Slaven Koprivnica vs Gorica preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion
1. HNL
Slaven KoprivnicaSLB
2 0
GoricaGorica
Full Time
Round 4 Regular Season
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Slaven Koprivnica defeated Gorica by a 2-0 margin in a contest where the home side established an early advantage. Both goals arrived before the interval, leaving the halftime score at 2-0 as well. Despite recording just 43 percent possession against the visitors 57 percent, Slaven Koprivnica capitalized on their opportunities while the stronger team designation proved accurate. Gorica received a red card during the second half, which further limited their ability to mount a comeback. No additional goals followed the dismissal, preserving the clean sheet for the hosts. The outcome reflected the pre-match assessment of team strength and produced a clear winner without late drama. The significant deviation from expected patterns centered on the home side achieving victory through first-half efficiency rather than sustained territorial control.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Slaven Koprivnica exhibited significant structural deviation by claiming victory as the stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with the home side's overall performance level.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment remained undetermined because expected goals figures were not recorded.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the final result of the encounter.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated given the null values in the data.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on the 2-0 scoreline achieved entirely in the opening period.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion arose after the away side was reduced to ten players.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Erceg
M. Erceg
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Brajković
S. Brajković
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Marić
A. Marić
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Vukančić
I. Vukančić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
VS
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
0.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: 65 L
Varaždin Rank: 70 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 85 L
Osijek Rank: 67 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 83 L
Gorica Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split Rank: 75 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 67 L
Osijek Rank: 67 L
Rijeka Rank: 72 L
Osijek Rank: 67 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.49
60.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
Power Score
61.49
60.57
League Position
8
10
Global Rank
502
528

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Gorica

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gorica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gorica
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.91
27.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.98
42.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Slaven Koprivnica +1.33 Efficiency Index
vs
Gorica -1.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gorica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Slaven Koprivnica
vs
Gorica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Slaven Koprivnica 0.33
Gorica 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Gorica
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Slaven Koprivnica 0.00
Gorica 0.04
Slaven Koprivnica
Gorica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SLB had peak pressure around 20'.
  • Gorica started the game with stronger pressure.
SLB Pressure Gorica Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SLB reached the top pressure at 20' (82.39).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Slaven Koprivnica SLB Home
8 matches
Gorica Gorica Away
Match Record
5
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
5
Goals
16
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
16
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:42:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gradski Stadion
Capacity
3205
Attendance
817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mateo Erceg
Stipe Brajković
Anto Marić
Ivan Vukančić

Statistics

Possession
SLB
45%
Gorica
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 5
49 Dangerous attacks 59
43 Possession 57
5 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 21
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

16 Goal Kicks 10
5 Substitutions 5
14 Throwins 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 0
9 Dribble Attempts 14
4 Successful Dribbles 5
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

91 Attacks 117
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

74 Long Passes 78
333 Passes 446
226 Successful Passes 342
68 Successful Passes Percentage 77
30 Successful Long Passes 29
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

3 Saves 4
16 Tackles 14
13 Interceptions 10
51 Duels Won 64

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 26
7 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
21 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Mateo Erceg

Starting XI ▼

30
Karlo Sentic
Karlo Sentic Goalkeeper
7.35
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.97
6
Tomislav Bozic
Tomislav Bozic
Defender90+1'
5
Ivan Cvetko
Ivan Cvetko Defender
7
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Defender
6.95
33
Karlo Isasegi
Karlo Isasegi Defender
7.23
8
Lovro Banovec
Lovro Banovec Midfielder
6.48
27
Alen Grgic
Alen Grgic
Attacker61'
6.73
11
Josip Mitrovic
Josip Mitrovic Midfielder
7.5
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja (C) Midfielder
7.24
24
Leon Bošnjak
Leon Bošnjak Midfielder
6.89
22
A. Adeshina
A. Adeshina
Midfielder60'
6.73
88
David Bosak
David Bosak Midfielder
6.84
23
Arnór Gauti Jónsson
Arnór Gauti Jónsson
Midfielder90+1'
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski Attacker
7.52
7
Marko Dabro
Marko Dabro
Attacker67'
6.55
Referee : Mateo Erceg

