Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Nordsjælland preview

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Sydbank Park Sun, 17 May - 4:00 PM
Superliga
Sønderjyske FodboldSON
1 4
NordsjællandFCN
Full Time Sun, 17 May 4:00 PM
Round 10 Championship Round
M. Jensen - 49' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Levy Nene - 6'
Runar Norheim - 13', 39'
Ibrahim Adel - 86'

CONTEXT

Sønderjyske Fodbold hosted Nordsjælland in a league fixture that ended with a 1-4 scoreline. Nordsjælland established a commanding 3-0 halftime lead through efficient attacking play. The home team managed 35 percent possession while the visitors held 65 percent. Sønderjyske pulled one goal back after the interval but could not close the gap further. Nordsjælland added a fourth goal to confirm their dominance. The stronger side delivered a controlled performance from start to finish. Minimal deviation of 4.2 percent was recorded between expected and actual outcomes. No red cards occurred during the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nordsjælland held 65 percent possession against Sønderjyske's 35 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's profile.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with pre-match market indications.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were supplied to assess goal expectations.
  • Event impact: Nordsjælland's three first-half goals shaped the 1-4 outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion affected play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Krogh
M. Krogh
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Risum
R. Risum
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. García Nilton
J. García Nilton
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Funder
S. Funder
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sønderjyske Fodbold T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
VS
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.81
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: 65 W
AGF Rank: 71 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 64 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 D
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 D
Viborg FF Rank: 63 L
AGF Rank: 70 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
AGF Rank: 72 D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 9 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sønderjyske Fodbold
0.95%
Draw
3.3%
Away Nordsjælland
95.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.9
66.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Nordsjælland
Power Score
61.9
66.95
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
422
273

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sønderjyske Fodbold — Opponent-weighted form score
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sønderjyske Fodbold Nordsjælland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sønderjyske Fodbold ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nordsjælland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sønderjyske Fodbold Nordsjælland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold Nordsjælland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Nordsjælland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sønderjyske Fodbold
vs
Nordsjælland
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sønderjyske Fodbold Nordsjælland
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.00
Nordsjælland 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold Nordsjælland
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.00
Nordsjælland 0.00
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Nordsjælland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SON had peak pressure around 27'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
SON Pressure FCN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SON reached the top pressure at 27' (94.56).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sønderjyske Fodbold SON Home
48 matches
Nordsjælland FCN Away
Match Record
14
Wins
25
9
Draws
9
25
Losses
14
Goals
58
Goals Scored
90
90
Goals Conceded
58
-32
Goal Difference
+32
Expected Goals
1.11
xG
1.64
1.64
xGA
1.11

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T15:46:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 10 · Championship Round
Stadium
Sydbank Park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Morten Krogh
Rene Risum
Jonathan García Nilton
Svend Funder

Statistics

Possession
SON
39%
FCN
61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
1 Big Chances Created 5
3 Shots 5
33 Dangerous attacks 36
36 Possession 64
3 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

2 Successful Dribbles 2
18 Successful Dribbles Percentage 18
11 Dribble Attempts 11
20 Throwins 16
6 Goal Kicks 6
0 Assists 4
5 Substitutions 4
1 Penalties 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1
56 Ball Safe 74
4 Goal Attempts 10
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

70 Attacks 105
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

9 Key Passes 14
24 Successful Long Passes 28
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
77 Successful Passes Percentage 89
347 Passes 635
49 Long Passes 60
266 Successful Passes 562

Defensive

41 Duels Won 33
17 Tackles 14
6 Interceptions 9
3 Saves 3

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 2
10 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

