Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Otkrytie Arena Mon, 11 May - 2:30 PM
Premier League
Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
Rubin KazanRKA
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 2:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Spartak Moskva hosts Rubin Kazan at Otkrytie Arena in a Premier League regular season encounter from the 2025/2026 campaign. Spartak occupies 4th place, ahead of 7th-placed Rubin, and holds a clear structural edge with a power score of 72.67 against 64.2, translating to an 8.5-point advantage. This positions Spartak as the stronger team overall. Recent form slightly favors Rubin, who score 27.17 compared to Spartak's 23.44, hinting at potential resilience from the visitors. No last outings are detailed for either side. Advanced set piece analysis reveals low confidence levels, with proxy metrics used and no xG data available, limiting insights into dead-ball threats. Efficiency metrics remain unavailable. Spartak's home venue and superior ranking suggest control, but Rubin's momentum could spark a competitive battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Spartak Moskva possesses a higher power score of 72.67 versus Rubin Kazan's 64.2, yielding an 8.5-point advantage.
  • Form: Rubin Kazan leads in form score at 27.17 over Spartak Moskva's 23.44.
  • Squad: Spartak Moskva ranks 4th in the league while Rubin Kazan sits 7th, with no specific squad news available.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies for both teams, with no xG data accessible.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of supporting data.
  • Market: Baseline split: Spartak Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rubin Kazan 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Spartak Moskva J. Carcedo Mardones
J. Carcedo Mardones
VS
Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
Krasnodar Rank: 76 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 W
Rostov Rank: 60 D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 65 W
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 W
Akron Rank: 53 D
Orenburg Rank: 54 D
Sochi Rank: 53 W
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 11 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.67
64.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spartak Moskva
Rubin Kazan
Power Score
72.67
64.2
League Position
4
7
Global Rank
147
361

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Rubin Kazan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spartak Moskva Rubin Kazan

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Home
43 matches
Rubin Kazan RKA Away
Match Record
21
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
21
Goals
56
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
56
+19
Goal Difference
-19
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T12:30:34+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
A. Maximenko
98 A. Maximenko
D. Denisov
97 D. Denisov
C. Wooh
3 C. Wooh
A. Djiku
4 A. Djiku
R. Zobnin
47 R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov
68 R. Litvinov
N. Umyarov
18 N. Umyarov
P. Solari
7 P. Solari
E. Barco
5 E. Barco
G. Carvalho Fernandes
83 G. Carvalho Fernandes
M. Ugalde
9 M. Ugalde
E. Staver
38 E. Staver
D. Maldonado Munguía
3 D. Maldonado Munguía
E. Teslenko
2 E. Teslenko
N. Lobov
98 N. Lobov
K. Nizhegorodov
4 K. Nizhegorodov
I. Saavedra Pino
7 I. Saavedra Pino
V. Hodža
22 V. Hodža
A. Arroyo Córdoba
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
R. Bezrukov
23 R. Bezrukov
M. Daku
10 M. Daku
N. Gripshi
11 N. Gripshi

General Information

Date & Time
May 11, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Otkrytie Arena
Capacity
14274
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kirill Bolshakov
Igor Kaplenkov
Ivan Abrosimov
Aleksey Lunev

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ivan Abrosimov

Starting XI ▼

98
Aleksandr Maksimenko
Aleksandr Maksimenko Goalkeeper
6.67
9
Manfred Ugalde
Manfred Ugalde Centre Forward
6.95
3
Christopher Wooh
Christopher Wooh Right Back
6.75
97
Daniil Denisov
Daniil Denisov Right Back
6.8
7
Pablo Solari
Pablo Solari Right Wing
6.95
47
Roman Zobnin
Roman Zobnin Left Back
6.74
4
Alexander Djiku
Alexander Djiku Left Back
6.8
5
Esequiel Barco
Esequiel Barco Attacking Midfield
7.51
18
Nail Umyarov
Nail Umyarov Defensive Midfield
6.96
68
Ruslan Litvinov
Ruslan Litvinov Defensive Midfield
6.96
83
Gedson Fernandes
Gedson Fernandes Left Wing
6.87
Referee : Ivan Abrosimov

Starting XI ▼

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.89
4
Konstantin Nizhegorodov
Konstantin Nizhegorodov Midfielder
6.76
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Midfielder
6.89
10
Mirlind Daku
Mirlind Daku Centre Forward
6.95
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Attacker
7.02
23
Ruslan Bezrukov
Ruslan Bezrukov Attacker
6.65
22
Veldin Hodza
Veldin Hodza Central Midfield
6.77
2
Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko Centre Back
6.94
98
Nikita Lobov
Nikita Lobov Right Back
6.84
3
Denil Maldonado
Denil Maldonado Left Back
6.74
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra Central Midfield
6.82

CONCLUSION

Spartak Moskva arrives with structural superiority and home advantage at Otkrytie Arena, bolstered by their 4th-place standing and 8.5-point power edge over Rubin Kazan. Rubin's slightly better form score of 27.17 introduces a counterpoint, potentially fueling an upset bid from 7th. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, or reliable set piece data, the matchup hinges on overall power and league context. Spartak should dictate tempo through possession, yet Rubin's momentum may test defenses in open play. A tightly contested affair looms, with Spartak favored to edge ahead and solidify their top-four push.