Spain vs Saudi Arabia preview
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
KSA
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Spain defeated Saudi Arabia 4-0 with a 3-0 halftime lead. Spain held 67 percent possession and created 2.42 expected goals against Saudi Arabia's 0.11. The stronger team delivered a result consistent with underlying metrics and a moderate 14.1 percent deviation. No red cards were issued to either side. Saudi Arabia generated minimal attacking threat across both halves. Spain added one second half goal to complete the scoring. The outcome confirmed the pre-match assessment of team strength without structural interruptions.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Spain recorded a moderate 14.1 percent deviation as the stronger team.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team profiles.
-
xG alignment: The 4-0 result proved consistent with the expected goals data.
-
Market alignment: The final score aligned with available market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Spain posted 2.42 xG while Saudi Arabia finished with 0.11 xG.
-
Event impact: Spain's 4-0 victory confirmed control from the opening half.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either team during the match.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Movement
Changes since opening
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Team Power Ranking
i
18.52
15.55
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Spain
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Spain
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Spain
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Spain
Saudi Arabia
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ESP had peak pressure around 43'.
- ESP started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-22T00:00:26+00:00
STARTING XI






















































General Information
Next Match
Spain
vs
Uruguay
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 12:00 AM
Venue: Guadalajara Stadium
Saudi Arabia
vs
Cape Verde Islands
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 12:00 AM
Venue: Houston Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼










Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼










Match Commentary