11 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

1
N. Flø
N. Flø Goalkeeper
6.81
3
S. Wæver
S. Wæver Defender
6.61
4
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Daníel Leó Grétarsson Defender
6.95
5
M. Jensen
M. Jensen Defender
7.03
12
M. Soulas
M. Soulas Defender
7.04
11
A. Lyng
A. Lyng
Attacker46'
6.72
23
E. Duru
E. Duru Defender
6.51
20
T. Klysner
T. Klysner
Attacker63'
6.58
6
R. Vinderslev
R. Vinderslev Midfielder
6.71
22
A. Oggesen
A. Oggesen
Midfielder55'
6.82
7
S. Emini
S. Emini Midfielder
6.68
31
M. Haidara
M. Haidara Midfielder
6.7
15
Lirim Qamili
Lirim Qamili
Attacker63'
6.69
9
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe Attacker
6.77
19
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
Defender78'
6.42
24
O. Hyseni
O. Hyseni Attacker
6.8
Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.08
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
7.02
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist Defender
6.79
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
7.11
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
6.75
45
Noah Markmann
Noah Markmann
Defender79'
6.68
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
7.01
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
2
6.68
39
Daniel Ingi Johannesson
Daniel Ingi Johannesson
Attacker89'
6.94
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.77
47
Malte Heyde
Malte Heyde
Midfielder79'
6.61
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
6.91
29
Villum Berthelsen
Villum Berthelsen
Midfielder79'
6.58
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
6.61
17
Levy Nene
Levy Nene Attacker
6.79
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Attacker66'
6.56

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Daniel Ingi Johannesson → Runar Norheim
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Ibrahim Adel
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
A. Oggesen
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
1st Var
81'
79'
Event
Villum Berthelsen → Prince Amoako Junior
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Malte Heyde → Juho Lähteenmäki
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Noah Markmann → Mark Brink
9th Substitution
Event
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen → M. Hoppe
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
66'
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen → Levy Nene
5th Substitution
Event
T. Klysner → E. Duru
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Lirim Qamili → M. Haidara
4th Substitution
63'
Event
A. Oggesen → R. Vinderslev
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
E. Duru
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
50'
Event
M. Jensen
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
49'
Event
A. Lyng → M. Soulas
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Runar Norheim
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
13'
Event
Runar Norheim
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
6'
Event
Levy Nene
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ibrahim Adel scores, making it 4-2.
89
Update Update
Daniel Ingi Johannesson is on, and Runar Norheim is off.
78
Update Update
Kristensen comes on for Hoppe.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ibrahim Adel scores with a left-footed shot.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ibrahim Adel scores with an assist from Runar Norheim. The score is now 1-4.
79
Update Update
Villum Berthelsen is replaced by Prince Amoako Junior.
73
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Hjalte Rasmussen comes on for Levy Nene.
65
Attempt Attempt
Olti Hyseni takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Magnus Jensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Alexander Lyng takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim attempts a header but misses the shot.
63
Update Update
Lirim Qamili comes on for Haidara Mohamed Cherif.
63
Update Update
Tobias Klysner is on, and Magnus Jensen is off.
74
Attempt Attempt
Alexander Lyng takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Attempt Attempt
Simon Waever takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
The VAR decision shows a goal has been disallowed for offside.
79
Update Update
Noah Markmann comes on, and Mark Brink goes off.
79
Update Update
Malte Heyde replaces Juho Lahteenmaki.
46
Substitution Substitution
Alexander Lyng is substituted for Maxime Henry, with Armand Soulas coming on.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Magnus Jensen scores, making it 3 penalties for his team. The match remains 1-1.
47
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Hoppe takes a header shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel's right-footed shot is blocked.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Magnus Jensen takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
47
Attempt Attempt
Tobias Salquist attempts a header but misses the shot.
46
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Runar Norheim scores with a right-footed shot.
31
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Levy Nene's left-footed shot is saved.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ebube Gideon Duru receives a yellow card.
55
Substitution Substitution
Andreas Oggesen is substituted for Rasmus Vinderslev.
18
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Runar Norheim scores with a right-footed shot.
30
Update Update
Haidara Mohamed Cherif's header is blocked.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Levy Nene scores with a left-footed shot.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Levy Nene scores, making it 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Leo Gretarsson attempts a header but misses the shot.
25
Attempt Attempt
Haidara Mohamed Cherif takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Leo Gretarsson takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Runar Norheim scores, making it 0-2.
37
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Hoppe's header is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Leo Gretarsson attempts a header but misses the shot.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Runar Norheim scores, making it 0-3.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1-4 Nordsjælland. Structural assessment: Nordsjælland exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.