Skendija 79 vs Bravo preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Toše Proeski Arena Thu, 30 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Skendija 79SHK
3 1
BravoBRAV
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 3
Gasper Jovan - 36' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Skendija 79 3–1 Bravo. The result saw Skendija 79 take the points. Skendija 79 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 61%–39%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Skendija 79 recorded a significant deviation of 34.4 percent as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment was not available due to null home and away xG values.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the match outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated with the provided null data.
  • Event impact: The 3-1 result led to a 4-3 aggregate victory in the two-legged tie.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion did not occur with zero red cards for both teams.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Rúsz
M. Rúsz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Buzás
B. Buzás
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Vígh-Tarsonyi
G. Vígh-Tarsonyi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Zimmermann
M. Zimmermann
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Skendija 79 E. Memushi
E. Memushi
VS
Bravo A. Arnol
A. Arnol
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bravo Rank: 68 L
Europa FC Rank: W
Europa FC Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: 78 L
Samsunspor Rank: 78 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Skendija 79 Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Skendija 79
65.56%
Draw
21.04%
Away Bravo
13.41%

Movement

Changes since opening
Skendija 79
-31.57%
Draw
+19.14%
Bravo
+12.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.26
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Skendija 79
Bravo
Power Score
25.26
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Skendija 79 — Opponent-weighted form score
Bravo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Skendija 79 Bravo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Skendija 79

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bravo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Skendija 79 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bravo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.89
21.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.41
26.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Skendija 79 +0.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Bravo -0.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Skendija 79
Bravo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Skendija 79 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bravo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Skendija 79 Bravo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Skendija 79 Bravo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Skendija 79
Bravo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Skendija 79
vs
Bravo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Skendija 79 Bravo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Skendija 79 0.14
Bravo 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Skendija 79 Bravo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Skendija 79 0.02
Bravo 0.03
Skendija 79
Bravo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BRAV had peak pressure around 77'.
  • SHK started the game with stronger pressure.
SHK Pressure BRAV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BRAV reached the top pressure at 77' (79.35).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Skendija 79 SHK Home
1 matches
Bravo BRAV Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:04:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 3
Stadium
Toše Proeski Arena
Capacity
33011
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Márton Rúsz
Balázs Buzás
Gergő Vígh-Tarsonyi
Márió Zimmermann

Statistics

Possession
SHK
58%
BRAV
42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
6 Shots 4
88 Dangerous attacks 47
61 Possession 39
10 Corners 7
21 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

98 Ball Safe 86
10 Goal Attempts 2
3 Substitutions 4
26 Throwins 20
2 Injuries 1

Attacking

139 Attacks 98

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 22

Lineup

Referee : Márton Rúsz

Starting XI ▼

25
Astrit Amzai
Astrit Amzai Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Aleksander Trumci
Aleksander Trumci Defender
6.37
23
Bojan Dimoski
Bojan Dimoski Defender
6.25
26
Anes Meljichi
Anes Meljichi Defender
6.26
5
Drilon Islami
Drilon Islami Midfielder
6.33
8
Rafa
Rafa Midfielder
6.37
11
Almir Kryeziu
Almir Kryeziu Midfielder
6.52
17
Arbin Zejnullai
Arbin Zejnullai (C) Midfielder
6.37
49
Sebastjan Spahiu
Sebastjan Spahiu Midfielder
6.37
—
Sebastjan Spahiu
66'
9
Fahd Ndzengue
Fahd Ndzengue Attacker
6.46
99
Marko Gjorgjievski
Marko Gjorgjievski
Attacker74'
6.86
29
Fabrice Tamba
Fabrice Tamba Attacker
6.55
55
Jovan Manev
Jovan Manev
Defender90+5'
Referee : Márton Rúsz

Starting XI ▼

77
Matjaz Rozman
Matjaz Rozman Goalkeeper
5.68
4
Jakob Brunnhofer
Jakob Brunnhofer Defender
5.88
5
Ibrahim Halilou
Ibrahim Halilou Defender
5.88
24
Gasper Jovan
Gasper Jovan Defender
5.68
68
Marwann Nzuzi
Marwann Nzuzi Defender
5.86
7
Divine Omoregie
Divine Omoregie Midfielder
6.27
21
Lan Stravs
Lan Stravs
Midfielder66'
6.37
8
Sandi Nuhanovic
Sandi Nuhanovic (C) Midfielder
6.18
10
Jakoslav Stankovic
Jakoslav Stankovic Midfielder
6.47
11
Okpo Mazié
Okpo Mazié
Midfielder81'
6.37
17
James Arinze
James Arinze Midfielder
6.32
75
Andrej Pecar
Andrej Pecar
Attacker90+1'
99
Marko Simonic
Marko Simonic Midfielder
6.18
35
Rok Kopatin
Rok Kopatin Attacker
6.43
9
Aldin Jakupović
Aldin Jakupović
Attacker66'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jovan Manev → Fabrice Tamba
7th Substitution
90+5'
90+1'
Event
Andrej Pecar → James Arinze
6th Substitution
Event
Marko Gjorgjievski
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
88'
83'
Event
Marwann Nzuzi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Okpo Mazié → Jakoslav Stankovic
5th Substitution
Event
Marko Gjorgjievski → Fahd Ndzengue
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Endrit Krasniqi → Sebastjan Spahiu
2nd Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Aldin Jakupović → Rok Kopatin
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Lan Stravs → Divine Omoregie
3rd Substitution
Event
Almir Kryeziu
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
50'
1ST-HALF
Event
Almir Kryeziu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Gasper Jovan
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
36'
Event
Bojan Dimoski
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
Event
Bojan Dimoski
5th Yellowcard
34'
Event
Drilon Islami
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
29'
17'
Event
Jakoslav Stankovic
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Jovan Manev comes on for Fabrice Tamba.
90
Update Update
On Andrej Pečar, off James Arinze.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
On comes Okpo Mazie, off goes Jakoslav Stankovic.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Update Update
Marko Gjorgjievski comes on for Fahd Richard Ndzengue Moubeti.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Endrit Krasniqi comes on for Sebastjan Spahiu.
65
Update Update
On Lan Stravs comes on, Divine Omoregie goes off.
65
Update Update
Aldin Jakupovic comes on for Rok Kopatin.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Almir Kryeziu scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Fabrice Tamba.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Almir Kryeziu.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Gasper Jovan levels the score at 1-1.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bojan Dimoski receives a yellow card.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Drilon Islami receives a yellow card.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jakoslav Stankovic scores, making it 1-0.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marton Rusz.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Skendija 79 3-1 Bravo. Structural assessment: Skendija 79 exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.