip Trello Midfielder
6.5
18
Hilary Gong
Hilary Gong
Midfielder59'
6.5
30
Luka Khorkheli
Luka Khorkheli Midfielder
6.5
17
Lorent Mehmeti
Lorent Mehmeti
Attacker89'
91
Marin Lausic
Marin Lausic Midfielder
6.5
14
Tijmen Wildeboer
Tijmen Wildeboer Attacker
6.5
19
Timotej Kudlicka
Timotej Kudlicka
Midfielder59'
6.5
Referee : Mathieu Vernice

Starting XI

1
Petar Marinov
Petar Marinov Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Diego Medina
Diego Medina Defender
6.49
3
Lasha Dvali
Lasha Dvali (C) Defender
6.5
4
Andre Hoffmann
Andre Hoffmann Defender
6.5
22
Ognjen Gasevic
Ognjen Gasevic Defender
6.5
8
Moataz Zemzemi
Moataz Zemzemi Midfielder
6.45
23
Florian Krebs
Florian Krebs
Midfielder76'
6.5
11
Georgi Rusev
Georgi Rusev Midfielder
6.45
20
Brian Sobrero
Brian Sobrero Midfielder
6.5
67
Frédéric Maciel
Frédéric Maciel
Midfielder67'
6.5
30
Jules Meyer
Jules Meyer Midfielder
6.5
9
Atanas Iliev
Atanas Iliev
Attacker76'
6.5
33
Héctor Cuellar
Héctor Cuellar Midfielder
6.45
93
Mamadou Diallo
Mamadou Diallo Attacker
6.5
17
José Martines
José Martines
Attacker56'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lorent Mehmeti Luka Khorkheli
9th Substitution
89'
Event
David Bukovsky Philip Azango
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Juanmi Carrión Martin Mikovic 
8th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Atanas Iliev Jules Meyer
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Florian Krebs Moataz Zemzemi
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
67'
Event
Frédéric Maciel Brian Sobrero
4th Substitution
Event
Hilary Gong Filip Trello
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Timotej Kudlicka Tijmen Wildeboer
3rd Substitution
59'
56'
Event
José Martines Mamadou Diallo
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
34'
30'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
26'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
22'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Update Update
Lorent Mehmeti comes on for Luka Khorkheli.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Substitution Substitution
David Bukovsky is substituted off for Azango Philip Elayo.
77
Update Update
Juanmi Carrion comes on for Martin Mikovic.
76
Update Update
Florian Krebs is on, and Moataz Zemzemi is off.
76
Update Update
Didier Digard comes on for Jules Meyer.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
67
Update Update
Frédéric Maciel comes on for Brian Gabriel Sobrero.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Update Update
Timotej Kudlicka comes on for Tijmen Wildeboer.
59
Substitution Substitution
Hillary Gong Chukwah is substituted off for Filip Trello.
56
Update Update
Jose Martinez is on, and Mamadou Diallo is off.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Melos Bajrami.
30
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Moataz Zemzemi.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mathieu Vernice.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw in this first leg provides both Spartak Trnava and CSKA 1948 Sofia with opportunities in the return match. Despite Spartak Trnava being favored, the lack of goals highlights defensive solidity from the visitors. Possession balance indicates a competitive affair without clear dominance. With no disciplinary issues affecting play, the focus shifts to tactical adjustments for the second leg. The significant deviation observed underscores the challenges in predicting outcomes in such fixtures. Overall, the match sets up an intriguing conclusion to the tie where either side could progress based on the next performance.