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.77
32
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic (C) Defender
6.52
15
Dusan Stevanovic
Dusan Stevanovic
Defender60'
6.6
34
Ivan Cvijanovic
Ivan Cvijanovic Defender
6.55
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Defender
6.63
2
Filip Braut
Filip Braut Midfielder
6.76
4
Kevin Custovic
Kevin Custovic
Midfielder46'
6.72
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
7.04
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Midfielder
6.65
66
Juraj Frigan
Juraj Frigan Midfielder
6.55
14
Stjepan Kucis
Stjepan Kucis
Midfielder60'
6.74
8
Jakov Pranjic
Jakov Pranjic Attacker
6.87
20
Luka Vrzic
Luka Vrzic
Attacker84'
6.61
9
Patrik Mijic
Patrik Mijic Attacker
6.61
99
Medin Gashi
Medin Gashi
Attacker60'
6.72
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Attacker
7.1

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tomislav Bozic → Dominik Kovacic
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Arnór Gauti Jónsson → David Bosak
10th Substitution
90+1'
84'
Event
Luka Vrzic → Jakov Pranjic
8th Substitution
Event
Marko Dabro → Ilija Nestorovski
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Alen Grgic → Lovro Banovec
6th Substitution
61'
Event
A. Adeshina → Leon Bošnjak
2nd Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Medin Gashi → Patrik Mijic
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Stjepan Kucis → Juraj Frigan
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Dusan Stevanovic → Jakov Filipovic
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Kevin Custovic → Filip Braut
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Ante Kavelj
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Ljuban Crepulja
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
22'
Event
Mario Carević
Argument / 1st Redcard
Event
Ilija Nestorovski
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Josip Mitrovic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
18'
Event
Ilija Nestorovski
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Ljuban Crepulja takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marko Dabro takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marko Dabro takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ljuban Crepulja takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Tomislav Bozic comes on for Dominik Kovacic.
89
Update Update
Arnor Gauti Jonsson is on, and David Bosak is off.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Attempt Attempt
Josip Mitrovic takes a shot with his head but misses.
84
Update Update
Luka Vrzic is on, and Jakov Pranjic is off.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Marko Dabro takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
82
Attempt Attempt
Josip Mitrovic attempts a header but misses the shot.
82
Update Update
Luka Vrzic comes on for Jakov Pranjic.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Marko Dabro takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
79
Attempt Attempt
Filip Kruselj takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Alen Grgic is on, and Lovro Banovec is off.
60
Update Update
Medin Gashi comes on for Patrik Mijic.
60
Update Update
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina comes on for Leon Bosnjak.
60
Update Update
Dusan Stevanovic is on, and Jakov Filipovic is off.
60
Update Update
Stjepan Kucis is on, and Juraj Frigan is off.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ilja Nestorovski takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Bruno Bogojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Banovec takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic attempted a header but missed the shot.
46
Update Update
On comes Kevin Custovic, off goes Filip Braut.
44
Update Update
On comes Kevin Custovic, off goes Filip Braut.
42
Attempt Attempt
Domagoj Pavicic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Mijic takes a shot with his head but misses.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ante Kavelj.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ante Kavelj.
27
Attempt Attempt
Juraj Frigan takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ljuban Crepulja.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ljuban Crepulja.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ilja Nestorovski scores with a left-footed shot.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ilja Nestorovski scores to make it 2-0, assisted by David Bosak.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ilja Nestorovski scores, making it 2-0.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Josip Mitrovic with his left foot results in a goal.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Josip Mitrovic scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Karlo Isasegi.
17
Attempt Attempt
Lovro Banovec takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Karlo Isasegi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Leon Bosnjak takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mateo Erceg.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Slaven Koprivnica 2-0 Gorica. Structural assessment: Slaven Koprivnica exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.