Sparta Praha vs Olympique Lyonnais preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Epet Arena Tue, 4 Aug - 6:00 PM
Champions League
Sparta PrahaSPA
2 1
Olympique LyonnaisLYO
Full Time Tue, 4 Aug 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Matej Rynes - 63'
John Mercado - 69'
Goal
|
Goal
Martin Suchomel - 45' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sparta Praha 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais. The result saw Sparta Praha take the points. Sparta Praha showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Sparta Praha 1.3 – 1.4 Olympique Lyonnais. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sparta Praha 2-1 Olympique Lyonnais. Sparta Praha showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Inia
P. Inia
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Honig
R. Honig
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Vos
M. Vos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sparta Praha B. Priske Pedersen
B. Priske Pedersen
VS
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sparta Praha
31.79%
Draw
25.95%
Away Olympique Lyonnais
42.26%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sparta Praha
-63.85%
Draw
+22.23%
Olympique Lyonnais
+41.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.22
83.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sparta Praha
Olympique Lyonnais
Power Score
76.22
83.6
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
147
54

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sparta Praha — Opponent-weighted form score
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sparta Praha Olympique Lyonnais

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sparta Praha

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Olympique Lyonnais

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sparta Praha ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Olympique Lyonnais
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.21
26.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.15
22.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sparta Praha -0.33 Efficiency Index
vs
Olympique Lyonnais +0.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sparta Praha
Olympique Lyonnais
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sparta Praha
vs
Olympique Lyonnais
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sparta Praha Olympique Lyonnais
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
84%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.15 vs -1.18
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sparta Praha Olympique Lyonnais
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
84%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.18 vs -0.15
Sparta Praha
Olympique Lyonnais
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sparta Praha
vs
Olympique Lyonnais
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sparta Praha Olympique Lyonnais
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sparta Praha 0.18
Olympique Lyonnais 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sparta Praha Olympique Lyonnais
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sparta Praha 0.03
Olympique Lyonnais 0.04
Sparta Praha
Olympique Lyonnais
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SPA had peak pressure around 6'.
  • SPA started the game with stronger pressure.
SPA Pressure LYO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SPA reached the top pressure at 6' (72.28).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sparta Praha SPA Home
6 matches
Olympique Lyonnais LYO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
0
Goals
6
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
6
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-05T00:01:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Epet Arena
Capacity
18887
Attendance
17515
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Patrick Inia
Rogier Honig
Martijn Vos

Statistics

Possession
SPA
53%
LYO
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
51 Dangerous attacks 31
52 Possession 48
6 Corners 9
7 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
4 Goal Kicks 12
5 Substitutions 2
22 Throwins 21
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 0
12 Dribble Attempts 3
3 Successful Dribbles 1
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

109 Attacks 48
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

50 Long Passes 59
441 Passes 404
382 Successful Passes 331
87 Successful Passes Percentage 82
8 Key Passes 10
25 Successful Long Passes 21
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

4 Saves 1
9 Tackles 17
5 Interceptions 3
29 Duels Won 36

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 17
4 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Serdar Gozubuyuk

Starting XI ▼

44
Jakub Surovcik
Jakub Surovcik Goalkeeper
7.01
2
Martin Suchomel
Martin Suchomel Defender
6.09
11
Matej Rynes
Matej Rynes Defender
8.01
19
Adam Sevinsky
Adam Sevinsky Defender
6.67
25
Asger Sörensen
Asger Sörensen (C) Defender
7.51
7
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Midfielder
6.29
22
Lukas Haraslin
Lukas Haraslin
Midfielder84'
6.5
10
Adam Karabec
Adam Karabec Midfielder
6.23
38
Hugo Sochurek
Hugo Sochurek
Midfielder85'
6.4
17
John Mercado
John Mercado Midfielder
6.7
36
Garang Kuol
Garang Kuol
Midfielder90+2'
18
Andrew Irving
Andrew Irving Midfielder
6.77
5
Santiago Eneme
Santiago Eneme
Midfielder75'
6.55
28
Roman Macek
Roman Macek Midfielder
7.5
14
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Attacker
6.8
27
Ebrima Singhateh
Ebrima Singhateh
Midfielder85'
6.44
Referee : Serdar Gozubuyuk

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
6.17
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Defender
6.36
21
Ruben Kluivert
Ruben Kluivert Defender
6.27
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata Defender
6.2
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
6.57
39
Mathys de Carvalho
Mathys de Carvalho Midfielder
6.56
11
Malick Fofana
Malick Fofana
Attacker75'
6.69
76
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Mohamed Ouédraogo Midfielder
6.64
7
Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah
Attacker75'
6.44
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Midfielder
7.09
8
Corentin Tolisso
Corentin Tolisso (C) Attacker
6.55
16
Abner
Abner Attacker
7.23
17
Loïs Openda
Loïs Openda Attacker
7.07

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Matej Rynes
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Garang Kuol → John Mercado
7th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Ebrima Singhateh → Jonatan Braut Brunes
5th Substitution
85'
Event
Hugo Sochurek → Adam Karabec
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Lukas Haraslin → Josimar Alcócer
4th Substitution
84'
Event
Santiago Eneme → Andrew Irving
1st Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Malick Fofana → Mathys de Carvalho
2nd Substitution
75'
Event
Ernest Nuamah → Mohamed Ouédraogo
3rd Substitution
Event
John Mercado
Header / 2nd Goal
69'
67'
Event
Corentin Tolisso 
Off target
Event
Adam Karabec
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
66'
Event
Matej Rynes
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
63'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Martin Suchomel
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Event
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Goal disallowed
20'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Matej Rynes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Nuamah takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
Malick Fofana takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
85
Update Update
Ebrima Singhateh is on, and Jonatan Braut Brunes is off.
85
Update Update
Hugo Sochurek replaces Adam Karabec.
84
Update Update
Lukas Haraslin comes on for Josimar Alcocer.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Ainsley Maitland-Niles takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jonatan Braut Brunes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Nuamah takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Malick Fofana is on, and Mohamed Ouedraogo is off.
75
Update Update
Ernest Nuamah replaces Mathys de Carvalho.
75
Update Update
Santiago Eneme is on, and Andrew Irving is off.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
John Mercado takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! John Mercado scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Matej Rynes.
67
Attempt Attempt
Corentin Tolisso takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved by Corentin Tolisso.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Adam Karabec.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Matej Rynes scores with a left-footed shot.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Adam Karabec receives a yellow card.
62
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Corentin Tolisso's attempt is unsuccessful.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Matej Rynes scores, bringing the score to 1-1.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Update Update
Offside.
57
Update Update
Offside.
53
Update Update
Offside.
53
Update Update
Offside.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Martin Suchomel results in an own goal.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Martin Suchomel puts the score at 0-1.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Martin Suchomel puts the score at 0-1.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
41
Attempt Attempt
Lois Openda takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Update Update
Offside.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Adam Sevinsky takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
22
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Ouedraogo takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mohamed Ouedraogo with a header, but it's saved.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jonatan Braut Brunes scores to make it 1-0, assisted by John Mercado.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Jonatan Braut Brunes.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Jonatan Braut Brunes with his right foot results in a goal.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jonatan Braut Brunes scores to make it 1-0, assisted by John Mercado.
12
Update Update
Offside.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Attempt Attempt
Josimar Alcocer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Andrew Irving takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Serdar Gozubuyuk.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sparta Praha 2-1 Olympique Lyonnais. Structural assessment: Sparta Praha exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.