Slaven Koprivnica vs Gorica preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion Sun, 10 May - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Slaven KoprivnicaSlaven Koprivnica
GoricaGorica
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 4:15 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Slaven Koprivnica welcomes Gorica to Gradski Stadion in a pivotal 1. HNL regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 8th and 7th respectively in the domestic standings, both sides vie for mid-table consolidation amid a tightly contested league. Gorica enters with a marginal power edge, boasting a 62.43 rating against Slaven's 61.48, translating to a 1-point advantage that underscores their slight superiority. Recent form tilts decisively toward the visitors, who score 13.72 compared to the hosts' modest 5, signaling momentum in Gorica's camp. Lacking detailed last outings or form records, attention shifts to underlying metrics where set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable due to absent xG figures. Home advantage could level proceedings for Slaven, yet Gorica's structural resilience positions them as marginal frontrunners in this balanced affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gorica possesses a narrow 1-point power advantage over Slaven Koprivnica, with ratings of 62.43 versus 61.48.
  • Form: Gorica outperforms Slaven Koprivnica in recent form, scoring 13.72 against 5.
  • Squad: Slaven Koprivnica occupies 8th place while Gorica sits 7th in the 1. HNL standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both Slaven Koprivnica and Gorica.
  • Transition: No transition statistics provided for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics absent due to unavailable xG data and low confidence for both teams.
  • xVariable: xVariable analysis limited by lack of advanced metrics for Slaven Koprivnica and Gorica.
  • Market: Slaven Koprivnica 35.5% (Δ-0.3%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+-0%) | Gorica 35.9% (Δ+0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
VS
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.15
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 63 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 D
Varaždin Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 62 W
Vukovar Rank: 56 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 61 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 9 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Slaven Koprivnica
35.54%
Draw
28.53%
Away Gorica
35.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Slaven Koprivnica
-0.33%
Draw
-0.04%
Gorica
+0.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.48
62.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
Power Score
61.48
62.43
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
440
416

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Gorica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Home
31 matches
Gorica Gorica Away
Match Record
12
Wins
10
9
Draws
9
10
Losses
12
Goals
44
Goals Scored
32
32
Goals Conceded
44
+12
Goal Difference
-12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T01:37:18+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
O. Hadzikic
31 O. Hadzikic
F. Krušelj
18 F. Krušelj
V. Međimorec
2 V. Međimorec
D. Kovačić
4 D. Kovačić
M. Petrović
45 M. Petrović
L. Crepulja
21 L. Crepulja
L. Bošnjak
24 L. Bošnjak
I. Lepinjica
23 I. Lepinjica
I. Ćubelić
15 I. Ćubelić
A. Grgić
27 A. Grgić
M. Dabro
7 M. Dabro
D. Matijaš
71 D. Matijaš
M. Čabraja
19 M. Čabraja
J. Filipović
4 J. Filipović
S. Peric
45 S. Peric
B. Bogojević
25 B. Bogojević
A. Kavelj
36 A. Kavelj
I. Pozo La Rosa
8 I. Pozo La Rosa
Ž. Trontelj
22 Ž. Trontelj
D. Pavičić
24 D. Pavičić
J. Pršir
10 J. Pršir
A. Erceg
50 A. Erceg

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gradski Stadion
Capacity
3205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oliver Romić
Marko Reljan
Kristijan Novosel
Antonio Melnjak

Expected Lineup

Referee : Oliver Romić

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.62
7
Marko Dabro
Marko Dabro Centre Forward
6.87
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Left Back
6.77
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Attacking Midfield
6.76
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Right Back
6.78
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Defensive Midfield
7
23
Igor Lepinjica
Igor Lepinjica Right Wing
6.49
24
Leon Bošnjak
Leon Bošnjak Defensive Midfield
6.28
27
Alen Grgic
Alen Grgic Left Wing
6.7
45
Marko Petrović
Marko Petrović Left Back
2
Vinko Medjimorec
Vinko Medjimorec Right Back
6.61
Referee : Oliver Romić

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.77
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Midfielder
6.77
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.68
10
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir Midfielder
6.98
22
Zan Trontelj
Zan Trontelj Midfielder
6.95
50
Ante Erceg
Ante Erceg Centre Forward
6.85
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Right Back
6.7
4
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Centre Back
6.8
19
Marijan Cabraja
Marijan Cabraja Left Back
7.07
8
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo Central Midfield
7.15
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Central Midfield
6.87

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Gorica holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Gorica a 1-point edge. External projection is Slaven Koprivnica 37.3%, draw 28.6%, and Gorica 34.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.