Sochi vs Akhmat Grozny preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Sochi Sochi
Akhmat Grozny AKH
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 3:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Russian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season, bottom-placed Sochi hosts ninth-placed Akhmat Grozny at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht. Akhmat enters as the stronger side with a power score of 60.11 against Sochi's 46.77, boasting a clear 13.3-point advantage. This matchup pits a relegation-threatened home team against a mid-table challenger seeking consistency. Sochi's recent form score of 26.67 outshines Akhmat's 10.61, hinting at potential resilience on familiar turf. League standings underscore Akhmat's superior campaign so far, sitting seven places higher. Detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics remain unavailable, limiting deeper tactical insights. Sochi will lean on home advantage and momentum, while Akhmat aims to impose its overall quality. Expect a competitive clash where execution decides the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Akhmat Grozny possesses a 13.3-point power advantage over Sochi, ranking ninth against the hosts' 16th in the league.
  • Form: Sochi holds a superior form score of 26.67 compared to Akhmat Grozny's 10.61.
  • Squad: No recent squad updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece statistics unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable assessments.
  • Market: Projection split: Sochi 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Akhmat Grozny 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sochi I. Osinkin
I. Osinkin
VS
Akhmat Grozny S. Cherchesov
S. Cherchesov
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: 81 L
Orenburg Rank: 54 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 69 L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 56 W
Rostov Rank: 61 W
CSKA Moskva Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 52 W
Zenit Rank: 79 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 D
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 57 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sochi
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akhmat Grozny
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.77
60.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sochi
Akhmat Grozny
Power Score
46.77
60.11
League Position
16
9
Global Rank
719
492

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sochi — Opponent-weighted form score
Akhmat Grozny — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sochi Akhmat Grozny

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sochi Sochi Home
11 matches
Akhmat Grozny AKH Away
Match Record
7
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
7
Goals
18
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
18
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:06:18+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Capacity
47659
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

99
Yury Dyupin
Yury Dyupin Goalkeeper
35
Aleksandr Degtev
Aleksandr Degtev Goalkeeper
27
Kirill Zaika
Kirill Zaika Defender
28
Ruslan Magal
Ruslan Magal Defender
17
Artem Makarchuk
Artem Makarchuk Defender
3
Aleksandr Soldatenkov
Aleksandr Soldatenkov Defender
82
Sergey Volkov
Sergey Volkov Defender
4
Vyacheslav Litvinov
Vyacheslav Litvinov Defender
33
Marcelo Alves Santos
Marcelo Alves Santos Defender
25
Yahia Attiyat allah
Yahia Attiyat allah Defender
44
Nemanja Stojić
Nemanja Stojić Defender
8
Mikhail Ignatov
Mikhail Ignatov Midfielder
34
Aleksandr Osipov
Aleksandr Osipov Midfielder
16
Maksim Mukhin
Maksim Mukhin Midfielder
14
Kirill Kravtsov
Kirill Kravtsov Midfielder
19
Aleksandr Kovalenko
Aleksandr Kovalenko Midfielder
20
Dmitrii Vasilev
Dmitrii Vasilev Midfielder
45
François Kamano
François Kamano Attacker
98
Vladimir Ilyin
Vladimir Ilyin Attacker
10
Martin Kramarič
Martin Kramarič Attacker
29
Roman Ezhov
Roman Ezhov Attacker
7
Anton Zinkovskiy
Anton Zinkovskiy Attacker
23
Gustavo Martins Furtado dos Santos
Gustavo Martins Furtado dos Santos Attacker
59
Ruslan Bart
Ruslan Bart Attacker
11
Pavel Meleshin
Pavel Meleshin Attacker
9
Zakhar Fedorov
Zakhar Fedorov Attacker
18
Artem Korneev
Artem Korneev Attacker

Squad ▼

88
Georgi Sheliya
Georgi Sheliya Goalkeeper
1
Vadim Uljanov
Vadim Uljanov Goalkeeper
72
Yahya Marovedov
Yahya Marovedov Goalkeeper
40
Rizvan Utsiev
Rizvan Utsiev Defender
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac Defender
81
Maksim Sidorov
Maksim Sidorov Defender
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Defender
82
Daniil Khlusevich
Daniil Khlusevich Defender
90
Ousmane Ndong
Ousmane Ndong Defender
4
Turpal-Ali Ibishev
Turpal-Ali Ibishev Defender
22
Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh
Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh Defender
2
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Defender
10
Rifat Zhemaletdinov
Rifat Zhemaletdinov Midfielder
11
Ismael Silva Lima
Ismael Silva Lima Midfielder
80
Valeriy Tsarukyan
Valeriy Tsarukyan Midfielder
70
Abakar Gadzhiev
Abakar Gadzhiev Midfielder
17
Egas dos Santos Cacintura
Egas dos Santos Cacintura Midfielder
19
John Vahey
John Vahey Midfielder
42
Manuel Keliano
Manuel Keliano Midfielder
37
Papa Amady Gadio
Papa Amady Gadio Midfielder
27
Akhmed Davlitgereev
Akhmed Davlitgereev Midfielder
77
Georgi Melkadze
Georgi Melkadze Attacker
13
Mohamed Konaté
Mohamed Konaté Attacker
9
Braian Ezequiel Mansilla
Braian Ezequiel Mansilla Attacker
7
Lechii Sadulaev
Lechii Sadulaev Attacker
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Attacker
23
Ğalımjan Kenjebek
Ğalımjan Kenjebek Attacker

CONCLUSION

Akhmat Grozny's power edge and higher league standing position them favorably against struggling Sochi, despite the hosts' better recent form. At Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi must maximize home support to counter Akhmat's quality. Lacking granular data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces, the focus shifts to overall execution and momentum. Akhmat's mid-table solidity suggests control, but Sochi's form could spark an upset. This regular-season encounter promises intensity as both sides chase vital points in 2025/2026.